Month: September 2024

Open Thread

Mark Noonan18 Comments

So the Cheney family is going all-in on Harris. Some are expecting the Bush family to join in and while this is in the realm of possibility, I doubt it. The Bush family retains political ambitions that can only be satisfied on the GOP side of the aisle as the children of W and Jeb rise in the world. The Bush family is already persona non grata in many parts of the GOP so an endorsement of Harris would finish the family forever in GOP politics. The Cheney’s have no future in the GOP so there was no cost to them for endorsing Harris. But the spectacle of the man the Left compared to Darth Vader being welcomed to Team Harris is astonishing. None of us saw this coming twenty years ago.

But even without an explicit endorsement of Harris by the Bush family, they still aren’t out there campaigning for Trump – and Trump likely doesn’t want them to, given the negative connotations the family has on both sides of the aisle. And that is the sea-change; the political realignment. Cheney for Harris and Kennedy for Trump. The old Right/Left dichotomy that started in the 1930’s is over with for good or ill and there’s no going back. Trump is the GOP nominee because the old GOP betrayed us – every time push came to shove, the old GOP gave in to the Democrats. The remains of the old GOP still want us to give in to the Democrats. Those old GOPers who know we never will are now moving over to the Democrat side of the aisle…while anyone on the Dem side who is sick to death of the wokeness, the lies and the corruption is moving over to us even if on policy they aren’t 100% with us.

Latest rumor being floated by Team Harris is that Keith Ellison, the insane Leftist attorney general of Minnesota, is on the short list for US attorney general. This is done to try and pull in Muslim votes in Michigan and Minnesota…which is something that Harris isn’t supposed to have to do on September 7th of the campaign year. Clearly, her internal polling is not rosy. By this time she’s supposed to be tacking to the center and trying to get to 270…this is a move to the hard left necessary to ensure her base of 226 is still with her. To be sure, if she does win it is no certainty that Ellison would actually be nominated, let alone confirmed by what is almost certain to be at least a 51-GOPer Senate…but if anyone sane needed a reason to vote Trump, this is it. Ellison is an evil man who hates the United States of America. Keeping him out of federal office is the moral duty of all decent people.

How is the race going? Well, back on November 7th, 2020, Trump beat Biden by 74,483 votes in North Carolina. Back then, the Democrat voter registration advantage in the State stood at 391,043. Today? It stands at 128,306. Just as in 2016, I think the voter registration numbers are a gigantic flashing red light…but most political Experts and polling number crunchers are ignoring them…and the few who even mention registrations only do so to dismiss them. But I think its the most crucial indicator of how things are going – the Experts think that 2016 was the aberration…it wasn’t: 2020 was. Covid plus cheating got Biden in, not some swing to the old political norm. Trump now is the political norm. People are sick to death of the Ruling Class, GOP and Democrat. Biden was the last gasp of a dying Ruling Class…and they had to massively cheat to get him over the finish line. And a level of cheating that was only possible in the unique circumstances of Covid restrictions.

Could I be wrong? Of course I can. We’re going to find out! But I suspect at the end of the day a substantial trump win. Maybe 40% chance he wins the popular vote while also securing a 312 vote Electoral College victory.

The Lies That Bind Us

Mark Noonan8 Comments

Very odd debate over the past few days on X about who was the bad guy in WWII. Turns out, quite a number of people – mostly youngsters – are holding that Churchill was the bad guy. The debate was sparked by Tucker Carlson (who lost all respect from me over this) interviewing a guy who claims he’s a historian (he’s not) and his absurd, dishonest contentions about Churchill and Hitler. It is a very disgusting debate and it is all quite terrifying – because this view cuts across ideological lines.

I figure it stems from two things:

  1. The general ignorance of modern youth who simply aren’t told history.
  2. The huge amounts of money spent by Muslim interests to infect the West with the anti-Semitic virus.

Kinda bizarre that its all coming via a roundabout process. To nutshell it, post-WWII members of the SS were barred from receiving military pensions. Their service was rated criminal and so, unlike the Wehrmacht, they weren’t given post-war disability and service pensions. A huge lobbying effort was put forth to whitewash the SS, especially the Waffen-SS, in an attempt to get these pensions. And this, coupled with outright Nazi apologists, first infected the Arab world and now has come back via Arabs to infect us (the infection of the Arab world with it started, of course, pre-WWII but it took off post-war when quite a number of unrepentant Nazis found employment in Arab States battling the Jewish State of Israel).

They way these Nazi-apologists work is simple: they ignore the central facts (all the dead Jews, who started the war) and concentrate heavily on what happened to Germany late in the war and immediately after – naturally putting great emphasis on Stalin’s actions and, from there, tying in the Jews as part of a gigantic conspiracy against all that is good (in this scenario, Churchill wasn’t a Zionist and anti-Nazi by conviction, but because he was a raving anti-German lunatic financed by The Jewish Conspiracy). What frightens me is how to someone who doesn’t know – and doesn’t even know what to check – this seems reasonable and it is leading our youth down a very evil path.

And I am not quite sure how we combat it – I mean, other than by killing those who are lying. This might end up what happens but I’d rather not. But how do I tell a kid who is 22 years old in 2024 and who can’t date WWII within 25 years of its occurrence that, no, it wasn’t Evil Churchill who started the war at the behest of The Jews? Why should that kid believe me? He’s been lied to his whole life about so much – and by his own government, social and economic leaders…now I’m coming along and saying, “the USA was the good guys; sure, I know the War on Terrorism was a clusterfark of epic proportions from which the connected profited massively, but trust me – back in 1945, it was different!”. Ain’t gonna work. No chance it can work. And even if I refer the youngsters to books they’ll just discount them as the “false” history now discredited by the smart-sounded guy on Tik Tok saying Hitler wanted peace (and in this it doesn’t help that large parts of the World War Two/Cold War Narrative is nonsense…that people have lied about the events not to make the Allies look bad, but to make them look all-wise).

We are bound in a web of lies. I know I’ve harped on this too much of late but it keeps coming back to it…and now liars, likely in the pay of Arab money, are lying our kids into perhaps firing up the ovens for Holocaust II. We’re going to have to stop it. And soon.

And Off We Go!

Mark Noonan16 Comments

Now the final push begins. According to some polling, Harris is doing ok. According to other polling, Trump is doing ok. But in almost all polling Trump is doing better than he ever did in 2016 or 2020. Most thinking people put the race as a tossup and that’s probably the best way to go. Always play like you’re a few points behind, right?

But as I said early on, I do believe that Trump’s program isn’t just to get a narrow Electoral College victory like he did in 2016 and nearly got in 2020 in spite of massive cheating…I think he wants a big victory. Maybe even an absolute popular vote majority. In service to that, Team Trump has invested a lot in reaching out to less likely voters – that is, voters who don’t always vote. Pretty much universally among such people Trump is up huge…like 15+ points from what I’ve seen. If Trump can get these people to show – and they do have incentive this year to do so – then all polling is drivel…because especially lately polling has tried to screen for Likely Voters…which naturally excludes people who don’t vote on the regular.

Low turnout election: favors Harris.

High turnout election: favors Trump.

I did find out from some actual polling experts that newly registered voters are counted in Likely Voter screens – the assumption, which I think correct, is that if you just registered to vote then you’re motivated and will show. But I also wonder about the response rate for such voters? Especially Trump voters? You see, someone who just registered to vote with an eye to pulling the Trump lever is probably someone highly suspicious…you know, unlikely to pick up the phone and answer a pollster. This along with irregular voters means there could be a large swath of voters simply not showing up in the public polls.

But what of the private polls? That we don’t know – and if internals are leaked, they are leaked to get us to think a certain way. Looking at ad spending there is no big surprise – both teams are pouring the money into the Battlegrounds and pretty much matching each other. But I note that Team Harris has been spending some time in New Hampshire and Virginia…States which the flip from Biden to Harris was supposed to put out of Trump’s reach. Why campaign in places you’ve locked down? Of course you don’t. Additionally, Harris is now calling in Pudding Brain – his use will be selective but that they have to use him indicates, in my mind, a huge problem for Harris among blue collar voters. We just went through a month of “Joe, who?” from Harris and the Democrats…now he’s back. Looking terrible and sounding more senile than ever…I mean, how desperate are you to think that the Scranton Joe drivel will work again? Especially as Scranton Joe can barely string a coherent sentence together?

I’m also noticing that the lies keeping Harris afloat are getting threadbare…there are just so many of them and they are so obviously lies. It looks like she may have even lied about working at McDonald’s. Remember, she’s the daughter of a rich Commie father and a privileged Indian mother. She tries to talk like she’s just some poor kid but her mother was an oncologist. Even in the 60’s and 70’s, such doctors were making big bucks. She was never poor. Never lacked resources. Wouldn’t have to take a part time job. I thought it credible at first that she might have – earn a few extra bucks, ya know? But now it looks like even that might not have happened. As for Walz, there’s pretty much no biographical detail he hasn’t lied about – and this is before Team Trump starts asking how a teacher managed to afford 30 trips to Communist China. I do suspect that people are starting to see through it all – that Harris is nothing but lies.

I do think Harris will show for the debate. Some people think she’ll find an excuse to back out. But I figure she’s gotta show: no matter how much MSM spin there’d be on it, it would look just terrible if she backed out. How will it go? I’m sure she’ll have her mindless platitudes memorized and, of course, the MSMers will pitch softballs at her…as well as do other things to protect her from Trump. But at the end of the day she’s not a good speaker, she can’t think on her feet and her voice and personality are grating. They’re not hiding her for no reason: if she was even reasonably competent in front of an audience they’d have her out there unscripted on the regular. She’s just terrible at it. She had to bow out before a vote was cast in 2020 for a reason. Of course no matter how it goes the MSM will call it the best debate performance ever seen…but the people will be watching and if Trump is in any way a credible alternative, he’s going to walk away with the debate.

I’m still serene. Confident of victory. Maybe I’m foolish about it but I just don’t have any jitters about it. Perhaps I’m just getting old now and so feel I have less at stake? I don’t know – but I feel great about it all. I’m enjoying this election more than any I’ve ever experienced.