First, let me state an obvious point: Ron Paul won’t be the GOP nominee.
Next, let me say that I suspect Rick Santorum will have a similar fate as Mike Huckabee, and will be peter out soon enough. With Rick Perry limping along, I see this still being a race between Mitt and Newt. If Rick Perry manages to revitalize his campaign in South Carolina, it may be a three-man race, but with speculation last night being that Perry would drop out, right or wrong, his campaign took a blow last night. I don’t think the Iowa Caucuses should mean so much–and in many ways they don’t–but the impact on the race already is clear.
Rick Santorum, in my opinion, has never been a viable candidate for the nomination. I like him. I’ve met him. But, he’s not the one to go head to head with Obama. Not by a long shot. Ron Paul is just insane, only outdone by his hardcore followers who argue like Occupy Wall Street protesters.
With debates resuming, I think Newt Gingrich will reemerge strong as the anti-Romney candidate, and siphon support away from Perry as his campaign sputters. Santorum, if the pattern continues, may get some increased scrutiny, and that probably means that Newt will benefit the most.
What do you think?
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