From the Wall Street Journal:
Republicans have solidified support among voters who had drifted from the party in recent elections, putting the GOP in position for a strong comeback in November’s mid-term campaign, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll.
The findings suggest that public opinion has hardened in advance of the 2010 elections, making it tougher for Democrats to translate their legislative successes, or a tentatively improving U.S. economy, into gains among voters.
Which has been my view for a while now – and the level of Democrat support right is sustained by the allegedly improving US economy. If the wheels come off the economic cart before November, then all bets are off.
But let us assume that Obama, Timmy and Ben keep the economic ball in the air until at least November 3rd – the year still bodes very ill for Democrats. This is because while the economy and unemployment are playing a large role, the fervor in the center and the right is being driven by disgust with government as an entity.
My bet is that the “victory” of ObamaCare will be seen in hindsight as the undoing of the coalition which elected Obama and the Democrats in 2008. Such depths upon depths of political skullduggery are not often seen – and have engendered a feeling of revulsion among the center and right electorate without any compensating enthusiasm on the left.
I can’t see any way for Democrats to avoid serious losses in November. I make no prediction as to number of seats to change hands, but November 2nd will be a rough night for Democrats.
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