I keep reporting this because it is becoming astounding:
Republican candidates maintain a six-point advantage over Democrats in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 38% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.
In my political experience – which goes back more than two decades – I’ve never seen the GOP leading in the “generic ballot” either by such a wide margin, nor over such a long period of time. The normal expectation is for a bit of flux in such matters – especially at a time like this when everything is up in the air and the GOP lacks firm leadership – but all we’re seeing for months now is the GOP maintaining an edge. And do keep in mind that these polls usually understate GOP strength.
Of course its still way early and of course 2010 can turn on a lot of different things – but right now I’m beginning to wonder if we should start thinking in terms of a big victory? It’ll have to be fought for, and fought for very hard…but if we do fight hard, why can we not score a victory of historic proportions? Perhaps the tide is not just turning in our favor, but that a GOP wave is building?
Time – and our actions – will tell.
UPDATE: And even liberal pollsters are picking up on Obama’s decline.
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