Looking Ahead
Tags: 2012 Campaign, Bobby Jindal, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin.
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Uh, governor, the place to make such a statement is anywhere but Iowa:
Jindal to Iowa: I’m not running for president
Strictly speaking, of course, this is ok – governor Jindal is running for re-election as governor of Louisiana at the moment, and as that election happens prior to 2012, its all good. Meanwhile, however, Jindal isn’t coming in top ranked in GOP enthusiasm at the moment:
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are most interested in seeing Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney, and Mike Huckabee run for the party’s presidential nomination in 2012. Those three received the highest scores among the 10 possible candidates evaluated in a recent Gallup Panel survey.
GOPers are clearly not blaming Palin for the loss – and rightly so; without Palin it would have been a bigger loss. McCain was crushed when the financial crisis hit and, in hindsight, all the effort post-crisis was towards lessening the loss, and in this Palin did far more than McCain. Jindal, on the other hand, is still my early favorite, though his numbers are much weaker than Palin’s – on the other hand, he’s not nearly as well known as Palin and it could be that once people get a good look at him, his numbers will rise.
HAT TIP: Hot Air
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6 Responses to “Looking Ahead”
Caucus of Corruption
I’m from Louisiana and have moved back after living in DC for 5 years. Jindal is Democrat lite. He says he cut 1,000 jobs at the first of this year when he was elected and put on a hiring freeze.
The true story…….He didn’t put into place 1,000 jobs that were supposed to be filled from our last Governor Blanco and the hiring freeze?????? Well that netted 2,400 new jobs. Thank God he wasn’t hiring!
He says he shrunk the budget. Funny how the budget shrunk by the same amount that we didn’t get for Katrina this year…Hum.
He says he cut earmarks by 16 million. Only problem with that is that earmarks came in at a record level this year.
He also wants universal health care. As far as we are concerned here in Louisiana, he’s a one term wonder. He’s Democrat lite. It’s the same ole story, There’s Campaign Bobby and Governor Jindal. They ain’t the same guy!
This early in the 2012 election cycle, all the polls tell you is who is the best known. Right now, Palin has a very high profile after what was a colorful and spirited Vice Presidential run.
It is unclear how well Palin would do in a long primary race against other Republicans, when she can’t blame the Mainstream Media and when she doesn’t have Joe the Plumber on her side. Especially if she has to run against the likes of Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich and/or Ron Paul who can speak in complete sentences and who actually know what they’re talking about.
A Democrat Lite is probably the best bet if you guys want to win in 2012 (and maybe you don’t want to… sometimes the losing party turns out to have the upper hand in the long run.) In case you hadn’t noticed, the Democrats won the 2008 election as well as the 2006 midterm election. The right wing of the Republican Party represents just a portion of a party which is in 3rd place after Democrats and independents. Sarah Palin’s rightwing Limbuagh-listening base is maybe 15%-20% of the electorate at most.
OK, so Jindal is out.
How about the theocracy ticket of Palin/Huckabee 2012? That would rally the crazies no doubt.
Any of you hear a mention of President Obama four years ago?
Didn’t think so – keep guessing……TBC
neologizer,
Wise words – of course, if we’re sitting with 5% unemployment and 5% GDP growth in early 2012 after no terrorist attacks on the US since 1/20/09 plus a reasonably peaceful world, then Obama will cruise to victory no matter whom we nominate (in which case, by the way, I’d keep our A-listers out of it until 2016 – become a Pawlenty/Crist ‘12 ticket, if you ask me). If, on the other hand, we’re stuck with 6% or more unemployment, 3% or less GDP growth and a series of foreign crisis flubbed by Obama and/or some terrorist attacks on the US, then we can nominate a turnip in 2012 and win.
There will be events nobody anticipated. My guess is that a natural (or as some will claim, supernatural) disaster will turn America sideways and create a set of circumstances for which there is no precedent and quite likely no possible fix. From then on we will be living in a no man’s land. Conventional politics will be useless to predict any outcome.
Consider a huge seismic event in the American midwest (see http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE4AJ9EV20081120 ) or an eruption of the Yellowstone Caldera, or some equivalent event. Such would dwarf Katrina, and be the equivalent of bombing our economy back to the stone age. From thence it will be every man for himself. All political models will prove useless.
We’ve been remarkably complacent regarding huge natural disasters – as they all seem to fall on others. Let one fall on the United States and we finally will find out what kind of stuff we’re made of.