…A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 37% would choose the Democrat instead. The GOP’s lead is up five points from a week ago, the first full week survey since Congress and the president agreed on a spending cuts deal to raise the federal debt ceiling. Last week’s two-point gap was the narrowest lead Republicans had held since mid-May.
Republicans have led on the Generic Congressional Ballot every week since June 2009, leading by as much as 12 points and as little as two…
Liberals were happy with a Gallup poll of adults last week showing a 7 point Democrat lead…but a poll of likely voters is always better, and from what I can tell the Gallup sample was heavily over-weighted for Democrats. Got to keep one thing in mind as we approach the House contest in 2012: if the Democrats win, it means Nancy Pelosi is back in the Speaker’s chair…this will always motivate GOPers and GOP-leaners and discourage Democrats and Democrat-leaners. And this is over and above the advantage the GOP will gain out of re-districting…people just don’t like Nancy Pelosi and other than corrupt hacks and fools, no one wants her holding the gavel, again.
Additionally, this poll continues to show something astounding – a long-term GOP lead in voter support on the Congressional level. In all my life, I’ve never seen anything like it. I put it entirely down to just how much TEA Party is injected in to the GOP…the more TEA, the more support. The only thing which could really ensure a GOP Congressional loss next year is if we ditched the TEA Party. Always remember that the Democrats want the GOP to break with the TEA Party because the Democrat leaders know that the TEA Party is where the GOP strength is. Pelosi and Reid want more Specter, less Rubio…and which do you think will propel the GOP to victory?
That all said, don’t get cocky, GOPers…we’ve a long, hard fight in front of us and we have to be fully prepared if the Democrats choose to lie, cheat and steal their way to victory. Ready to counter it, ready to overcome the pain and anger we’ll feel when they dump the refuse on us. Get ready for the political fight of your life – something you’ll tell your grand children about.