Just in case any of you out there are getting skittish – a few words to the wise. First off, here’s a headline from September, 1980:
“Campaign Kickoff; Has Reagan Dropped the Ball?” - U.S. News and World Report, 9/9/1980
In what shapes up as a tight contest for the White House, even associates of Ronald Reagan conceded that the Republican nominee got off to a sputtering start in his attempt to replace President Jimmy Carter…
Reagan, of course, went on to win by 10.
Coming out of the convention what Obama wants – and thus the MSM will do – is play up every negative aspect for the GOP and every positive aspect for Obama (even if they have to make up things to fit both narratives). Remember, 90% of the MSM is in the tank for Obama – always has been, always will be. They will not tell the truth. Now, readers here know that I’ve been confident of a Romney victory: I remain confident. Can Obama win? Sure he can. Lots of things can happen in an election – maybe the American people in a majority will want to continue Obama’s destructive rule. So be it.
But I don’t think it will happen – if it does happen it just means that we’ve allowed socialism to go too far and it will have to get massively worse before a majority are fully awake to the necessary revolution. Fortunately – if I may use that word – the re-election of Obama will make things rapidly get massively worse so we’ll have a good shot of winning in 2016 if not in 2012. But I don’t believe a majority of my fellow Americans are that far gone – at least 40% of them are (and thus that is the ultimate floor for the Obama vote – when he shouldn’t get more than 10%, representing the people who really profit of our corrupt system) – but not a majority. November 6th will either prove or disprove my view – but my view of where the majority is doesn’t depend on polls (hasn’t at all this election cycle) because the polls are simply over-sampling Democrats. My view is based upon cold, hard, facts on the ground – and all of those (such as, for instance, Romney’s 22 campaign offices in Michigan – a State Obama won by more than 16 percentage points) show, at a minimum, that Romney is even with Obama, and I think he’s actually ahead.
UPDATE: Hot Air reports on a new poll showing Obama up by 7 over Romney in New Jersey. Yes, New Jersey. The State Obama won by 15 points in 2008.
Does it stand to reason that Obama can lose that much support in heavily blue New Jersey and yet not lose it in purple Ohio and Florida? I’m telling ya – any State that Obama won by less than 5 is gone, any State won by less than 10 is “tossup”.