Rendell: Obama Could Face Primary Challenger

From Huffington Post:

Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell predicted on Tuesday that if the president escalates America’s military involvement in Afghanistan he could very well face a primary challenger in 2012…

Which is both typical of liberal Democrat politics, and a continuing reminder of just how pathetic liberals are. Boiled down, what Rendell is saying is that if Obama responds to changing circumstances in Afghanistan and sends more troops (or, presumptively, if he just refuses to draw down after July of 2011), then there could be a primary challenger to him. Shades of Bobby Kennedy against LBJ in 1968!

While it should be kept in mind that Rendell was a Hillary backer in 2008, it cannot be ignored that he represents a significant portion of the Democrat coalition on this. And the fact that he’s airing this in public shows the level of dismay Obama is generating on the left. There is clearly a growing level of anger out there over the fact that the new, liberal dawn hasn’t come about as expected on election night, 2008.

I will have to rate the emergence of a serious primary challenger to Obama as a 1-100 shot. But this is still vastly different from “absolutely impossible”, which would have been my judgment even a couple weeks ago. Its still not at all likely because, quite simply, any Democrat who did challenge Obama would be doomed politically, even if they snatched the nomination away from him – there is no way that the broad mass of African-Americans would forgive the Democrat who ousted Obama;come November after that, black voters would stay home in droves, thus assuring not just a GOP Presidential win, but also a massive win in House, Senate and other down-ballot contests (Democrats are extraordinarily dependent upon high black turnout voting 90% Democrat). The Democrat who brought this about would be utterly finished in politics.

And so, I don’t think any of the potential serious challengers would do it. For instance, Hillary ages, but she is also in good health and 2016 is not too long from now. Why end all chances of it in 2012 when a mere four years later she’d have a chance of grabbing the brass ring?

On the other hand, if 2010 turns out badly for the Democrats and the economy slips deep in to recession/depression in 2011, then the choice for the Democrats may come down to figuring out how to save the party. Staying loyal to Obama won’t be much worth if by January 2013 they’re facing a GOP President backed by 300 House and 60 Senate Republicans. With that, in just two years all of Obamunism can be undone and great strides made in dismantling the entire Democrat power structure.

We’ll have to see how it comes out – but clearly things are not rosy in Democrat-land at the moment.



Mark Noonan is co-author (with Matt Margolis) of Caucus of Corruption: The Truth About The New Democratic Majority. He also blogs at Nevada News and Views. Follow Mark on Twitter.


12 Responses to “Rendell: Obama Could Face Primary Challenger”

  1. bozo says:

    Your racism might be peeking out of your hemline… who says African Americans are thrilled with Obama because he’s African American? African Americans will support whoever reflects each individual’s goals and aspirations, regardless of race.

    You don’t see African Americans lining up behind Steele, do you? No, because Steele is an opportunistic idiot.

    Give those born of a different tone than yours a break.

    • neocon1 says:

      blozo

      right to the raaaacist card, a lecture on race, then BASH Steele?

      pot meet kettle, you racist blozo!

      • neocon1 says:

        0zer0

        move over, the Klintoon machine is oiled up, gassed up and a comin to steam roll you.

        The alien head has already begun the attacks on 0chimpy over the oil leak and dismal response.
        So now what?
        replace one commie alinskyite regime with another?

    • cluster says:

      How is Steele an opportunistic idiot and Obama is not? Please explain.

      • slccr says:

        There are none so blind as those who refuse to see.

        That said, it’s not entirely fair to pin it all on Steele–after all, his nomination was just a panicked bit of “hey, we know a black guy–we’ll make him our leader!” me-too-ism from the GOP.

      • cluster says:

        So Steele got his job because he is black? And you don’t consider yourself a racist?

    • rightlane says:

      “Who says African Americans are thrilled with Obama because he’s African American?”

      The stats say that very clearly. There is around 90% support for Obama in the African American community. If race weren’t a contributing factor among African American, then we would expect to see that number much closer to the mean or slighty under 50 Percent.

      • Amazona says:

        Besides which black people were, for the most part, pretty candid about the racial element of their love of Obama.

        Steele, as Lt. Governor, made a great impression. Ever hear of the Peter Principle? It is the theory that a person is elevated from one position to another based on his good performance, until he gets elevated a step beyond his abilities.

        The Principle explains how and why so many people are in jobs they can’t handle—they get elevated to one step above their abilities, and then stay there, whereas they really should be dropped back to the level where they performed well.

        Steele was very good, at his prior level. He got elevated a step above his capabilities. He needs to get back to the level where he can excel.

        No racism there. This is how logical and rational people make decisions.

    • Mark Noonan says:

      bozo,

      Hardly. The fact of the matter is that even now African-Americans give overwhelming, enthusiastic support to President Obama. And no shame in that – he is, still, America’s first black President. Look at what Catholics did for the Kennedys even long after the Kennedys de-facto abandoned Catholicism. Tribal loyalties are weird, but they are there – no sense denying them.

      I absolutely stand by this – if someone ousts Obama in the primary, unless by some chance the person doing it is black, then African-American voters will punish the Democrat party very severely – mostly by staying home.

  2. brooks says:

    A primary challenge would come from the party’s right… setting that person up with a network for a 2016 run against a GOP incumbent.

  3. chrissyann says:

    I don’t remember a Republican African American NOT being called some epithet from the left.

    Liberalism: our racism is good racism.