So, it is semi-official:
…As a result of these conversations and thoughtful consideration of the kind of strong leadership I think America needs, I have decided to actively explore the possibility of running for President of the United States.
In January, I also plan to establish a Leadership PAC that will help me facilitate conversations with citizens across America to discuss the most critical challenges facing our exceptional nation. The PAC’s purpose will be to support leaders, ideas and policies that will expand opportunity and prosperity for all Americans…
Just to be clear, I voted for the elder Bush in 1988 and 1992. I voted for W. in 2000 and 2004. I helped to write this blog when it was “Blogs for Bush”. Heck, I even voted for Jeb on his first, unsuccessful run for Florida governor in 1994. If you’re listening out there, Jeb, then do lay this to heart: you will never be President of the United States.
There is, of course, the very high hurdle of getting the nomination in a party where the base is ticked off that we went with two moderates in a row and got creamed. But supposing you manage to get past that and win the nomination – the presumptive nominee is going to be Hillary and in the public mind, there is no contest: the people will pick a Clinton before they’ll pick a Bush. If you are the nominee then the whole of 2016 will be an endless, nauseating, false and disgusting rehash of all the BUSH LIED!!!!1!! nonsense from 2004 and 2008…Obama will be off the table. It’ll all be about your older brother, and the promise that Hillary can restore the peace and prosperity of the late 1990’s. You will lose, and lose rather badly – and even if the Democrats go full kook and turn to Warren, you’ll still lose because your last name is Bush.
I’m one of the people who have always held that you take what you can get – that even if the GOP nominee isn’t what I really wanted (Mitt was my 6th or 7th choice in 2012), you still back that nominee as the Democrat alternative is always much worse. In 2016, if you’re the nominee, then I’m writing in Bobby Jindal. And that is how it will go…you’ll win Independents by double digits over Hillary, but her base will be vastly more motivated than yours, and you’ll lose…and probably by a bigger electoral margin than McCain did in 2008.
Just don’t do it, Jeb – if you really are listening, then listen to common sense: you can’t win. Stay out.