The State of the Campaign

Trump and Cruz square off in Wisconsin tomorrow and if Cruz wins – as is expected via polling – then it will get very difficult for Trump to secure a first-ballot nomination…and that is pretty much the end of the game for Trump because Cruz, who actually understands the process, has been busily securing delegates at State conventions…and even if they have to vote Trump on the first ballot, they will be solid Cruz votes on the second and subsequent ballots.

Trump is, naturally, complaining about this – and that, for me, is the final nail in his political coffin. He didn’t do his homework – running for President is a much more difficult and demanding activity than he suspected and voting, especially in the primaries, is only part of the game. I expect him and a large portion of his backers to get all stompy-foot about it and by doing that they may, indeed, wreck GOP chances in November…but given how toxic Trump has become over his alligator mouth, his getting the nomination probably wouldn’t have worked out any different. Meanwhile, Cruz has at least a chance to unite enough of the party and gain just enough cross-over votes to stop Hillary…it would be a hard fight and the money would have to be bet on Hillary, but at least it would be a chance for the GOP, given how massively unpopular Hillary is. If, however, the GOP Powers That Be – who despise Cruz probably more than they do Trump – lock out both of them and hand the nomination to someone who didn’t even run in the primaries or who was knocked out early, then the GOP is definitely doomed – both Trump and Cruz supporters will justifiably cry foul and stay home.

Over on the Democrat side, Hillary is the Democrat’s Trump – at least in the sense that she simply didn’t prepare for the contest. And this is a terrible indictment of her leadership ability given that she was taught no end of a lesson in 2008. Hillary had all the money and the entire party behind her and she still can’t put Bernie down. I am still pretty certain she’ll be able to muscle her way to the nomination but she’s day by day turning off the most determined and enthusiastic Democrats. Say what you will about Bernie, but he’s an honest man who is actually campaigning on what the Democrat base wants…Hillary is making a belated lurch to the far left trying to stop him, but the reek of hypocrisy is strong and, meanwhile, she’s providing all sorts of ammunition for the eventual GOP nominee to use against her. A lot of people have said that Hillary is smart – sorry, but I don’t see it. I see not the slightest evidence of intelligence in her actions over her public life. She’s just rote recited whatever current Democrat talking points are, has greedily sucked up as much money for herself as she can and cruelly gone after anyone who has got in her way. She might wind up being President, but she’ll be a lousy President that no one but her sycophants has a kind word for.

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14 thoughts on “The State of the Campaign

  1. Amazona April 5, 2016 / 10:48 am

    Trump’s decline might encourage Cruz voters, but there is still Spoiler Kasich in the race, acting as a place holder for Trump, keeping Cruz from getting some crucial votes.

    Some observations:

    There is the typical Trump ego blast from one of his millions of tweets:

    “Sorry losers and haters, but my I.Q. is one of the highest — and you all know it! Please don’t feel so stupid or insecure, it’s not your fault.” Twitter

    So people who don’t agree with him are not just “losers” and “haters” but just not as smart as he is. “So stupid”. Oh, and “insecure”—don’t forget that. I guess it takes a lot of feeling good about yourself to turn your back on so many protestations of commitment to various principles, to follow a pudgy peroxided huckster, and those who don’t get in the parade are just “insecure”.

    He also explains what makes him so darned superior: “Part of the beauty of me is that I’m very rich.” http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2011/03/17/trump-on-2012-part-of-beauty-of-me-is-im-very-rich/

    I wonder if this means that Soros is even more “beautiful”.

    I thought the takeaway quote from a Kurt Schlichter piece on the Trump campaign would be his description of Trump as a “..creepy talking troll doll…” It hit me as the perfect reference to the Trump mullet. But then I got to the second page of the article, where Schlichter brings up something I had been wondering about, and even referenced in a post here last week—Trump’s desire to BE president, vs his desire to just run for the office and get lots of attention and feed the ego.

    ”Yeah, let Trump run as a third party candidate, except he won’t because that will simply compound the yuge rejection that’s coming. Moreover, he doesn’t really even want to be president – my contacts have been telling me for months that Trump never expected this and has tried to find a way to get out without looking like a wuss, including considering a fake cancer scare. And there is no chance the famously cheap Trump would ever spend the money he needs to run a general election campaign. The GOP donors would abandon him in favor of saving down ballot candidates from being pulled down the Donald Drain too. You can’t fight Hillary by calling into Morning Joe every day.”

    http://townhall.com/columnists/kurtschlichter/2016/04/04/trump-is-toast-and-good-riddance-n2142633

  2. Amazona April 5, 2016 / 4:07 pm

    OT—kinda. I was just reading an article about the new Tesla, and of course people chimed in with opinions on the body style. As is true with literally EVERY body style of every car, some like it and some don’t.

    What I noticed was the reference to those who didn’t think the car looked all that great as “haters”. This seems to be the new buzzword. It demeans anyone who has a contrary opinion, even on something as subjective as what is or is not pretty, and seems to be applied to all sorts of dissent.

    I put my comment here because of my Trump quote in which he claims people who don’t like him are just “haters”. Well, not JUST haters—they are also “so stupid” and “losers” but definitely HATERS.

    • M. Noonan April 6, 2016 / 12:53 am

      It is a way of de-legitimizing someone who disagrees with you…a way of saying “you don’t have a point of view, you’re just hating”.

  3. Cluster April 6, 2016 / 9:12 am

    Regardless of how unsavory the GOP contest is, the following should repel everyone from the Democrat front runner:

    ….an inspection by the Examiner and Judicial Watch of donations to the Clinton Foundation, Hillary Clinton’s personal financial disclosure forms, and the State Department conflict-of-interest reviews shows that at least $48 million flowed to the Clintons’ personal coffers from many entities that clearly had interests in influencing the Obama administration — and perhaps currying favor with a future president as well.

    http://www.judicialwatch.org/bulletins/state-department-approved-215-bill-clinton-speeches-controversial-consulting-deal-worth-48m-hillary-clintons-cos-copied-decisions/

    In addition to this, keep in mind that Hillary’s closest confidant Sid Blumenthal, who was banned from any State Department role by Obama, had constant communique with her and influenced the Libya debacle.

    For the survival of this country, we absolutely can not allow the Clintons to be any where near the White House.

    • Amazona April 6, 2016 / 9:43 am

      Well, Bernie is giving Killary a run for her money. She will get the nomination, but will have to keep moving to the Left to do so, and revealing more and more of the Clinton trickery and fraud that has always gotten them ahead.

      On the other side of the fence, we have a Trumpertantrum writ larger than usual, as The Donald and his crew go into full-out meltdown hissy-fit whine-a-thon mode. It’s not just that we are seeing The Real Donald Trump—he is well known for being a terrible loser—-but we are seeing the true nature of many of his adoring supporters, who are proving to be mini-Trumps in their outraged victimhood.

      What?? Is it even remotely POSSIBLE that so many people find Trump an unacceptable candidate, for any reason? Of course not. It has to be fraud. The Donald told us so. I’m thinking that losing these people will not be a loss to the GOP—more like flushing the toilet. But Trump’s determination to punish anyone who gets in his way, in this case the entire Republican Party, is going to hurt.

      Thankfully, we have Bernie in there fighting the good fight, and taking a Trump on Hillary.

      • Cluster April 6, 2016 / 10:36 am

        Trump is simply a narcissistic ass and we have already suffered 8 years of one in the White house so I think you are beginning to see the end of Trump. Cruz is gaining momentum and if continues to humanize himself, he will pick up even more steam. Besides, the convention will be contested and Trump will not win that contest. I also have to say that Cruz’s tax plan is the best I have read and I hope he gets a chance to implement it.

      • M. Noonan April 6, 2016 / 10:45 am

        The Trumpertantrum last night on Twitter was apparently of epic proportions – the Trumpsters have apparently convinced themselves that only voter fraud gave Cruz the victory. Oddly, when Sanders does poorly, that is what his supporters claim (but probably with more justification when a Clinton is involved).

  4. Cluster April 6, 2016 / 3:23 pm

    It’s always nice to have a recap of our President’s foreign trips and how he promotes and celebrates America’s role in this world ….. well except for this President. Thanks to the folks at Townhall, here is a compiled list of Obama’s denigration of our country while he was in Cuba and Argentina:
    America must have the “courage to acknowledge” its role in Argentina’s human-rights abuses

    America can’t be slow talking about human-rights violations, as we’ve done in Argentina

    The Constitution’s separation of powers makes it hard for America to adapt to the changing times

    America must do more to promote equality

    America needs to reduce discrimination

    America suffers from “political polarization”

    America was built by slaves

    America has too much money in politics

    America has a problem with racially-biased criminal justice system, a racially-biased society, and a legacy of slavery & segregation

    Many American states would have forbidden his biracial parents to marry — had they tried

    Many American schools in the south were segregated when he was young

    American democracy is imperfect

    America’s political process is not pretty, as evidenced by the current 2016 race

    Cuba’s Castro’s more readily sharing his thoughts on where America is “falling short” will help us improve

    He “doesn’t disagree” with Castro’s view that America should provide “free” health care, education, and social security to all

    I thought the comment was interesting about his parents. Newsflash to Barry, your Dad didn’t want you, and most of us don’t either.

    • Bob Eisenhower April 6, 2016 / 5:45 pm

      Oddly, I agree with six of the fourteen statements.

      America suffers from “political polarization” – clearly

      America has too much money in politics – agreed

      Many American states would have forbidden his biracial parents to marry – historically, this is true in the early 60s

      Many American schools in the south were segregated when he was young – again, true

      American democracy is imperfect – is anything perfect?

      America’s political process is not pretty, as evidenced by the current 2016 race – Jesus! look at Trump! If that ain’t ugly I don’t know what is

      • Cluster April 6, 2016 / 7:38 pm

        Oh I agree with those statements too but the point is where he said it. For all of America’s faults, we are head and shoulders above most other countries, in terms of human rights, civil rights, discrimination, etc. etc, and yet he denigrates America in front of a communist dictator. American progressives have this delusional notion that if only people worldwide would see how smart and accepting they are, eventually everyone will come around to their world view and that is simply a failure to recognize the reality that there are people worldwide with very bad intentions who could care less what piece of paper John Kerry wants them to sign. Iran made Obama grab his ankles and I don’t think Obama even understands that yet. Democrats are too stupid and too weak to lead this country.

        I think his comment that it is “hard to adapt due to separation of powers” was him channeling his inner dictator, and his “built by slaves” comment was his blatant racism and ignorance of American history showing once again.

    • M. Noonan April 6, 2016 / 6:02 pm

      If there is one thing which irritates me about modern America it is the claim we must fight against “discrimination” – that, of course, is the Prog formulation of it and it is intended to be a word which makes anything Progs don’t like into evil. The actual thing we must be against, always and everywhere, is “unjust discrimination”.

      If we are against “discrimination” then we’d have to force the NBA to accept players who are short; or, heck, even tall players who aren’t any good. The only way a human being can live is by discriminating – which is really no more than to choose between options. Unjust discrimination happens when someone uses an irrelevant fact to make the choice…so, two men equally qualified for a position and one is white, the other black: if the choice is made to pick the white person because the chooser doesn’t like black people, that would be unjust discrimination and thus wrong.

      • Cluster April 6, 2016 / 7:25 pm

        Human nature, good or bad, is hard to legislate.

      • M. Noonan April 6, 2016 / 9:40 pm

        But our Progs will never stop trying…

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