Detailed over at Commentary:
Hezbollah’s Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah recently announced that he could hit any and every place in Israel with long-range missiles. That would mean that, unlike in 2006, Hezbollah could strike not only the northern cities of Kiryat Shmona and Haifa but also Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, Ben-Gurion International Airport, and the Dimona nuclear-power plant.
I dismissed his claim as a wild boast last week, but Israeli army commander Major General Gabi Ashkenazi confirmed it this week. So while we’ve all been worried about Iran’s nuclear-weapons program, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has been quietly arming his chief terrorist proxy with more advanced conventional weapons.
If Israel is completely under the gun of Hezbollah, then the response by Israel to an attack may be what one expects when existence is at stake – overwhelming.
People forget – due to Israel’s power and success – how tiny Israel is. Less than 8,000 square miles (as opposed to the US 3,000,000 square miles), 263 miles from north to south (you can drive the length of it in about 5 hours), and 9 to 71 miles wide (ie, 15 minutes to an hour from east to west). This is not a place where you can hide from an enemy if he has missiles with a range of just a couple hundred miles – and if you want to be safe from such missiles, you have to push them back 200 miles or more from the border. This puts most of Lebanon and Syria in the theater of operations in a Third Lebanese war.
With Obama showing the white flag to Islamism and Iran on the brink of nuclear weapons, the risk of a Lebanese war rises steadily and it can break out at any time – especially as Iran nears completion of its nuclear program and wants to tie down Israeli forces which may be used to strike at Iran’s nuclear program.
Israel and the Middle East could be in for some hard, bloody times – and all of it entirely preventable if we would just show some teeth to the Islamists.