A long way out, but still good news:
Republican-turned-Democratic Senator Arlen Specter trails potential GOP challenger Pat Toomey by five points in an early look at Pennsylvania’s 2010 Senate race. But another Democrat, Joe Sestak, runs dead-even with the likely Republican candidate.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Pennsylvania voters shows 45% would vote for Toomey if the election were held today. Forty percent (40%) would vote for Specter, while six percent (6%) prefer a third option. Nine percent (9%) are undecided.
If Sestak wins the Democratic nomination, however, the race is a toss-up: 38% for Sestak and 37% for Toomey. In August, Sestak trailed Specter by 13 points in the race for the nomination.
The bad news is that Democrats are figuring out that Specter may be a sure-loser…on the other hand, Democrat leaders never give a darn what rank-and-file Democrats want, and so they might muscle Specter through…which would be good news for us. Even if Democrats are smart enough to nominate Sestak, there is still a very good chance we’ll win in PA next year – the Democrat “brand” is becoming more toxic by the day, and with unemployment set to be 10% or higher all through 2010, there’s not much chance Democrats will be able to burnish their image.
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