Why Were The NH Polls Wrong?

Polls pretty much predicted the results of last nights GOP primary, but polls were showing another blowout victory for Obama. So, what happened?

A local radio host predicted after Iowa that Obama wouldn’t do as well in New Hampshire. Why? Because New Hampshire had a primary, not a caucus… and in a caucus, the selection process is not secret ballot… Democrats, ever so mindful of race, really, really want to support a black candidate — even though their view of our country tells them that Obama can’t possibly be elected — still, it makes them feel good about themselves to say they are backing the minority candidate, be it during a caucus, or while being polled on the phone… But when push comes to shove, or when it comes to pulling that lever in the privacy of their own voting booth, they are more inclined to vote for the candidate that they think really has a chance to win.

Was that a factor? Or was Hillary’s teary-eyed display actually helpful to getting women to push her back on top?

UPDATE, by Mark Noonan: Richardson is out

UPDATE, by Mark Noonan: Kossacks think that Diebold stole the election for Hillary.