I have a sense of optimism this morning that I haven’t felt in a long time, and that optimism is grounded in the belief that Romney will win this election and restore confidence in America. The polls today, and over the last couple of days reflect an unimpeded resurgence by the Romney campaign that electorally, will put him on top in just over two weeks. Gallup has it 52% – 45% Romney, a new poll by Susquehanna Polling and Research has Romney up in Pennsylvania by 4 points, Rasmussen has Romney up by 3 in Virginia and Florida, for the first time ever RCP has Romney ahead in the electoral count 206-201, and maybe most shocking of all is that Romney’s favorability rating now tops Obama’s. However, I will say that as of this morning, Rasmussen does have the candidates tied at 48% and Rasmussen is the poll I trust more than others, but that being said the momentum is clearly behind Romney and at the most crucial time.
So what are the events that led to this turn around? Several in my opinion, chief among them, Libya. Voters are realizing that the misguided foreign policy of Obama is starting to have a very alarming impact on the security of this country and the cover up of the death of Ambassador Chris Stevens is unforgivable, and Romney will crucify Obama on that issue on Monday. Obama’s first debate was abysmal, and Biden’s arrogant debate performance did not set well with women and independents. The continued slow growth of the GDP, the manipulation of unemployment figures (California not reporting), and the lack of any real economic plan going forward from Obama also led to the resurgence of Romney who has put forth a very common sense 5 point plan to get this economy back on track and the experience to get it done. But most importantly is the false caricature of Romney that Axlerod and Obama tried to sell. People are realizing that Romney is a compassionate, knowledgeable, experienced leader, and are realizing that the perceptions of Romney that Axlerod tried to sell, are just wrong. This quote from Obama is coming back to haunt him:
“If you don’t have a record to run on, then you paint your opponent as someone people should run from. You make a big election about small things.”
Obama is running on small things (think: contraception, tax cuts for the rich) and trying to paint Romney as someone to run from. Romney is running on big things (think: tax reform, medicare reform) and giving people a reason to be optimistic and confident, and that will result in a win.
And Romney’s performance last night at the Alfred E. Smith Dinner is a must see! He is not only compassionate, intelligent and a leader, his comedic talents are pretty sharp too.
Blogs For Victory 
Voters are realizing that the misguided foreign policy of Obama is starting to have a very alarming impact on the security of this country and the cover up of the death of Ambassador Chris Stevens is unforgivable, and Romney will crucify Obama on that issue on Monday.
The cover up is starting to unravel, and it’s looking more and more like the Benghazi attack was the culmination of Obama’s leading from behind strategy resulting in leaving northeastern Libya an Al Qaeda stronghold armed with weapons we gave them. It’s really the worst possible scenario for Obama. Not only is Al Qaeda not on the run as he has claimed, they are in resurgence armed with U.S.-provided weapons. I hope Romney is not timid in his attack on Monday night.
Charles Krauthammer had a great line last night on Fox’s Special Report related to the administrations constantly changing narrative on the Benghazi attack. I can’t find the exact quote, so I’m paraphrasing: the truth is the best strategy because it’s easier to remember.
As an aside, Hot Air has the word from Rasmussen that starting tomorrow we’ll see a small bump for Romney in the post 2nd-debate polling – today’s survey dropped a day which was really good for Romney and had a day (the day immediately after the debate) which was pretty good for Obama…tomorrow’s, though, will start to show separation between them again.
Of course, my prediction of a Romney victory was never based on polling but upon facts on the ground – the nearly million Democrats in Battleground States switching their voter registration in the past couple years; the collapse of the number of registered Democrats in the Democrat strongholds of Ohio; the poor economy; the fact that Romney was able to match Obama in fundraising even though Obama had the power of the Presidency and a long head start; the crowds that Romney is generating while Obama’s people seriously tried to sell the story that Obama’s crowds were being kept small on purpose; anecdotal evidence from “purple” districts indicating a lot of Romney signs and an absence of Obama signs; the Democrats engaging in House race “triage” as early as three or four months ago (meaning they were starting to cut their losses and re-directing resources away from taking seats and towards saving seats); the word coming out over the past 10 days that Obama is finished in FL, CO, NC and VA…it all adds up to a definitive shift to Romney and the GOP.
Now, Obama can still win – but here’s the thing, it will be a narrow win, if he does pull it off. Looking back over history the story of incumbents being beaten usually means being beaten in a big way. For the past 100 years it was the elder Bush (lost by 5.5); Carter (lost by 9.7); Ford (lost by 1.9); Hoover (lost by 16.7); Taft (18.6). Ford was the closest but also strange one – an appointed President tainted by his predecessors scandals but not actually responsible for them. The average is 10 points. My view has always been that it will be Obama narrowly or Romney big; I’m not saying Romney will win by 10 (though he might) but I certainly see him winning by 6, if he wins at all.
If you take today’s RCP Electoral map and give Romney PA, VA, and Fl (according to Drudge)–Romney is at 268 and I am sure he could pick up 2 more from the 69 left as toss-ups. After the final debate it will be over for Obama as he is already toast.
Just wondering how much damage this lame duck could do before Jan when King Putt and Queen Mooch are kicked to the curb.
Other than pardons anything he does between November 6th and January 20th can be undone by Romney.
Well, I’m shocked, SHOCKED, I say. The California official who delayed the unemployment figures last week was an Obama contributor in 2008.
say it aint so JR….how could that be?
will al ubama take credit for this?…….
REPORT: Fidel Castro suffers stroke, near ‘a neurovegetative state’…
GOOD; maybe soon he will meet the more than TEN THOUSAND fellow countrymen he and che sent to their graves.
Well, it would be safe to claim he killed Fidel, the Cubans not being known for hysterical mobs rioting in the streets.
But it would tick off his base, especially those wearing those Che T-shirts. If you want to keep the radical Left, you can’t comment on Che being a murderous thug, brought in by Fidel to butcher people who stood against him.
No, to keep the radical base happy, both Che and Fidel have to be portrayed as heroes.
And don’t forget, Michael Moore told us all how Cuba is a paradise, with the best health care in the world, thanks to the benevolence and brilliant leadership of Tio Fidel.
I doubt there was anything nefarious; likely it just slipped their mind.
“Dude, weren’t we supposed to tell someone something?“
Then again, a point I missed during the debate but has not gone unnoticed is Obama’s response to Candy while she was lying for him. Paraphrasing here but Obama said something like “Check the transcripts, Candy” What transcripts and why would they be there except as a preplanned affront to the very question of when Obama actually said it was a ‘Act of Terror’ (not quite the same as a terrorist attack) versus blaming a film trailer no one saw. Aside from cutting off a Presidential candidate during a debate–she flat out lied. Nevertheless, at the same time Queen Mooch was caught clapping loudly–a violation of the debate protocols. Nothing new, nothing to see here, move along.
I have to wonder how Candy feels about being so publicly outed by Obama as a complicit partisan in that debate. Any credibility she ever had has to be destroyed now, and he threw her under the bus with no concern for that. When he got cornered and pointed at her and yelled “check the transcript” he identified her as someone who had participated in a con, and I hope she never lives it down.
We saw Rather and his ‘legacy’ permanently tainted by his willingness to abandon even the pretense of journalistic integrity, even before he blurted out his belief that it was OK to publish something false if he believed it to be in pursuit of something he personally thought was true—-“fake but accurate”.
Crowley deserves no better. She crossed the line, not from objective to partisan but even farther, into being a participant, and it is inexcusable.
I understand that Crowley also picked the questions. So just how objective could she be if she allowed that bizarre question about Bush, which was so completely irrelevant and so totally in line with the Obama Excuse Campaign? And the one which falsely claimed that women make only 72% of what men make?
I guess she HAD to allow at least one question about Benghazi, but she was careful to keep it limited to who dropped the ball on providing security, and avoided the messier question of why the White House lied for two weeks. Even then, Romney addressed the cover-up, so she had to shut him down.
BTW, I love her coy comment that she “knew” there would be questions about Libya, so she studied up on what the president had said. Yeah, she “knew”—-she picked the question.
I’d like to see the questions that were NOT chosen. I’d like to see if any really relevant questions were passed over, so she could get in the obligatory Bush-bashing and guilt by association (what with Bush and Romney both being Republicans and all….)
Great points – her “knowing” Benghazi would come up doesn’t exactly require a crystal ball considering she picked the questions, and having the transcripts suggests a coordinated effort with someone. Crowley, and the media in general, hurt themselves in this one, and Obama did as well. The needle hasn’t moved one bit for Obama following that debate and Romney will have a great chance on Monday to tear both the media and Obama apart on this issue. I hope he does it.
Twenty-five years ago today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 508 points, from 2,247 to 1,739, a drop of 22.6%. The DOW was off 205 today, but it was only a 1.51% drop. A 22.6% drop today would have been 3,062 points.
Ah, Black Monday. That was pretty terrible. And what a terrible legacy for Reagan to leave the incoming president, GHW Bush. But what’s your point, Spook? Are you having trouble wrapping your mind around the numbers or the legacy?
Just an observation — no point. Something which I would think you could relate to.
Ah, Black Monday. That was pretty terrible. And what a terrible legacy for Reagan to leave the incoming president, GHW Bush
What an ignorant and vicious thing to say. The DJIA ended up for the year on December 31, 1987, and completely recovered from Black Monday shortly after Bush 41 was inaugurated.
Yeah, but it’s just rico. This is pretty much what we can expect from him. It’s either endless verbiage designed to showcase his immense ego (followed by pleadings for someone, ANYONE, to care enough to try to discuss whatever it is he has been blathering on about) or it’s simpering snipes.
This latest seems to be out of the bozo playbook, the snideness that doesn’t even rise to the level of real snide, being so lame and impotent.
reek-O
Ah, Black Monday.
RACIST!!
Paul Ryan will be campaigning in Pennsylvania – yes, it might be a gigantic head-fake to unsettle the Democrats but you still don’t sent your Veep candidate out just to do a head-fake. In other words, Ryan’s time is valuable – if Romney was uncertain of victory in any of the States necessary for 270, Ryan wouldn’t be going to Pennsylvania.
“Obama is running on small things (think: contraception………)”
And even this is based on a blatant lie. He is constantly telling audiences that under Romney, employers will be able to decide whether or not women can even GET contraception. The college audience he spoke to yesterday roared when he said this—which really makes me doubt the intelligence of the average college student—but it is so transparently false that I am amazed anyone can buy it.
I am hoping to see an ad where Romney points out that Obama can only run on lies. First Obama had an ad claiming that under Romney employers could DENY ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE FOR WOMEN !!!!!! I mean, how utterly stupid this comment is, yet it was the message of an ad that ran for weeks in Colorado and for all I know is still running. Then he ran an ad with a Romney comment, taken out of context, in which it sounds as if Romney is threatening to “get rid” of Planned Parenthood, when in fact he was saying he would get rid of federal funding for Planned Parenthood—a huge difference and a huge lie. He is now back to claiming that under Romney employers could make the decision, not whether or not they would PAY for contraception but whether or not women could even GET contraception.
It is terribly desperate and I wish the GOP would point it out.
We already know that the hard core Left doesn’t care when it is lied to, that it is lied to, but many others might stop to wonder why, if Obama has any strengths at all, he has to rely so heavily on outright lies. Shameless lies. Not just distortions of the truth, not just spin, but cold hard unambiguous LIES.
Just to add to the already big lie of getting rid of Planned Parenthood instead of just cutting the Federal funding is when in the Obama sponsored political ad–they state (paraphrasing) “where women go to get mammograms” which is a service PP does not provide. I guess if you are going to lie–might as well make it as big of a whopper as possible.
BTW, not that I don’t miss them ~ but where are the flapping monkeys on this one?.
But what can they say?
I think a Lefty response would have to come either from Column A—-“I am one of the Stupid Class the ads are directed to and I believe them”… or Column B—“Our side is lying”.
Easier to sit this one out.
I think our resident lefties see the current implosion of the Obama campaign and the real possibility of a Romney win and are crawling back under their rocks.
Newsmax has an article on an editorial that recently appeared in the New England Journal of Medicine. It included this: (emphasis mine)
“The NEJM editorial also criticize other aspects of Obamacare and suggests more market-based approaches, such as those proposed by Democrat Sen. Ron Wyden of Oregon and vice-presidential candidate Paul Ryan, would more effectively reform the nation’s healthcare system.
Among the other key points of the editorial:
FEE-FOR-SERVICE: Despite widespread recognition that fee-for-service reimbursement rewards doctors and providers for the quantity of healthcare services delivered and not high quality, Obamacare does little to change reimbursement strategies now used in Medicare. “Much of the coverage expansion is financed through Medicare budget savings, which are produced by reducing the fees paid by Medicare to institutional providers such as hospitals, home care agencies, and nursing homes,” Wilensky noted, “but using the same perverse reimbursement system currently in place.”
PHYSICIAN PAYMENTS: Obamacare contains no reform of the way physicians are paid for some 800 specific services, which is “the most dysfunctional part of the Medicare program,” she argued. “This system rewards the provision of highly reimbursed services without consideration of whether clinicians are providing low-cost, high-value care for patients.”
MEDICARE CUTS: Obamacare provides Medicare “productivity adjustments,” but unless these institutions find ways to reduce costs, lower Medicare reimbursements will force providers to bargain for higher payments from private insurers. “Eventually, seniors’ access to services will be threatened,” she said. “The Medicare actuary expects that 15 percent of institutional providers will lose money on their Medicare business by 2019, and the proportion will increase to 25 percent by 2030.”
FEW QUALITY PROVISIONS: Although some reforms are included in the law, such as value-based purchasing and accountable care organizations (ACOs), that could drive up quality while holding down costs, she said the amount providers will be paid are small and not likely to lead to many changes.
NO MARKET-BASED REFORMS: Like Medicare, Obamacare relies on regulatory methods, instead of harnessing market forces, to promote spending reductions and improve quality of care. If that approach fails, the law authorizes an Independent Payment Advisory Board to reduce payments to clinicians and institutions. Although Congress can override the IPAB’s recommendations, it can do so only by a three-fifth’s “super majority,” and only if it acts within a limited time and comes up with comparable savings.”
ama
HELP….
how did you fix your log in name and ditch the red letters?
Good “job” Ochimpy……..
POLL: Egyptians turn to Iran, want nuclear bomb…
woo hoo
AMF POS
PA SHOCK POLL: R 49% O 45%…
VA: R 50% O 47%…
FL: R 51% O 46%…
Psalm 109:8 nov 6th
PS the **ONLY** ubama poster in my neighborhood is on a black neighbor’s lawn….who’d a thunk that?…..racism?? actually quite sad..
neo, I just found my password so I can log into the account I first created, way back when.
Neocon,
If you click on your “red letters” you will find a place to delete your account and that will get rid of your red letters. You will have to remember your original password to get your old account back.
The Vice President just gets more bizzare every day. Truly terrifying that he is a heartbeat away from being the leader of the free world.
Ill take the lost heartbeat and let joe have his day (not a threat just wishing for the 4 packs a day to do it’s job)
Liberals are starting to lose it folks – this is hilarious!
I think it is kind of sweet, in a creepy sort of way, to watch Larry O’Donnell try to figure out what what real men do, how they think, what they are.
It’s just that he is approaching this subject from such a distance…….
LOL
we went to the Am. Legion last night with 18 couples to hear one of our favorite groups….Mo Town. I was going to wear a Romney Tee shirt but it would have caused cardiac arrest for several of our LIB buds so I was a good boy…..still chuckling though thinking of how the night would have gone If I had worn it.
ugh ( I must be getting old)
Did you notice the heavy blue collar Massachusets accent O’Donnell had when starting to get tough? That’s the funniest video I have seen in a long time.
Republicans bracing for ‘October surprise’ as Gloria Allred ‘prepares for Romney revelation’
Daily Mail Online ^ | 10-20-12 | Daily Mail Reporter
Republicans are bracing themselves for Gloria Allred to make a potentially damaging revelation about Mitt Romney, just weeks before the election.
The pro-President Obama lawyer is rumoured to be preparing for her so-called ‘October surprise’ in which she will strike the Republican presidential hopeful’s chances by unearthing some sort of secret or scandal.
Ms Allred has refused to comment on the rumours, which first surfaced in a tweet by the Drudge Report’s Matt Drudge on Thursday.
‘Here she comes. Hearing Gloria Allred out there again, about to make a move. After all, it’s her time of the campaign. Team O at the
ready!!’
maybe time for the GOP to release some larry sinclair and (buddy) reggy love (O’s **body man**) pics themselves.
You could do almost the same rant and substitute the name Obama for Romney. Neither Obama nor his father served in the U.S. military. Obama’s father hated the United States, and there’s ample evidence that Obama himself doesn’t much care for this country and holds the American military is particularly low esteem, a feeling that is reciprocated by a great many of our men and women in uniform. And I think it’s a safe bet that neither of Obama’s daughters will ever put on a uniform — at least not a military uniform.
Speaking of uniforms, did anyone else catch this?
Did you notice that on the Daily Show the other night, Obama blamed the lack of communication on Libya to the fact that, and I paraphrase – “the government is a big complex organization that sometimes doesn’t work as efficiently as it should”?
Yet Obama somehow trusts the government to be efficient with our healthcare, and nearly everything else? does this guy even listen to himself?
I would also like to have a President that doesn’t go on The View, the Daily Show, and Letterman. The Presidency is not a celebrity position, it’s a serious job.
al Ubamas…. new SS
‑ we don’t really know what our job description is but we’re willing to help out.”
Me Too
I would also like to have a President
REALLY? Camon…..
Tolerance: Obama Supporters Urge Black Romney Voters to Kill Themselves
Rumor of the day is that Obama will ink a deal with Iran on nukes over the weekend and announce it before the debate on Monday. Could be – Iran’s government certainly would like to keep working with Obama rather than deal with Romney. But if true I don’t think it will change the trajectory of the campaign.
Treaties with tyrants and dictators always work out well right? They alway live up to their word.
I’ll bet there are just millions of people out there who are saying, “I would vote for Obama if he would just sign a nuclear non-proliferation treaty with Iran.”
Maybe A-Jad will pinky swear……
Mark, I think there is a real danger in Obama trying any last minute gamesmanship. He is so clearly floundering, so clearly falling behind, that I think anything he does is going to be so transparently a last-ditch effort to gain ground it can easily backfire.
Just look at the jobs report. No one really took it seriously, even before it came out that California had delayed its reporting, which changed the data used to come up with the figures.
I get the impression that a newly cynical America is watching Obama, wondering what trick he will try next, and that even a lot of people who still kind of like him will be turned off by efforts to manipulate things.
Here is an interest angle. I have no knowledge about this or the author but I did find it interesting:
http://floppingaces.net/most_wanted/solid-proof-obama-is-planning-a-concession-speech-event-for-november-6th-election-night/