From Michael Barone over at the Washington Examiner:
…there has been big movement among whites. In 2008 they were 51 to 40 percent Republican. In the first half of 2011 they were 56 to 35 percent Republican — more Republican than Southern whites were three years ago.
The most noteworthy movement among whites has been among voters under 30, the so-called Millennial generation. Millennials voted 66 to 32 percent for Barack Obama in 2008 and identified as Democrats rather than Republicans by a 60 to 32 percent margin.
But white Millennials have been moving away from the Democrats. The Democratic edge in party identification among white Millennials dropped from 7 points in 2008 to 3 points in 2009 to a 1-point Republican edge in 2010 and an 11-point Republican lead in 2011…
The Obama kool aid just isn’t cutting it, any longer. The kids were wowed in 2008, but now they’ve got years of experience with Obama’s reality…and being stuck in mom’s basement with a stack of unpaid student loans isn’t helping matters.
No, 2012 will not go like 2008. Obama can still win if the GOP nominates a weak candidate, but the glory days of Obama are over. He’s damaged goods – just another hack politician trying to sell people a line.