From Drudge:
ZOGBY SATURDAY: Republican John McCain has pulled back within the margin of error… The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama 48% to 47% in Friday, one day, polling. He is beginning to cut into Obama’s lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all..
Obviously, the quick rebuttal is that national polls don’t matter… state polls do. Fair enough. But one cannot deny the obvious trend in McCain’s favor over the past week. This means that with the election a few days away that momentum is on his side. This makes a good case for him to carry the last minute undecided voters who could decide the election.
Tags: Polls, Zogby
November 1st, 2008
We’re getting back into the region of a statistical dead heat:
Democrat Barack Obama’s lead over Republican John McCain in the presidential race has dropped to 3 points, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday.
Obama leads McCain by 48 to 45 percent among likely U.S. voters, down 1 percentage point from Saturday. The four-day tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 points.
Pollster John Zogby said the numbers were good news for McCain, and probably reflected a bump following his appearance in the third and final presidential debate on Wednesday.
“For the first time in the polling McCain is up above 45 percent. There is no question something has happened,” Zogby said.
He said the Arizona senator appeared to have solidified his support with the Republican base — where 9 out of 10 voters now back him — and was also gaining ground among the independents who may play a decisive role in the November 4 election.
Obama’s lead among independent voters dropped to 8 points on Sunday from 16 points a day earlier.
‘RED FLAGS’
“If that trend continues, it is something that has got to raise red flags for Obama,” Zogby said. “It suggests to me that his outward look of confidence may be as much strategy as it is real.”
I agree with that - while Obama and his MSM cheerleaders are trying to convince all and sundry that the race is over, the actions of Obama are telling a different story. Obama’s money, time and staffing are going in places which indicate a need to thread the needle, especially if it turns out that Pennsylvania is falling to McCain (the time in the “red” States can be a sign of victory, or a sign that Obama realizes that to get to 270 he’ll have to peel off more “red” States than he originally anticipated - Murtha calling western Pennsylvanians a bunch of racists will not help Obama in that State). Ten days from now, if McCain is back in Michigan and Obama is right behind him, then anticipate a long night for Obama on November 4th.
Tags: Obama Deceptions, Polls, Zogby
October 19th, 2008
Just released today.
The race for President of the United States remains far too close to call between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain as both candidates head toward the finish line, a recent Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking telephone polls shows.
The survey, including a three-day sample of 1,220 likely voters collected over the previous three days - approximately 400 per day from Oct. 5-7, 2008 - shows that Obama holds a slight advantage amounting to 1.9 percentage points over McCain. This represents a bit of a recovery by McCain, who had been sliding in some polls before his running mate, Sarah Palin, put in a strong performance in her one and only debate performance last Thursday.
Tags: Polls, Sarah Palin, Zogby
October 8th, 2008
