I am sure that privately Democrats are worried about the possibility.
Democrats reject any comparisons between Daschle’s electoral demise and Reid’s tough re-election challenge. But pollsters and political experts say Reid is in a tough fight to avoid being the second Democratic Senate leader in six years to be defeated.
In some ways, Reid faces a more formidable re-election challenge than Daschle did. Nevada’s economy has been hit harder than most, with a 13.3% unemployment rate second only to Michigan. Reid trailed two possible Republican challengers in polls taken earlier this fall. His favorability rating of 38% in one poll, a fatal political level in many circumstances, was more than 20 points below Daschle’s in 2003.
Republicans are pulling out the argument they used to oust Daschle and applying it to Reid: that the demands of leading Senate Democrats have pulled the senator leftward and away from his state’s interests.
Reid has responded with new ads highlighting the jobs, money and clout he says he has brought to Nevada.
Lots of signs point to good news for Republicans, and as the national political landscapes shifts in our favor, Reid and other Democrats with find their jobs at risk. According to Donald Lambro of the Washington Times, “the latest Rothenberg Political Report on the 2010 Senate races is an eye-opener.”
“With the landscape changing noticeably over the summer, Democrats can no longer assume that they will have a net gain of seats in next year’s midterm elections,” veteran elections handicapper Stuart Rothenberg told his newsletter subscribers this week.
“Of the 13 Senate seats now regarded as seriously ‘in play,’ seven of them are currently held by Democrats,” Mr. Rothenberg said.
Just three months ago, Mr. Rothenberg wrote that Democratic Senate gains “in the order of 2-4 seats certainly seem reasonable.” Now he says that “gains of that magnitude are still possible, of course, but the most likely outcome is somewhere between a Republican gain of two seats and a Democratic gain of two seats.”
Clearly, there has been a significant and surprisingly rapid change in the country’s political climate, led by a truly grass-roots rebellion against the Democrats’ big spending, big government, high tax policies that threaten to add trillions of dollars to the nation’s ballooning national debt.
Potential Republican pickups in the U.S. Senate include Delaware (Biden’s open seat), Nevada (Harry Reid’s seat), Colorado, Louisiana (Blanche Linoln’s seat), Connecticut (Chris Dodd’s seat), Pennsylvania (Specter’s seat), and Illinois (Obama’s former seat now occupied by Roland Burris).
Yeah. The Democrats are in trouble. Their pursuit of a dangerous left-wing agenda is killing their chances to remain in power.
Harry Reid’s vulnerability is just the tip of the iceberg.
Thank you for visiting Blogs For Victory. If you enjoy our content, please consider making a donation to help us cover the costs of our servers.Matt Margolis is co-author (with Mark Noonan) of Caucus of Corruption: The Truth About The New Democratic Majority. He also blogs at The Buffalo Bean. Follow Matt on Twitter.
Keep in mind, Reid belongs to a party, and supports a President that almost single handedly brought the Las Vegas’s convention business to it’s knees.
The polls are taken before a “health care” bill is ramrodded through Congress, before the failures of the “stimulus bill” have been very well documented, and before opponents have had a chance to ask incumbent Dems why they voted for a plethora of various scams, giveaways, and general pork.
The only honest answer to the Whys would be “Well, I didn’t know that was in the bill—I voted for it but I didn’t read it.” Unless it is “Well, I saw a chance to pad what was being dishonestly presented to the public as an economic stimulus bill.” Not a great way to get reelected….
Will Reid Be Daschled?
lets pray so , by Mark
I think I speak for a majority of Democrats when I say… we HOPE Reid is gone. We just want him gone and replaced with a different Dem.
He is a horrible Majority Leader just as Pelosi is a HORRIBLE Speaker of the House.
Dems would be wise to kick both to the curb and find a more suitable replacement.
joe
2 out of 3
dont forget the worst of the worst zero.
id like to clean house on both sides, instill term limits, and start from scratch.
joe,
They (Reid & Pelosi) are only pushing Obama policies, and both were nominated by the majority of other democrats to their current positions, so they are also a reflection of what the party considers to be “good leaders”.
If the current majority of elected Democrats felt they were not good leaders, they wouldn’t be there. And that fact must sting a bit.
cluster,
if they were pushing Obama policies, perhaps they would have already had some sort of a Healthcare bill done. Instead both leaders are too chickenshit to push for bills regardless of what the GOP wants.
For example… months were wasted on a Healthcare bill just to try and get a max of 3 GOP votes. The bills kept getting more and more watered down because of that and the GOP won’t vote for the final passage anyway. They should have concentrated on just getting the DEM Senators on board and let the GOP join or add minor ammendments to join.
They are both weak. There are so many more qualified Dems to be in the leadership positions.
It does suck that the other Dems don’t remove them from leadership positions just to make the appearance of unity.
joey
the AMERICAN people do not want the draconian revamp of our health care prelude to marxist single payer system.
The only way the donks can pass it is to ram it down our throats.
Even they, unlike you, arent that stupid.
neocon1,
I am partially with you on that, but term limits for members of Congress could be more of a hinderance.
Term Limits sound good and it is a good buzz word for wingers.
However, With term limits nothing would get done.
In the final term a senator can hold up all kinds of bills because they know they won’t have to face the voters in the next election. It would be impossible to get anything done.
With term limits you wouldn’t ever get the strong congressmen that understand compromise and working accross isles.
Hate Ted Kennedy all you want, but because of his tenure and experience he DID get things done within his own party and with the GOP. Look at Orrin Hatch. I personally am not a big fan, but because of his experience, he can compromise and get things done.
With term limits you don’t get anyone that would be willing to take a stand to move the country forward.
Having said that, it would be nice to not have someone entrenched in Congress for 50 years.
Well first of all joe, the healthcare bill is a lot more about Pelosi, than it is Obama. As usual Obama has let other people do his work for him, and this bill should be called Pelosicare, not Obamacare. Secondly, they don’t need any GOP votes, none, nada, yet continued to call the GOP “obstructionists” because they could not reach concensus amongst themselves,and could not craft any sensible solution (still haven’t). Like it or not, Pelosi is the face of the Democrats, and that’s scary, for you anyways.
Oh please. Obama was there for only 180 days, and people like you thought he was the second coming and made him President.
the AMERICAN people do not want the draconian revamp of our health care prelude to marxist single payer system.
——————
There hasn’t been one bill that even considered a single payer system. So your talking point is nothing more than well…. a talking point.
If you look at polls, the American people DO want some sort of a Govt option that is built to bring down costs for private insurance. The American people DO want some sort of reform that brings down the cost of insurance. The American people doe NOT want status quo.
I know… I know… you will come back and say the Govt will force you to take their insurance. More talking point material and has been said over and over and over that it wouldn’t be what the bill would do.
cluster, I agree they don’t need any GOP votes. That is why it was so frustrating that they kept watering down the bills and caving in to GOP demands when the GOP will never vote for it anyway. They SHOULD have concentrated on getting all the Dems on the same page.
Nobody every thought Obama was “the second coming”. And what does that have to do with term limits anyway??
You people are talking about people being upset with Obama as if his approval is at 28%. He is still over 50%. It has been said right from the beginning that there are a lot of major issues right now and there isn’t a magic bullet that will fix everything (economy, healthcare, wars, etc). This is going to take a lot of work and it will take time. The only people that think otherwise would be the right-wing.
joe
There are so many more qualified Dems to be in the leadership positions.
BWWWAAAA HA HA HA
jefferson?
kennedymurtha? rangel? kerry? visclosky?More than 25 House Democrats had cases pending before one of the two investigative offices.
real good leadership joey, real nice.
neocon, don’t be all holier-than-thou thinking only Dems have ethics inquiries going on.
It would actually make you sound like more of a partisan hack than you already are.
Actually joe, when a Republican gets caught, the party will work to force them out. If a dem is caught, the party will do what will best allow them to retain that seat.
kjs… you can’t make that blanket statement.
We’ve been thru this several times on this blog. I don’t want to rehash all the same ol’ tired arguements.
joe sweetie,
It’s not the GOP they’re caving to, it’s blue dog dems and the American people. Most polls show people wanting government to slow down on this issue, and/or not to have a government option.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/current_events/healthcare/september_2009/health_care_reform
There are so many ways to reform healthcare and why democrats let the dumbest broad on the planet to craft the bill just shows that liberals have shit for brains
joe,
Unfortunately, Reid hasn’t drawn a Democrat primary challenger. So, it’ll have to be Lowden, or Tarkanian…or, who knows?
neocon,
Thanks for the vote of confidence.
“We’ve been thru this several times on this blog. I don’t want to rehash all the same ol’ tired arguements.”
Wow, joe, just a profound statement.
But, you continually bring up “tired ol’ arguments” (debunked ones at that) in your whining posts about how bad republicans are, how everyhthng is Bush’s fault, how Republicans are stopping healthcare with no plans of their own, etc. etc. etc. ad nauseum…..
It’s time to join reality and leave the land of modern liberal make believe.
Mark,
I’ll trade one Bill Owens for one Nancy Pelosi. In the Senate, if we lost Reid it would be a little different. I think a strong leaded in the Senate could do more with 59 votes than Reid will ever do with 60. Reid may be smart, I don’t know. I suppose he must be capable of negotiating the hazards necessary to reach the leadership position but he is not very inspirational. It is like watching bread turn into toast.