As I’ve always said, polls are best at spotting trends. Provided the pollster uses the same methodology and polls regularly, you can start to see how public opinion is moving, even if it turns out that the particular numbers are not spot-on.
Rasmussen does poll regularly, does use the same methodology and, in to the bargain, is usually spot on. So, this has got to be giving Democrats fits as they head home for the recess:
Support for Republican congressional candidates has risen to its highest level in recent years, giving the GOP a five-point lead over Democrats in the latest Congressional Ballot and stretching the out-of-power party’s lead to six weeks in a row.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 43% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 38% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.
The numbers on Election Day last year were 47% Democrat, 41% GOP. Usually, the Democrats lead the “generic ballot”. I can’t recall a time the GOP led for such a sustained period of time.
2010 is a long way away – but it is getting closer all the time.
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