British Elections

Mark Noonan

Got this from NRO’s The Corner:

Seat predictions:

Conservatives: 307

Labour: 255

Liberal Democrats: 59

Others: 29

This puts the Conservatives 19 short of an overall majority. The BBC’s presenter David Dimbleby is already casting doubt on the poll’s value because the Liberal Democrats have dropped three seats.

But Conservative Home says this:

Contrary to the exit poll which has the Tories 19 short we are expecting a good night for the Conservatives; probably a small working majority. David Cameron will become Prime Minister. The party will make deep inroads into Labour territory but will not do well against the Liberal Democrats. The LibDems may come third, winning 100 seats in total. The exit poll has the LibDems only on 59 seats.

We’ll see how it comes out.

UPDATE: Live coverage from the UK here. Rumors are flying, but it looks like the Tories just might eke out a majority. Which is, in my view, would be a bad thing – they won’t be able to make the necessary changes, but will get blamed for the double dip when it hits.