Michael Ledeen seems quite confident:
…a world-changing event: the death of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Khamenei and Ahmadinejad, and the rest of the evil empire in Tehran, are all dead men walking. We don’t know the schedule for the funeral yet, but Iranians know it’s on the agenda. One will get you ten at my betting window that, aside from a very thin veneer of top officials (for whom there is no hope, for they will fulfill the demand of the nightly rooftop chants), anyone who is anyone in Iran today is trying to make a deal with Mousavi and Karroubi. They are all whispering that their hearts are green, and always were green.
Khamenei & Co. certainly know this, as they know they are being betrayed by some very high-ranking people. And the exodus is under way; by the end of the week we will see some important representatives of the Islamic Republic resign their posts, for they do not wish to be associated with it any longer.
Nothing would delight me more – but I’m not as confident as Ledeen…with Obama making cooing noises to the Iranian thugs and Russia willing to back them up and the US MSM almost entirely ignoring the revolutionary ferment, it could be that the Iranian thugs might find enough people willing to go on a killing spree against the Iranian people. From what Ledeen is saying – and I don’t doubt it – a great deal of Iran’s security forces have either melted away or joined the revolution…but it only takes a few thousand determined killers to knock a revolution off its feet, unless it has armed power of its own.
And so – the question might come down to, what will the Iranian military do? If they stay out of it, then the Iranian government might survive…if they join the revolution, then the jig is up for the mullahs.