Open Thread: Super Tuesday Two
Latest polling shows Hillary with a solid lead in Ohio and neck and neck in Texas; from what I can tell, the momentum has shifted ever so slightly in Hillary’s favor over the past week, but we’ll have to see if its enough to carry her to victory in Texas - and, in my view, if Hillary doesn’t win Texas then the pressure from the party establishment will become intense for her to quit. Be that as it may, I see no signs of quitting on Hillary’s part - and, know what?, if I were in her position, I’d keep right at it until I was actually beaten. Why roll over for a non-entity like Obama just because he’s had a good media ride?
Anyways - what do you think? Brave enough to make any predictions?
UPDATE, Matt Margolis: It’s hard to make any predictions for the Democrat races in Ohio and Texas, but what I’m hearing so far are major indicators of a momentum shift in Hillary’s favor. Democrats who have made their decision in the past 3-days after going for Hillary, and the whole “change” message is not having as big an impact as it used to. I think given these indicators, if Hillary can win either Ohio or Texas, but not both, she’ll still stay in the race.
In other news, it’s looking likely that John McCain will secure the Republican nomination tonight.
UPDATE, Matt Margolis, 9:02 PM: McCain clinches nomination… Blogs For Victory is proud to announce the launch of Blogs for John McCain’s Victory.
UPDATE, by Mark Noonan: Watching McCain’s victory speech; in pointing out that we can’t undo the past and we must win in Iraq, McCain is offering a devastating critique of HillBama’s position on Iraq, and the War on Terrorism.
Ohio: 26% in, 58% Hillary, 40% Obama; 38% in, Hillary 57%, Obama 41%; 49% in, Hillary 57%, Obama 41%; 10:56pm Eastern Fox calls Ohio for Clinton
Texas: 10% in, 51% Obama, 48% Hillary; 15% in, 50% Obama, 48% Clinton; 22% in, Obama 49%, Hillary 49% (less than 3,000 votes separation out of more than 1.4 million counted)
UPDATE, by Matt Margolis, 10:51 PM: Hillary poised to win Ohio… Razor thin margin in Texas… Hillary takes slight lead:
Clinton: 748,849 49%
Obama: 738,007 49%
UPDATE: Hillary wins Ohio… Hilary leads widens in Texas…
UPDATE, by Mark Noonan: Hillary’s warm up speaker says “let us go to Michigan and Florida”…ie, lets have a bloody knife-fight for the nomination.
Precincts Reporting: 54%
Hillary Clinton: 987,717 50%
Barack Obama: 940,394 48%
UPDATE, by Mark Noonan: Is it just me, or is Obama acting like he won the Democratic nomination tonight?
UPDATE, Matt Margolis, 11:54 PM: Hillary’s lead continues to get wider… I think it is clear that momentum has shifted away from Obama…
UPDATE, by Mark Noonan: MSNBC calls Texas for Hillary. The “mo” is certainly back with Hillary right now - could be that the rather empty rhetoric of Obama is finally starting to wear off…
UPDATE: Kossaks ain’t too happy…
68 comments March 4th, 2008
