Pre-Midterm-ageddon Open Thread

No one actually knows what will happen tomorrow – thing about the future is you can never tell exactly what it will be like.

That said: it does appear that the Blue Wave isn’t coming. There’s still a chance that Democrats surge to the polls and are joined by gigantic numbers of Trump-hating Republicans, but it is in the realm of a 1% chance, now. Even the most liberal pundits have pretty much conceded this – though, of course, anything but a Red Wave will be touted as “the people rejected Trump”.

The worst case scenario that I can see is a net gain of 3 for the GOP in the Senate and a narrow loss of the House (with the Democrats, at most, getting to 223 members). This would be irritating in a lot of ways – first off, no more legislation. The House simply wouldn’t pass anything that the Senate or Trump would agree to. So, reform-wise, we’d only have Trump’s ability to change regulations. The budget would just become a series of continuing resolutions carrying the FY 2019 budget through to the end of FY 2021. If the GOP holds the Senate – as just about everyone says they will – then at least Trump has no trouble staffing his Administration and appointing judges…easier, as if there winds up being 54 GOPers, makes it harder for a squish or two to wreck the program.

Best case scenario is the GOP gains 10 Senate seats and either gains or loses just two or three House seats. This is probably not going to happen…but I rate it as a 5% chance against the 1% chance of a Blue Wave.

If you haven’t voted, don’t forget to vote tomorrow!

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6 thoughts on “Pre-Midterm-ageddon Open Thread

  1. Retired Spook November 6, 2018 / 12:15 am

    I’d have to say I’m not nearly as apprehensive as I was on the eve of the election two years ago. The GOP currently has a 45 seat majority in the House. The Dems will have less than that if they win the maximum of 40 seats that the most optimistic prognosticators are predicting, probably a lot less, and it certainly isn’t out of the realm of possibility that the GOP holds on to a slim margin in the House. The Dems would have to draw 3 cards to an inside straight flush to win the Senate, so nothing a Democratically controlled House does will go anywhere. And, should they spend all their time investigating Trump and other members of his administration, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see Trump take a page from the Donkeys’ playbook and simply ignore any subpoenas.

    Crunch time folks. Vote early and vote often.

  2. Cluster November 6, 2018 / 11:20 am

    I just voted a straight R ticket ……… let’s hope we hold the House and send a clear message to progressive Democrats that they will never govern this country again.

    • Retired Spook November 6, 2018 / 12:15 pm

      They WILL eventually govern again, but I don’t think they will ever govern long term like they did from the mid 50’s to the mid 90’s. Voters memories are short, and they need to be reminded how bereft the Left is of good ideas from time to time. Throughout your and my life, the Left’s chief attribute has been patience. Leftist leaders throughout modern history have realized they they wouldn’t live to see their final vision realized, with the civil unrest of the late 60’s and early 70’s being the exception. They have now indoctrinated a couple generations in both public schools and higher education indoctrination. The majority of Millennials have a completely different mindset than their predecessors of a couple decades ago, completely divorced from reality. The problem is that this is still a center right country. The only thing that could change that in the immediate future is an accellerated and endless flow of illegal migrants, and I think that’s about to end. It HAS to end, because if it doesn’t we’ll rapidly become a third world sh*thole.

    • M. Noonan November 6, 2018 / 1:13 pm

      That’s what I’m hoping will happen – keeping both houses of Congress would demonstrate that Trump hate is a losing proposition.

  3. Retired Spook November 6, 2018 / 1:45 pm

    Just got back from voting. Looks like record numbers so far in our rural precinct.

    • jdge1 November 6, 2018 / 3:07 pm

      A little interesting to me was that there were 10 different political parties listed on our ballot his year. From my observation there are strong numbers showing at the polls, more so than seems typical for a midterm election. Living in a right of center leaning section of NY I see this a good sign. Even my own adult children who don’t typically fancy following political stuff have all voted and asked for my input. Though they ask for and listen to my advice from time-to-time on any number of topics, this is different as it seems they realize the true importance of the election implications and their future. Hope this is a similar trait found across the country. I simply don’t remember where there’s been such a stark contrast between political parties on display, even with the media heavily slanted left in their commentary by a factor of 10-1.

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