The Obama Honeymoon Is Ending


Click here to get Caucus of Corruption: The Truth About The New Democratic Majority by Matt Margolis and Mark Noonan.

Recent polling by Gallup and Rasmussen indicate that approval of Obama’s job performance is dwindling.

Gallup’s latest poll records Obama’s lowest job approval yet at 58% (with 33% disapproval). This is obviously not a horrible rating, but, what I find most interesting is the approval by party ID:

Obama has lost ground with Republicans and Independents. Now, I am sure most would write off low approval from Republicans as expected, but an 8-point drop with Independents in two weeks is very significant. It is also interest to note that Obama has only gained ground with Democrats. Which only speaks to Obama’s polarizing nature. Obama has made many blunders in his short time in office, and has on occasion, done things that have upset his base. Not releasing photos of detainees being interrogated, a perceived lack of action on the homosexual agenda, etc. Past poll internals have shown Obama personally getting more support than the policies he is promoting, so, it is only a matter of time before support from Democrats takes a hit.

The Rasmussen poll also shows bad news for Obama. Their latest daily tracking poll also shows a new low for Obama. There presidential approval index weighs ’strong approval’ against ’strong disapproval’ and finds, for the for time a negative president approval index rating:

The trend in the above graph is undeniable. I know some on the left would love to write off the numbers as being influenced by sour grapes from McCain voters, but Obama’s early high approval clearly showed a willingness from voters on the right to give Obama a chance, which is normal at the start of any presidency. Even after the contentious 2000 election, George W. Bush entered office with high approval.

What is causing the rapid decline in Obama’s approval? Well, as I stated before, the policies he is promoting have significantly less support than he does. His flip-flopping on campaign promises, his blunders, hypocrisy, and incompetence has been chipping away at the carefully crafted, focus group-tested image he made for himself during the campaign.

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Matt Margolis is co-author (with Mark Noonan) of Caucus of Corruption: The Truth About The New Democratic Majority. He also blogs at The Buffalo Bean. Follow Matt on Twitter.


39 Responses to “The Obama Honeymoon Is Ending”

  1. frenchstudent says:

    Hey according to you 30% approval was a very good number, so I’m not worried.

  2. leadeconomist says:

    I hope Matt that when Obama’s Sunday number comes out you will report that one as well. Curiously where were you when his Gallup numbers were over 60%? Do polls only mean something when they suit your needs? How come no one here has reported anythning about Monica Conyers? There’s been coverage at the site where my editorials run. She’s a Democrat and black this should have been a slam dunk for a Yankee neocon like yourself.

  3. frenchstudent says:

    Hi frmrmarine, do you stand by your statement that Bristol Palin should be sterilized?

  4. frenchstudent says:

    So? Standing by your statement?

  5. frenchstudent says:

    Still not answering : do you stand by your statement that Bristol Palin, as the mother of an illegitimate child, should be sterilized??

  6. amazona says:

    What intrigues me is the disconnect between Obama’s personal approval rating, which is in the 60s, and the approval of his policies, which is tanking. I think this shows the personality factor. When people can say, as so many have, “I don’t like what he is doing but I think he is doing a good job” it is clear that there is some other factor at work, and it has to be the charisma that has always allowed him to skirt criticism of his actions.

    I find it creepy to have so many people giving him a pass on so many really critical issues just because of the way he comes across as a likable guy but that is the hand we are dealt, right now. It is heartening to see that adulation eroding as his lies become more evident, as his ties to unions and ACORN influence major government decisions, and as the facade wears thin. It will take a while, and of course the tried-and-true Obamamaniacs will never waver in their passionate love affair with him, but the only way he could maintain his hold on America would be to govern as an honest, moderate, Democrat with the best interests of the nation in mind. As long as he governs as a radical Leftist with the far-Left agenda he has, so far, been implementing, and as long as he keeps taking our money away from us to hand out to cronies like unions and ACORN, he will continue to wear out his welcome.

    And fortunately for us, the Democrat Senators and Representatives who shore up his radical agenda lack his charisma, and can be defeated.

  7. amazona says:

    Oh, non-french non-student, do give it a rest. Your determination that your juvenile “point” is of interest or value is completely wrong. There are nine video games on your desk, all of which are far more appropriate to your intellect than rational political discourse, and clearly you should stick with them. Your smirky self-satisfaction at coming up with what you evidently think is some brilliant witticism is annoying.

  8. frenchstudent says:

    This is not self-satisfaction, amazona. I want it to be clear to everyone, whenever he tries to push for any policy, that Frmrmarine is someone who believes single moms should be sterilized. He has stated it, and has not said “I was wrong to say it” once. I will not let it pass. If he thinnks it, let him own up his own opinions. If he does not, let him say he was wrong. Until them, anyone who agrees with him or defends him agrees with or defends someone who has said single momes should be sterilized.

  9. frenchstudent says:

    Yes or no, frmrmarine? Simple question. Do you stand by your statement?

    Why is it every conservative here seems to be unable to answer this simple question? Do you stand by, or support, the statement that single momes should be sterilized?

  10. Matt Margolis says:

    leadeconomist,

    We’ve addressed Obama’s approval several times since January. Before of criticizing me for reporting bad news about Obama and jumping to conclusions you should do your research.

  11. leadeconomist says:

    Matt Margolis says:
    June 21st, 2009 at 12:48 pm

    I did do the research, thus the question. You only bring up the Gallup poll when Obama’s approval rating has dipped to a certain new low. in ten minutes a new daily number will be out and if it is up you will mention nothing about how it relates to your prediction,

    “Now, I am sure most would write off low approval from Republicans as expected, but an 8-point drop with Independents in two weeks is very significant. It is also interest to note that Obama has only gained ground with Democrats. Which only speaks to Obama’s polarizing nature. Obama has made many blunders in his short time in office, and has on occasion, done things that have upset his base. Not releasing photos of detainees being interrogated, a perceived lack of action on the homosexual agenda, etc. Past poll internals have shown Obama personally getting more support than the policies he is promoting, so, it is only a matter of time before support from Democrats takes a hit.”

    I’ll be back in half an hour.

  12. frenchstudent says:

    hi frmrm

  13. frenchstudent says:

    do you still stand by your statement that single woomen should be sterilized?

  14. amazona says:

    non-french non-student, you are getting exactly the amount of respect you deserve. None. You are a nonentity, smirking in self-satisfaction because you have latched onto something YOU find obsessively important to YOU.

    You come across as silly, vain, shallow, self-important, and vapid. Your assessment of your own value and of the value of your silly obsession are very inaccurate.

    Mommy may still indulge you. We won’t. Go play one of your silly games.

  15. amazona says:

    And, non-french non-student, do try to keep up and stick with the topic of he thread

  16. frenchstudent says:

    So do you agree with frmrmarine, here? Please be clear on that

  17. frenchstudent says:

    I mean if it is not important, a simple yes or no should pose no trouble?

  18. cluster says:

    WHY ARE WE NOT TALKING ABOUT THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM? NK IS PROLIFERATING NUKES AND IRANIANS ARE REVOLTING AND THE POS IN THE WHITE HOUSE IS DOING NOTHING.

    I AM READY TO BEGIN IMPEACHMENT PROCEEDINGS. WE NEED A LEADER, NOT AN AMATEUR.

  19. frenchstudent says:

    SO, Frmrmarine, do you stand by your comment that single moms should be sterilized?

  20. canadianobserver says:

    I AM READY TO BEGIN IMPEACHMENT PROCEEDINGS…cluster

    ———————————————————

    How would that work exactly? What steps would be involved in you, cluster, starting impeachment proceedings against the President of the United States of America?

  21. canadianobserver says:

    cluster says:
    June 21st, 2009 at 1:43 pm

    I AM READY TO BEGIN IMPEACHMENT PROCEEDINGS…

    ———————————————————

    How would that work exactly? What steps would be involved in you, cluster, starting impeachment proceedings against the President of the United States of America?

  22. canadianobserver says:

    Sorry for the double post. The first one didn’t register at once.

  23. cluster says:

    CO,

    It would work about the same as you not knowing how to work the submit button.

  24. canadianobserver says:

    OK. I’ll take that under advisement.

    So, cluster, how does that impeachment process work, anyway?

  25. cluster says:

    CO,

    You’re really not that thick, so I will assume that, in the absence of any defense of the POS in the white house, and not with any solutions yourself, you instead will rely on deflective queries you already know the answer to.

    Right?

  26. cluster says:

    What happened to the magical foreign policy skills Obama was going to bring to the white house?

    Care to elaborate on that one?

  27. frenchstudent says:

    Hey Frmrmarine ! Got that bill to sterilize single mothers drafted yet?

  28. cluster says:

    We should first ban men with extremely low testosterone levels. Know any?

  29. frenchstudent says:

    so, standing by your statement, Frmrmarine? Do you still wish single mothers sterilized?

  30. cluster says:

    Frenchie,

    I guess in the absence of any real solutions to current world problems, you, like CO, engage in mindless queries you already know the answers to.

    Why is that? Poorly educated? Bored? Stupid?

    Please help me out here.

  31. uffy says:

    frenchstudent: You obviously suffer from a mental disorder called “echolalia” where you continually repeat yourself. It is getting old on every article that is posted on this blog. I would hate to have your progeny…that is if you haven’t killed them all off– suffer from the same mental disorder.

    Dictator Obama should be impeached. He has broken the law and the Constitution. The USA was made great b/c of capitalism. The free markets work. The Marxist Kenyan piece of crap should be impeached and then hung for treason right along side his corrupt DEM admin. All Czars of Liars, Traitors, and Corruption.

  32. cam1 says:

    “How would that work exactly? What steps would be involved in you, cluster, starting impeachment proceedings against the President of the United States of America”
    -CO

    Don’t worry CO. Just like their solutions to the Iran problem, the righties have no idea how to actually carry out their plans for impeachment.

  33. leadeconomist says:

    Since I am soon to be banned from this site I feel I am able to speak my mind on a number of matters. How in the (expletive deleted) do you people sit here and claim piety and then go out into the world every day? Do you talk about these matters at work or do you whore up to have a home and things only to vent your true feelings here online?

    Arcitc Fox save yourself and leave these miserable dodgers to their morality meetings and right wing revivals. it will come to nothing because in the end they will just die off be forgotten like all things and leave nothing but questions for the historians. And we all know the victors write history.

  34. What intrigues me is the disconnect between Obama’s personal approval rating, which is in the 60s, and the approval of his policies, which is tanking. I think this shows the personality factor. When people can say, as so many have, “I don’t like what he is doing but I think he is doing a good job” it is clear that there is some other factor at work, and it has to be the charisma that has always allowed him to skirt criticism of his actions.

    Way late on this, amazona, but, I think the dynamic is that people are divorcing the personal from the politics. Even from the Conservative side, I doubt many hate or even dislike Obama personally. I don’t. I have no idea what kind of person he actually is, except through reports by others, so, were I polled, I’d probably give him OK marks for that. Not going to personally trash someone I do not know.

    But, his policies, ah, that is a different story. Interestingly, you see high marks from Democrats in polls, then, when they get on the ‘net, talk radio, etc, they are PO’d about the policies, what he is doing, what he isn’t, etc.

    Interestingly, I do not remember polls while Bush was president that separated the two very often. And, Conservatives gave him low policy marks because of the out of control spending, etc. Been down that road.

  35. Matt Margolis says:

    leadeconomist,

    I do not appreciate your “Since I am soon to be banned from this site …” b.s. just because you didn’t take few seconds to discover that obama’s approval ratings in various polls have been addressed before on this blog, doesn’t mean you’d be banned.

    Just because you are wrong, doesn’t mean you’d be banned… we have a bunch of liberals commenting here, openly and freely, that have done so for months and years. get over yourself. if you don’t appreciate the open forum here, then you can leave at anytime.

  36. cluster says:

    I think lead leaconomist lost his prozac. Either that he is realizing that the der leaders that he thought supported his distorted worldview are frauds.

    Or both. Sad little world he lives in.

  37. uffy says:

    poor leadeconomist is playing the victim card. How precious is that!

  38. luvRu5hh8l1b5 says:

    We should first ban men with extremely low testosterone levels. Know any?

    Yeah, at least two come to mind…

  39. amazona says:

    As usual, the Libs have been trying to deflect the discussion away from the very real fact that the thin veneer of Obamamania is starting to peel away, by leading the discussion into the weeds, where they are most comfortable—the bog of personal attacks and mud-slinging. And we have let them do it, again.

    When there is an argument for a position, that argument is made.

    When there isn’t, then an array of fallback positions is dragged out, and in the case of the RRL it is always irrelevant personal attacks.

    The argument for the position of the thread is that while overall approval of Obama is still high, though falling, approval ratings for his individual actions and policies are not so good. The Liberal “response” to this seems to be “So what, polls don’t mean anything, and your momma wears Army boots.”

    Yet another triumph for the innate superiority of the Liberal approach to intelligent political discourse.