Mitt In Maine
February 2nd, 2008 at 10:23am Matt Margolis
Maine’s caucuses are this weekend, with most caucusing today. According to Truth Caucus, Mitt Romney appears to be doing very well in Maine, despite the establishment’s supporting of McCain.
Rank-and-file activists are turning out in droves for Romney. Word is Sens. Snowe and Collins are stumping hard for McCain [...] to avoid an embarrassment.
It will be interesting to see if Maine will be the first bellwether of a possible GOP conservative/activist tide against McCain.
UPDATE: Mitt wins.
Entry Filed under: Campaign 2008, Republicans


23 Comments
1. Nietzsche-Is-Pietzsche | February 2nd, 2008 at 10:29 am
We can only hope that Romney wins the nomination. If that happens, HELLOOOOOOO Madam President!!!!!
2. Almiranta | February 2nd, 2008 at 10:41 am
Some tunnel-vision types seem to think that the primary campaign IS the presidential campaign.
Not…………..
In the primaries, candidates run against others within the same party. But once the nominations take place, the nominees run against the OTHER side.
So the differences among Republicans is pointed out to help Republicans choose their candidate, and then, after that happens, it turns into pointing out the difference between Republicans and Democrats.
Or at least that is the way it used to be. Lately, as the Democrat Party is asked to move farther and farther Left, it may well be a case of pointing out the difference between a free market system and Socialism.
But in any case, Mitt’s real strength will lie in his ability to give Americans a clear choice between Socialism and conservatism—a real debate on issues. McCain will give us a choice between Socialism and Socialism Lite.
3. Almiranta | February 2nd, 2008 at 10:42 am
“differences ARE pointed out…” Hate that blurring of number….
4. neocon | February 2nd, 2008 at 10:49 am
Maybe one last chance for Romney. I like him, and his experience a lot. But for now I am off to the NFL experience at the Super Bowl.
Ciao.
5. searp | February 2nd, 2008 at 11:01 am
Go Mitt go! I like him a lot. He has a lot of money and is willing to spend it to buy my vote. I just wish he’d ask me to call him and give him a price.
6. David Aulds | February 2nd, 2008 at 11:11 am
All indicators point to a Romney win in Maine tomorrow and I’m glad for that although don’t expect the Liberal media to report on it they are in the tank for Mccain. Does anyone know if the Maine caucses are a winner take all or if the 18 delegates are split between the top 2 winners? Also if anyone knows are the Massachusetts, Utah, Colorado, Montana and North Dakota states winner take all or are they spilt between the top 2 aswell?
7. bagni | February 2nd, 2008 at 11:59 am
markney
70% of the u.s. doesn’t like the current admin
perceptually, romney represents more of bush than mccain
with that said…you need that crackpot mccain to beat hillary or obama
ionospheric irony isn’t it?
8. Ricorun | February 2nd, 2008 at 12:03 pm
David Aulds, I don’t know about all of them, but this is what I know about how the GOP delegates are distributed by some of the states:
Alabama — Total Delegates: 45, By district.
Alaska — Total Delegates: 26, Proportional.
Arizona — Total Delegates: 50, WTA.
Arkansas — Total Delegates: 31, by district.
California — Total Delegates: 170, by district.
Colorado — Total Delegates: 43, proportional.
Connecticut — Total Delegates: 27, WTA.
Delaware — Total Delegates: 15, WTA.
Georgia — Total Delegates: 69, by district.
Illinois — Total Delegates: 67, by district.
Massachusetts — Total Delegates: 40, proportional.
Minnesota — Total Delegates: 38, by district.
Missouri — Total Delegates: 55, WTA.
Montana — Total Delegates: 22, WTA.
New Jersey — Total Delegates: 49, WTA.
New York — Total Delegates: 98, WTA.
North Dakota — Total Delegates: 23, WTA.
Oklahoma — Total Delegates: 38, by district.
Tennessee — Total Delegates: 52, proportional and by district — WTA if one candidate gets over 50%.
Utah — Total Delegates: 33, WTA.
West Virginia — Total Delegates: 27, WTA
9. Romney » Mitt In Ma&hellip | February 2nd, 2008 at 12:14 pm
[...] InMuscatine wrote an interesting post today on Mitt In MaineHere’s a quick excerptAccording to Truth Caucus, Mitt Romney appears to be doing very well in Maine, despite the establishment’s supporting of McCain. [...]
10. Ricorun | February 2nd, 2008 at 12:48 pm
Here is what Wikipedia says about the Maine caucuses: “First, delegates are elected from the attendees. These delegates will represent the caucusgoers at the state convention in May. Candidates generally provide slates of delegates to voters who are interested in supporting them, and voters can ask prospective delegates whom they support for president. A total of 3,867 delegates will be selected statewide. [3] Then, a straw poll, called a presidential preference ballot, is taken of the individuals in the room. The results of this secret ballot will be transmitted to the media, which will use it as a “snapshot” of the opinions of Maine Republicans. Although the media will report the results of the ballot, and assign delegates appropriately, it is the state convention which determines who actually goes to the Republican National Convention. Even after the state convention, all delegates will be unbound to any candidate.[4]
So in summary, I think you could characterize Maine thusly: Total Delegates: 21, by district.
11. jules | February 2nd, 2008 at 12:55 pm
RE: 6. David Aulds | February 2nd, 2008 at 11:11 am
David, here are two links. The first is from the 2004 primary but, except for the apportioned delegates, it should still be relevant:
gop.com
wikipedia
12. Kahn | February 2nd, 2008 at 2:06 pm
There is an article up today on Military.com questioning McCain’s legal status and eligibility to become President. McCain was born in the Panama Canal Zone. Senators must be citizens, but the President must be a natural born citizen.
Has anyone heard this argument being made? What do you think of it?
http://www.military.com/opinion/0,15202,161251,00.html?wh=news
13. Crian | February 2nd, 2008 at 2:12 pm
I find it so weird that all the republicans are against McCain, as a liberal myself and an Obama supporter. I find Romeny is the perfect choice because he is the only person with the business acumen to save the economy.
14. Mark Noonan | February 2nd, 2008 at 2:35 pm
Kahn,
The Canal Zone was US territory, and all persons born in the United States are citizens of the United States. By treaty, soveriegnty over the Zone was ceded by Panama to the United States, and it took anothet treaty (the disgraceful Carter treaty) to turn that American territory over to Panamanian control. McCain, in a legal sense, might as well have been born on Mt Vernon.
15. Mark Noonan | February 2nd, 2008 at 3:29 pm
bagni,
No necessarily - “70% disapprove” is a subjective and rather nebulous thing. After all, some of that is disapproval over President Bush’s handling of immigration…but people who disagree with Bush on a guest worker program aren’t necessarily people who will vote for Obama.
It would actually be very hard to gauge President Bush’s level of support right now. He’s not on the ballot, so we can’t ask a realistic “would you vote for him” question. I think the only thing we could do to get a semblance of an idea would be to ask a very properly weighted for demographics pool of 5,000 likely voters, “on the whole, do you think President Bush has done an excellent, good, fair or poor job as President?”. We’re not going to get such a poll, thus we’ll never really know.
16. rubbersoul | February 2nd, 2008 at 4:18 pm
Kahn,
Are you serious? So military brats born overseas can’t become president when they grow up?
Well it must be true if a grade z political columnist wrote it…..
Cheers!
17. David Aulds | February 2nd, 2008 at 4:21 pm
Well then based on this Romney will get a healthy portion of delegates from both California and Illinios in addition to wins in Utah, Mass, Colorado, Montana and North Dakota. Also Rasmussen and Survey usa polls showed Romney in a two way tie with Mccain in Tennessee and Missouri with Mccain only up by 2 or 3 points in those states within the margin of error. How do you think West Virginia and Alaska will go? I think Romney takes Alaska but I’m not sure on West Virginia. Can anyone help?
18. searp | February 2nd, 2008 at 4:52 pm
I hope Romney gets all the delegates! I hope he hugs President Bush repeatedly on TV, every week from now through November. I hope he is nominated and runs on the Bush legacy!
Will he send me some money now?
19. Kahn | February 2nd, 2008 at 5:44 pm
Hey, I was just passing it on. The guy did seem to have an ax to grind. Mark’s post makes sense. I wonder if it would be true of a person born in Germany, Korea, or japan?
20. Brian | February 2nd, 2008 at 6:48 pm
“A possible GOP conservative/activist tide against McCain”………?
Have they been checking the RCP averages the last couple of days? John McCain is RUNNING AWAY with this nomination. It’s over.
21. Almiranta | February 2nd, 2008 at 11:33 pm
searp is just silly and juvenile, and trying so desperately to get someone, ANYONE, to think he is funny….
It’s not over till it’s over. The Heartland has a very different take on politics than the coast, as anyone looking at a map of red states vs blue after the two recent elections can tell. We are more pragmatic, more realistic, and in many cases more directly affected by illegal immigration.
I think a lot of people are voting for McCain because they have bought into the Agenda Media proclamations that McCain is the most likely Republican to beat Hillary. As if we should pay any attention to the Agenda Media. Helllloooo??? AGENDA !!!!
Doesn’t anyone wonder why the leftist media prefer McCain as the opponent to their candidate? Can anyone possibly think this is because they think he is STRONGER??
Yeah, right.
22. Brian | February 3rd, 2008 at 9:09 am
Almiranta,
I think you need to take a closer look at the leftist media. Since McCain has become the front-runner, he is no longer their favorite. Democrat strategists giving interviews on cable news have admitted that they would rather have Romney as the nominee. They know he’s a weaker candidate.
23. Pete_Bondurant | February 3rd, 2008 at 11:51 am
Brian,
Never take advice from the enemy IE the Democrats. Romney would defeat either Democrat. In March of 2004, John Kerry was leading Bush by 17 points.
Romney is the best organized, has the best resume and is a full fledged conservaitve. Conservative ideas always win elections. This is why the Democrats have not had the majority of the vote since 1976.