Does Pennsylvania Matter?

It might – from Politico:

Mitt Romney’s super PAC, Restore our Future, is launching an 11th-hour ad blitz in Pennsylvania, POLITICO has learned.

ROF is going up Tuesday with a $2.1 million ad buy across every Pennsylvania market, including pricey Philadelphia…

That is a lot of money – and it wouldn’t be expended in Pennsylvania unless someone thought there was a shot at it.  Also, that its going in to Philadelphia is crucial.  As experts like Barone point out lately, Romney is doing very well in the affluent suburbs of major urban areas – places where Democrats tend to do pretty well and where, if they go Republican, lead to astounding GOP victories.

We’ll see how this comes out in just 8 days…

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32 thoughts on “Does Pennsylvania Matter?

  1. GMB October 29, 2012 / 2:09 pm

    Mitt is spending money in Pennsylvania. barky has sent Billy Jeff to campaign in Minnesota. Say what? The donkrats sent one of their top to a supposed donkrat stronghold? Iowa’s top six newspapers have all endorsed Mitt.

    James still doesn’t know if it is Duisberg or Duisburg.

    Nothing to see here folks, please return to your regularly scheduled doldrums.

    No more forty-four! No more forty-four!! No more forty-four!!!

    • James0601 October 29, 2012 / 2:23 pm

      The President will win PA by 4% or more.

      GMB, I didn’t know you’re the spelling police, maybe you can start with your own posts first.

      • GMB October 29, 2012 / 5:59 pm

        Nicht Der Rechtschreibung Polizei mien Herr. Ich bin den iranischen Hintern lustig machen.:P

        Fore!!!!ward.

        🙂

      • Amazona October 29, 2012 / 8:00 pm

        James, you ducked my questions on another thread so I will repeat them here. I doubt that you will answer them here, either, being nothing but a parrot without a single idea in your head, but…

        You say ” It’s been shown and it’s statistically obvious to anyone that knows anything that The President is up in Ohio. ”

        Really? By what criteria? By comparing the number of advance ballots requested by Dems and Republicans? By the early voting of Dems vs Republicans? By shifts in demographics of people voting Dem vs Republican? By polling large numbers (more than 143) of people very likely to vote? Have your polls factored in the coal mining areas of Ohio? Is his approval rating above 50% in Ohio? By historical evidence that independents and undecideds tend, strongly, to go with the challenger? Has there been a shift in momentum toward Obama? How many people who voted for McCain in Ohio are now planning to vote for Obama? Where is the President “up” in Ohio, and on what do you base this claim?

        Or are you going to just be James, and throw out a lot of wishful thinking and pretend it is really political commentary?

      • James0601 October 29, 2012 / 10:31 pm

        Amazona,

        I didn’t duck anything. your question doesn’t really even deserve an answer. Nothing I say, or cite about the polls will convince you to step out of your bubble where Romney is winning Ohio. But I will this one time do you the honor of answering your post point by point.

        By comparing the number of advance ballots requested by Dems and Republicans?

        this article, and a poll conducted by Time magazine I think should clarify your fallacy for you.

        A poll conducted by Time magazine confirmed her point. It found Obama and Romney tied among Ohioans who haven’t voted yet — but showed Obama way ahead, 60% to 30%, among those who have voted already.

        Republicans concede that the Democrats have put more time and energy into urging their supporters to vote early. “I’m not sure how many of our people even know you can vote [early] in person,” Scott Jennings, the Romney campaign manager in Ohio, told me.

        here is the article link….

        http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-mcmanus-column-ohio-early-voting-20121028,0,6574038.column

        By the early voting of Dems vs Republicans? By shifts in demographics of people voting Dem vs Republican?

        The demographics of Ohio have changed since 2008, not by much probably, but I am sure they have changed. What’s your point? That any change favors the GOP?

        By polling large numbers (more than 143) of people very likely to vote?

        What does this supposed to mean? pollsters don’t just pull random numbers out of their behind, they have a methodology and I am sure they want to get it right.

        Have your polls factored in the coal mining areas of Ohio? Is his approval rating above 50% in Ohio?

        Coal mining areas of Ohio? I am sure the Pollsters poll statewide, so yes, I am sure they have factored that in. And approval ratings? you’re going to tell me that because his approval rating is or could be below 50% in ohio, he won’t win the state? really?

        By historical evidence that independents and undecideds tend, strongly, to go with the challenger?

        Show me one scientific study that actually has studied this. Dick Morris doesn’t count by the way. The challenger doesn’t always overwhelmingly get the undecided voters, in fact, it’s not even close to the majority of the time….

        Has there been a shift in momentum toward Obama?

        Considering Romney has not led in any poll other than Rasmussen..which is clearly biased toward conservatives, i’d say there has been no shift, Romney never had the momentum in Ohio.

        How many people who voted for McCain in Ohio are now planning to vote for Obama?

        Who cares? If all the McCain voters vote for Romney, he will still lose Ohio.

        Where is the President “up” in Ohio, and on what do you base this claim?

        Gee, why don’t you look at the Real Clear politics average of Ohio and tell me where he is up. Historyically, Dems do well in urban areas. So i’m sure the President is up in Cincinnati, and other large urban areas while Romney is probably up in Suburban areas.

        What’s your point?

      • M. Noonan October 30, 2012 / 8:33 am

        James,

        Gallup’s poll of early voters shows Romney up 52/46 nationally – I realize that is nationally but it does kick a hole in the concept that Obama can be doubling up Romney in early voting in Ohio.

        At the end of the day, the only thing you’ve got to hold on to is polls – the polls say your man Obama can win. Ok. But polls also show that the electorate will be R+1 for this election. Obama won in 2007 by 6 points when it was D+7. Do the math.

        As for me, I’ve never predicted Romney’s win based on polls – its always been mostly about objective facts: voter registration patterns, crowd size, volunteers, donations, where the parties are concentrating their efforts.

        You need to step back and realize that no Democrat has ever needed Ohio to win the White House…Obama simply can’t win without it.

      • James0601 October 30, 2012 / 12:15 pm

        mark,

        Gallup’s poll of early voters shows Romney up 52/46 nationally – I realize that is nationally but it does kick a hole in the concept that Obama can be doubling up Romney in early voting in Ohio.

        Even if that were true, is it not possible that Romney has huge support in conservative states but lagging support in swing states and blue states? statistically, its easily possible.

        But in general, gallup this election has been the outlier. I don’t base my belief in the polls because they favor Obama, or Romney. The fact is that the majority of polls from the beginning of this race have favored Obama. Now you must either believe that the majority of polls are wrong on purpose, plain ignorant of their methodology, or just being biased on purpose to “mislead” the public.

        At the end of the day, the only thing you’ve got to hold on to is polls – the polls say your man Obama can win. Ok. But polls also show that the electorate will be R+1 for this election. Obama won in 2007 by 6 points when it was D+7. Do the math.

        first, your meme was that the polls are wrong and hopelessly biased, now, you’re citing gallup because it backs up your point…cluster points to rasmussen as the poll of record.

        come back on election day, when Obama gets his 290 electoral votes, you’ll have new found faith in polling I am sure.

        As for me, I’ve never predicted Romney’s win based on polls – its always been mostly about objective facts: voter registration patterns, crowd size, volunteers, donations, where the parties are concentrating their efforts.

        Really? that’s the problem with most of the conservatives these days, they don’t base their opinion on science, statistics, mathematics or reason…they base it on what they see or feel, and based on what they feel is the truth. Trust me on this one, the polling is not wrong, Obama is the favorite and will win.

  2. Jonathan Holmes (@MisterBrown_23) October 29, 2012 / 2:12 pm

    Unless Romney’s doing this as a bluff to get Obama worried about reliably blue state, then I don’t see how this makes a difference. Mitt has more of a shot to turn WI or NH than PA., and even there, I still think Obama will holds those states mentioned.

  3. Cluster October 29, 2012 / 5:36 pm

    This is the poll that is going to lost the election for Obama:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html

    RCP average is that 54% of respondents believe the country is headed in the wrong direction, and Obama’s 20 page glossary on his “plan” for the next four years wont do a thing to move that number. Obama is responsible for the current direction of the country, of which most people object to, and no cute video equating voting for Obama to losing your virginity will change that dynamic, In fact, it will probably hurt.

    Secondly, the more this Benghazi information gets out, the worse it will be for this administration.

  4. tiredoflibbs October 29, 2012 / 5:53 pm

    The bipartisan Battleground Poll, in its “vote election model,” is projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent. The poll also found that Romney has an even greater advantage among middle class voters, 52 percent to 45 percent.

    http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/new-poll-projects-romney-52-obama-47_658066.html

    Tommy-boy, aka james, won’t talk about obAMATEUR’s record. Even obAMATEUR is not running on it. His commercials here in the DC area are those written to give reasons not to vote for Romney.

    obAMATEUR said in 2008 that you have to make things up about the other candidate when you have no record on which to run.

    • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 6:17 pm

      Bwaaaaaaa ha ha ha

      ANDERSON COOPER’S DAYTIME SHOW CANCELED…

      UNEMPLOYED LOL LOL

      • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 8:08 pm

        What no team up for the unemployed “boys”

      • neocon01 October 30, 2012 / 8:21 am

        stellar job there Ochimpy and bathouse rahm……..

        CHICAGOLAND: 435th Homicide Matches Total For All Of 2011…

    • dbschmidt October 29, 2012 / 6:32 pm

      Here in NC all of the political ads at the Presidential level are either Obama with his MediScare ads or Romney with positive, forward looking (as in big change) ads.

      Of course there is always this–but you all know–kill the messenger;

      According to the latest Rasmussen state polls, Mitt Romney is in position to win the presidency; he should win at least 279 electoral votes. Romney leads in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire; Obama leads in Nevada. Wisconsin and Iowa are tied. Were Romney to win both Wisconsin and Iowa, he’d secure another 16 electoral votes, putting him at 295 electoral votes. By way of contrast, George W. Bush won 286 electoral votes in 2004.

      This is the first time that Rasmussen polls have shown Romney winning enough electoral votes to win the presidency. Rasmussen hasn’t moved any of the states above out of toss-up territory, but trends are in Romney’s direction, with just over a week until election day.

      • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 6:37 pm

        db

        what is really disgusting it that be community agitator, never was, could get mote than 3 votes. let alone be re elected………if he does then we are past the tipping point and will go the way of the Bounty.

      • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 6:46 pm

        “I don’t know if it’s either a cover-up or the worst kind of incompetence, which doesn’t qualify the president as commander in chief,” McCain said.

        wow from juan mcLame of all people.

      • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 7:07 pm

      • M. Noonan October 30, 2012 / 8:37 am

        Robin,

        Are you kidding? Anyone paying attention knows a great deal about Benghazi, now. The Administration’s cover up has made info hard to get, but it is being obtained. We know well enough by now to confirm that there was an entire failure of national command authority in the Benghazi incident…who particularly ordered the failure (or failed to order the right thing be done) remains to be seen…but Obama is President and ultimately it all falls to him…so it appears he callously left those men to die or he’s an incompetent dolt who didn’t know they were dying while he got a good night’s rest before his Vegas fund raiser.

      • neocon01 October 30, 2012 / 8:48 am

        Mark

        an ambassador is the equivalent to a 4 star general….the POS potus knew within minutes what was happening….he ordered troops to stand down while Americans were slaughtered on our second 9-11 terrorist attack.

      • tiredoflibbs October 30, 2012 / 11:14 am

        To the uninformed dumb ASSuming forkers, plenty is known on Benghazi and the incompetence of the obAMATEUR.

        In summary:
        *A number two Al Qaeda operative gets nailed by a drone.
        *Al Qaeda decides to teach Obama and America a lesson, and plans a terrorist attack to coincide with the 11th anniversary of the Islamic attack on America.
        *Monday evening, 9/11/12, Ansar Al Sharia attacks our consulate in Benghazi. Some say they are trying to kill our Ambassador, Chris Stevens, others say they were trying to capture him so that they could then negotiate a trade for the Blind Sheik.
        *The White House is notified of the attack within two hours. There are reports that the entire attack was being watched live in the White House situation room.
        *Obama says that he ordered the Defense Department and the CIA to do everything possible to save the lives of our people in that consulate. We don’t find out about this alleged order until three weeks after the attack.
        *If the order was actually given Defense Secretary Leon Panetta ignored it when he ordered American troops to “stand down.” Americans were dying on the ground, but Panetta didn’t have enough information to send in the troops.
        *Two Navy Seals apparently disobeyed orders and went to the rescue of the Americans in the consulate. They both died. While there they were “painting” a mortar position being used by Islamists to attack the consulate with a laser, and calling for that position to be taken out. Our military didn’t act.
        *Obama had outsourced the security for the consulate to a group called The 17th of February Martyr’s Brigade, an offshoot of Ansar Al Sharia, the very group that was attacking the consulate.
        *There were drones circling over the attack as it was going on. We can’t learn whether or not these drones were armed.
        *There were AC130U gunships available that could have been on the scene in under an hour. They were not used.
        *The morning after the attack Obama speaks to the press and blames the attack on the video. He claims that he referred to the attack as a terrorist attack at that time. The transcript shows that he did not.
        *As soon as Obama makes his statement to the media blaming the attack on the video he heads to the second floor of the White House to pack for his trip to Las Vegas for a fund raiser.
        *For the next two weeks the Obama junta relentlessly pushes the idea that this attack was a spontaneous attack because of an amateur video about Islam. He continues with this line even while the interim president of Libya is telling the world that it was planned by an offshoot of Al Qaeda .. nothing spontaneous about it.
        *Obama sends his UN Ambassador Susan Rice out to push this completely made-up “video” scenario, knowing it was false.
        *Obama even goes before the General Assembly of the United Nations and shares his “it was the video” story with the world. At that time he absolutely knew it was a planned attack from Ansar Al Sharia.
        *Three weeks after the attack we see the emails that made a lie out of virtually everything Obama had been saying about the attack
        In the meantime the dominant elements of the ObamaMedia are dutifully conveying the “it was the video” line so as not to harm the reelection chances of the president they promoted with no vetting in 2008.

        Obama made a cold and calculated decision while the consulate was still on fire that he had to do everything he could to keep the American voters from realizing that this was a pre-planned and organized Al Qaeda attack on the anniversary of 9/11. If the American people understood this it would destroy his “I got bin Laden and Al Qaeda is on the run” story.

        He has shown himself to be not only an ineffective, but also a self-serving and cowardly commander in chief. He is a disgrace to the office and to every man and woman, past and present, who has served in defense of our country. You cannot imagine the depths of the disrespect and revulsion most of the men and women who are serving our country in uniform have for this man, and this goes also for the people serving in our intelligence services and State Department employees.

    • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 6:55 pm

      “Rogue”U.S. General Arrested for Activating Special Forces Teams; Ignoring Libya Stand-Down Order
      Tea Party Tribune ^ | 2012-10-29 11:25:35 | PinkTeaPatriot

      Posted on Monday, October 29, 2012 3:12:26 PM by tselatysr

      The official story surrounding the events of September 11, 2012 in Bengzahi, Libya which left four Americans dead, has now officially fallen apart.

      After numerous flips and flops by the Obama administration, which originally attempted to paint the incident as a Muslim outcry over an anti-Islamic video, whistle blowers throughout the U.S. government, including within the White House, the State Department, national intelligence agencies and the U.S.military have made available stunning details that suggest not only did operational commanders have live visual and audio communications from drones overhead and intelligence assets on the ground, but that some commanders within the military were prepared to go-it-alone after being told to “stand down.”

      Africom commanding officer U.S. General Carter Ham, after being ordered to essentially surrender control of the situation to alleged Al Queda terrorists and let Americans on the ground die, made the unilateral decision to ignore orders from the Secretary of Defense and activated special operations teams at his disposal for immediate deployment to the area.

      According to reports, once the General went rogue he was arrested within minutes by his second in command and relieved of duty.

      • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 7:51 pm

        mod
        sorry about the double post 🙂

      • patriotdad1 October 29, 2012 / 10:17 pm

        Wow, the comments on that american thinker post are batshit insane! Explains a lot neocon.

      • neocon01 October 30, 2012 / 8:11 am

        unpatriotdoody

        projection?

    • neocon01 October 29, 2012 / 7:51 pm

      GMB

      Psalm 109:8

      “Says it all.”……Yuuuup!

      • GMB October 29, 2012 / 8:22 pm

        To answer your question, yes barky would incite civil unrest if that was the only for him to keep occupying the White House. James and bozo would be happy to help him do it. Divine right, don’t you know.

        Psalm 109:8 is appropriate, I do believe, however I prefer this.

        Trust in the Lord with all thine heart; and lean not unto thine own understanding.

        Proverbs 3:5

    • M. Noonan October 30, 2012 / 8:45 am

      GMB,

      What is interesting is that the GOP has been on the ground and doing the work for months…which would indicate that there never was a time when Romney wasn’t contesting Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania may fall to Romney for mostly the same reason that Indiana fell to Obama in 2008…neglect by the candidate who thought he had it in the bag.

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