I was reading today to gauge reactions to Romney’s smashing debate victory last night and I came across three interesting data points:
1. The GOP is doing exceptionally well in early voting in Ohio. This is quite stunning – keep in mind that McCain won Ohio among voters who voted on election day, but got so badly clobbered among early voters that he couldn’t make up the difference. That the GOP is surging in early voting indicates two things – Democrats are lackluster in their support for Obama and Republicans are very enthusiastic…and that enthusiasm will only rise to a fever pitch after last night.
2. In a certain suburban Chicago House district that Obama won by 23 points in 2008, recent polling shows Obama only leading by 2 over Romney and Obama is under 50%.
3. Gasoline in Los Angeles is $4.34 a gallon and de-facto rationing is in effect as refinery outages drastically reduce gasoline supplies on the west coast.
The combination of waning Democrat support, surging GOP enthusiasm and the growing evidence of economic collapse opens up a new prospect for Mitt Romney – not just to win the White House, but to run a truly national campaign where he really presents to the entirety of the American people the stark choice facing our nation. In my view Mitt Romney – while still pouring it on in the “battleground States” – should start to make time and resources available for the “blue” parts of the country. A campaign swing through California is in order – and perhaps a bit of time in Illinois and Oregon, as well.
This would not be done with a mind towards actually winning those States – they are likely out of reach unless Romney winds up winning by some miraculous, 1932-like landslide. But you do it because you want to tell all of the American people that you understand the trouble we’re in. A trip through California would allow Romney to point out – in the example of California – just where Obama is leading us and what four more years will mean. Do you want more cities filing for bankruptcy? Do you want more tax hikes? Do you want gasoline shortages to come to your part of the country? Then re-elect Barack Obama – in California Democrats are entirely in control (as they are in rapidly disintegrating Illinois) and this is where they want us to go. Not that they are wicked, but that they are simply fools to keep following the failed polices of Big Government liberalism and disaster is always at the end of that road.
It would also force Obama to follow Romney – Obama would either have to follow Romney to California (thus taking time and resources from the battlegrounds) or duplicate Romney by going to Texas and South Carolina (thus also taking time and resources away from battlegrounds). It would take the battle straight to the liberals and force them away from trying to attack Romney in the battlegrounds and back on to a defense of liberalism in the blue States, something no Democrat wants anyone to notice until after November 6th.
This is an election about contrasts – the false promises of liberalism and their disastrous reality contrasted with a message of American renewal. In that kind of a debate, we win – any time liberals have to defend liberalism, they lose. They can only possibly win if they make the fight about what a mean, nasty person Romney is in liberal talking points. Going to California forces Obama and the Democrats to defend liberalism.
And, who knows?, things are so absolutely catastrophic in California that maybe a political miracle will happen?