Its sponsored by a conservative group, but still rather fascinating given that the sample was 41% Democrat and 25% GOP:
The contest between Democratic Senator Frank Lautenberg and Republican ex-Rep. Dick Zimmer is neck and neck, according to a new poll sponsored by the Club for Growth. It’s no surprise coming out of the Garden State, though, where voters never seem to make up their mind until the very end of an election.
In the good news for the GOP side, only 26% of respondents figure Lautenberg deserved re-election – and its good to keep in mind that Laugtenberg was inserted into the 2002 race after Toricelli was bounced from the Democratic nomination for committing the worst crime of all – being at risk of losing a Democratic seat (all that corruption stuff which got him into trouble was nothing, after all; only the risk of loss motivated the Democrats to take the highly illegal step of switching candidates late in the race). Real Clear politics points out that another poll showed Lautenberg up by 7 percentage points…but tied or +7 for the Democrats, its still good news for the GOP that in very blue NJ in a very tough year for Republicans that we’re within striking distance of a major Senatorial upset.
As I keep saying, this is going to be an interesting year – and throw out all those ideas you had of predicting the outcome. Its really all up in the air, from top of the ticket to bottom.
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