Is Brown Surging to a Big Win?

Only Tuesday will tell – but:

A new poll taken Thursday evening for Pajamas Media by CrossTarget – an Alexandria VA survey research firm – shows Scott Brown, a Republican, leading Martha Coakley, a Democrat, by 15.4% in Tuesday’s special election for the open Massachusetts US Senate seat. The poll of 946 likely voters was conducted by telephone using interactive voice technology (IVR) and has a margin of error of +/- 3.19%.

This is the first poll to show Brown surging to such an extent. A poll from the Suffolk University Political Research Center – published Thursday morning by the Boston Herald, but taken earlier – had Brown moving ahead by 4%.

Rumors are spreading fast and furious around the web that the Democrats have written off Coakley – that Obama’s proposed trip is just window dressing designed to reassure other vulnerable Democrats that Obama will be there for them in the fall. Meanwhile, talking points are being ginned up to claim that a defeat in Massachusetts doesn’t mean that Obama’s agenda is unpopular.

Me? I say we take nothing for granted and work our selves hard to win.

UPDATE: Obama Personally Joins Massachusetts Quake Relief