Battleground Watch: Romney 331, Obama 207
Ali A. Akbar: Romney 285, Obama 253
Karl Rove: Romney 285, Obama 253
Joe Trippi: Obama 303, Romney 235
James Pethokoukis: Romney 301, Obama 237
Michael Barone: Romney 315, Obama 223
Baseball Crank: Romney 271, Obama 267
UPDATE: In anticipation of lots of Election Day coverage off the blog, I’ve added my Twitter feed and Ali Akbar’s to the sidebar.
UPDATE , by Mark Noonan: Well, here we are – on the eve. Yes, I’ve had the jitters – but one must keep things in perspective. Prayer calms the soul. Try it, if you’re feeling nervous.
Obama’s rally today was half empty – the sure sign that the bloom is completely off the rose and this is not 2008. Only a 2008 type turnout (or a completely unexpected collapse in GOP voting) can really pull it off for Obama. Obama’s team and their lapdog media are playing a gigantic mind game with us – touting their early vote and their ground game not so much in confidence that they have it in the bag but in hopes that it will depress us and lower our turnout. The truth of the matter is that the Democrat early voting totals have collapsed from 2008 – Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Michigan genuinely are in play…and even if they do wind up falling to Obama it will be by tiny margins…and that drop in vote will translate all across the nation, ensuring that Obama loses every 2008 State he won by 10-12 percentage points or less – that, by itself, gets Romney to 266 electoral votes, which is the bottom I see for him tomorrow: he won’t get less than that (yes, Obama will lose Ohio). This means that all Romney need do is win one of NH, PA, MI, MN, IA, WI, CO and NV. Romney is leading in CO, tied in PA, WI and IA and within the margin of error (with Obama under 50%) in the rest.
But, still, there is that chance that Obama wins. So be it. If the American people want four more years of Obama, then God bless us all and we’ll just have to endure it. It will be real bad next year no matter who wins – but if Obama wins then it will not only be much worse but much more extended in time. And we’ll get to look forward to utterly crushing the Democrats in the 2014 mid-terms (always deadly for the party in power in the 2nd term of a President – see 2006 for confirmation). And then as 2016 we’ll get to choose between Ryan, Sandoval, Rubio, Santorum, Jindal, Haley, West, Perry…while Democrats get to choose between Hillary, Biden and Cuomo. I’m telling you, nothing but fun for us in there (and this leaves aside the fact that Benghazi is already a cancer eating at the Obama Presidency…if he “wins” tomorrow then he loses).
I don’t think that will happen. I trust my fellow Americans – I trust the fact that Democrats I know are nervous and “confident” that Obama will win it narrowly while Republicans are thinking it may even come out as a landslide. I am encouraged by Latina Americans I know personally who are voting for Romney…talk about Obama’s demographic collapsing in front of his eyes. It could be a landslide – it could be a big win; we’ll have to see.
God bless you all (yes even you liberals out there) and good luck to all of us tomorrow.