Primary Results
May 6th, 2008 at 09:04pm Mark Noonan
Quite honestly, I didn’t expect this to happen - looks like Obama will do much better than a 15 percentage point win, and from what I’ve read, Hillary’s lead in Indiana is a bit fragile in that a lot of possibly pro-Obama areas have yet to report.
UPDATE: Obama gives his victory speech - talking of change, as usual…but he still won black voters, young voters, and upper class white voters. This will give him New York, California and New England in November, but not the White House…
UPDATE: Perhaps we should be more careful - latest results show Obama leading 55% to 43% in North Carolina; still a very big win, but not the overwhelmingly crushing victory originally thought.
UPDATE, by Matt Margolis: Hillary wins Indiana. Race continues…
UPDATE: And Hillary once again lays down the marker - she wants Florida and Michigan counted.
UPDATE: Over at The Corner Kathy Lopez feels that Hillary’s statement that she’ll support the Democratic nominee is part of a pre-concession swan song to her campaign - I’m not so sure; Ramesh Ponnuru, meanwhile, points out this interesting bit:
Slice up the voters by ideology, “very conservative” to “very liberal,” and you find that in both N.C. and Ind., Obama did better the further left the voters were. As E. J. Dionne Jr. just pointed out on NPR—we’re commenting on the elections—that is a new and potentially ominous pattern.
Unless America really has become a center/left nation (as our leftists insist it did in 2006), Obama cannot win unless he can appeal more to the center and at least some of the right - at least to the extent of keeping the right from growing too enthusiastic about McCain vis a vis Obama. My view is that America in 2008 is what America has always been - center/right.
Entry Filed under: Campaign 2008, Democrats
6 Comments
1. jerry | May 6th, 2008 at 9:29 pm
He can win VA, CO, NM, NV, IA in November as well Mark, keep spinning. Wait until he debates McCain. Those two on stage will be a stark contrast. The past versus the future. It should be fun. Also, Mark how is your Govenor doing? He is pulling a Guilliani, getting his soon to be divorced wife out of the Govenors Mansion, classy guy.
2. Mark Noonan | May 6th, 2008 at 10:17 pm
Jerry,
Its a curios thing about Gibbons - it seems that he’s the one seeking the divorce. Now the stories from 2006 start to make some sense, even though Titus’ probable dirty trick remains just that. Too bad - he had a future, once upon a time, and now I think he’s toast…and I note, with great care, that his prime rival in the NV GOP - Bob Beers - has signs up all over this place for his State Senate re-election bid…he doesn’t need that much face time or name recognition for his fairly safe seat…I think he’s positioning himself for another try at the governorship in 2010.
Anyways…
There is no indication that Obama will do well outside of areas with high black populations and/or high populations of upper class white voters…in other words, he thus far has shown a massive inability to campaign in the States he must win in order to secure the White House. Can he bridge the gap and pull in white blue collar and rural voters? Perhaps - but the longer this goes on (and the more we hear about Wright, Ayers and Obama’s own wife) the less likely it will be.
3. Some Assembly Required | May 6th, 2008 at 10:25 pm
Just heard May 31st Dean and a committee may very well decide to seat the Florida and Michigan delegates. They really do know how to go about giving away a sure victory in November don’t they. Anything short of an Obama nomination after tonight will destroy the democrats. The math is to insurmountable for Clinton. IMO
Big night for Obama, seemed to me like he’s now going to focus on McCain and more or less forget about Hilary. Smart move I think. McCain’s been getting a free ride for the most part so far, it surely will be interesting to see what happens when/’if’ Obama gets the nom.
4. OperationChaos | May 7th, 2008 at 7:29 am
Seat the delegates! For, by, and of the people!
5. InDaVa | May 7th, 2008 at 3:40 pm
Operation Chaos failed miserably. Good job Rush!
6. FmrMarine | May 7th, 2008 at 9:53 pm
in
>>>Operation Chaos failed miserably. Good job Rush!<<<
REALLY?
actually it IS a good job Rush!