The Virginia Project notes that someone placed 6,063 non-citizens on Virginia’s voter rolls. This is probably an underestimate of the total but it is what is known for sure: and then asks the relevant question: who did this? You don’t accidentally register non-citizens. I mean, sure, maybe a couple can get in there…lets be generous and say maybe even a couple hundred could slip through a system which is supposed to guard against illegal votes. Six thousand? That’s intentional. That’s a crime.
Of course we know, in general, who: Democrats. But we do want to drill down and find out exactly who – and who they’re connected to. And, most important, who they’re paid by.
Mark Robinson (R-NC) has simply shaken off the allegations and kept rolling along – he’s still expected by all Experts to lose (and he had an uphill battle even under optimal circumstances) but I’m curious to see how he does. If he does pull this off it means the late hit-piece on GOPers becomes a dead in the water thing…because it will show that GOPers and GOP-leaners just don’t care what a pack of liars say. That’s the key metric: if enough people know that the MSM is lying – and they always are, about everything – then they can lie until they’re blue in the face: it won’t work. There is a new poll which shows Trump +5 in North Carolina but I’m taking that with a grain of salt – the State is still so disturbed from Helene that I’m doubtful that really good polling can be done…OTOH, the people most likely to be displaced are GOPers…so, maybe I’m just being a Nattering Nabob of Negativism here? If Trump is up by 5, then Robinson has a shot.
That thing that isn’t happening – Venezuelan gangs taking over apartment complexes – is, of course, happening. Vance nailed the MSM on this – he was asked a couple days ago why he’s so concerned when its only a “handful” of apartment complexes. He crushed the MSMer by essentially asking back, “its ok because its not everywhere?”. That is the way to handle this – to push back and ask the relevant question: in this case: just how much death is acceptable to you?
Blogs For Victory 
The polls are set up to reflect the 2020 election. The better pollsters have adjusted their polling to account for the undercount of Trump supporters in the last two elections. What they haven’t done is adjust for the effects of Roe being overturned. I’m guessing that the polls are underestimating Harris by 3 to 5 percent. I know you think different. Good news is we will know who is right in about three weeks.
Hate to break it to ya, Cappy, but both Baldwin (D-WI) and Casey (D-PA) didn’t appear with Harris. That’s what is happening – and I’ve been telling you for years to not pay attention to what people say (ie, polls) but pay close attention to what they do…if Harris was even running even right now, Democrats would be eager to be seen with her. They’re abandoning ship. This was seen early on when Rosen (D-NV) was running ads claiming she was fighting Democrats to secure the border…now she’s just thermonuclear abortion all the time, so we’ll see about your Roe theory…but that was years ago now and, guess what?, nobody who wants an abortion hasn’t been able to get one. I’m sure those ads work with upper class urban and suburban white women…everyone else? I have my doubts.
And here’s another kick in the jewels for you – John Ralston, who has a severe case of TDS, now rates Nevada as pure tossup…both as to President and Senate. He does know this State…and if someone as TDS as him is saying its even, that means it is Lean-R.
Early voting. Absentee requests. Voter registration. Low-propensity turnout voters. Every metric is showing Trump doing very well…nothing but D+3 or 4 polls show Harris with a chance…and Gallup’s final for 2024 is an R+1 environment. Terribly sorry, but it seems that the fact we can’t afford food and are losing our jobs is playing a bigger role than the desire to kill kids.
Heartbreaking, I know.
You’ll get over it.
“Hate to break it to ya, Cappy, but both Baldwin (D-WI) and Casey (D-PA) didn’t appear with Harris.”
Not seeing a lot of candidates running with Trump either, so I’m not sure that means much. As for Rosen running on abortion, perhaps it’s because it’s working. The Dobb’s decision was only two years ago and this is the first national election since then. Abortion being on the ballot in several states will probably also have an effect.
Early voting seems to be going towards Harris, at least in the data I’ve seen. Voter registration has also shown a spike since Harris joined the race. As for Gallop’s final for 2024, that kind of fits in with my earlier post. Pollsters have over shifted since 2020.
AS I said, we will know in three weeks which of us is correct.
Sam Brown has appeared at every Trump rally.
And here Captain Obvious strikes again! we will know in three weeks which of us is correct. Brilliant, absolutely brilliant analysis!
casper’s obsession with baby-killing is pretty creepy. I don’t think he has made a single post in two years that has not referred to the Dobbs decision, or Roe. Abortion seems to be the center of all his “political” reasoning, and according to him it is the most important issue of the day, overriding border security and the economy. Yet to get the support it does get, it has to disguise itself as “healthcare” or—in one of the Left’s most bizarre twists—-REPRODUCTIVE care. (Only the Left can, with a presumably straight face, call a procedure that ends reproduction “reproductive” care.) But then, the Left does know its base, and knows it can lie with impunity and the base will meekly buy into every lie.
As you say, Mark, no female gestator intent on killing her inconvenient baby has been unable to do so. Yet the shrill shrieking of the Death Cult harpies never ceases. This topic has such a hold on the mentality of these people that they are outraged, furious, absolutely incandescent with rage at the very idea that anyone anywhere might think butchering tiny innocent lives out of pathological selfishness is an ugly and disreputable thing to do. And that is what it comes down to.
Just as Dobbs did not ban abortion or limit it in any way, merely being a correction of federal overreach and putting that decision back into the states where it always belonged, the hysteria has always really been about the semantics. Roe sanitized this brutal and inhumane practice by cloaking it in the fallacy that it is a “right” and it was the loss of this semantic protection that has freaked out the howling Left. Oh, they can still kill those babies, but now they don’t have the illusion that there is nothing wrong with this. Now they have to deal with the fact that some states will correctly identify the practice as the vicious and despicable act it really is, and limit it to a certain level of fetal development to at least try to prevent babies that can feel pain from being dismembered in the womb. Now, even as pro-abortionists celebrate this sacrament of the Left they do so knowing that this is not just a basic human right but is a violation of basic human rights. Every law limiting abortion in any way is just another way of saying that abortion is so far outside the boundaries of decent and moral behavior that it has to be reined in and restricted, and it is this constant reminder of how abortion is seen by society that has them so upset. What they seek is approval, and what enrages them is that society, while accepting this moral shortcoming as something decent people will have to tolerate, is still not going to pretend there is nothing wrong with it.
Early voting seems to be going towards Harris, at least in the data I’ve seen. Thanks for qualifying that, though it really isn’t necessary. Your “data” is always illustrative of the concept of GIGO.
Voter registration has also shown a spike since Harris joined the race. And how is this broken down? That is, how much of this “spike” is due to people panicking at the prospect of another Obama/Biden/Harris debacle and realizing that they have to vote to stop this from happening? And even more significant, how much of this “spike” is due to registering illegal aliens and other non-citizens to vote? We are hearing a lot about this kind of “spike” in illegitimate voter registration. You might consider the reality of a “spike in voter registration” and what it really says about Democrat desperation leading to signing up hundreds of thousands of illegitimate voters.
Some of the numbers I’ve seen on early voting and late registrations is astonishingly good for Trump and the GOP – but I suspect I know where Cappy is getting his info. Or, at least the sort of accounts – there’s this one guy who has Harris at 419 EV…with South Carolina as a tossup. Yes, Texas and Florida are blue in this scenario! Florida, where the GOP has widened its voter registration lead to more than a million.
But the theory of this clown – and those like him – is that it is all Dobbs…because Roe was tossed, women will be massively motivated to vote and this will flip State after State blue. I guess its a theory, but even the worst time for the GOP post-Dobbs (the 2022 mid-terms) was still…a GOP win of the House and eyelash losses again and again. I can’t see Dobbs being more motivating two years later than it was in 2022. Hey, maybe I’m wrong – but there’s no metric showing this to be the case. And if we end up losing because of abortion then we simply never had a chance – if that is what motivates a majority, we lost a long time ago. But I still won’t change my views and I wouldn’t change a thing. Abortion being wrong, after all.
And I don’t think its that big a motivator. To be sure, voting has shown that we on the Pro-Life side need to completely overhaul our approach – and the task of turning our nation Pro-Life is one for generations, not something we’re going to win in an instant. The good news is that the end result of our efforts is families having children…this will have more appeal than childless urban weirdos whining about everything. But its going to take a lot of work and we’re going to have to get very tactical in how we approach the issue.
One funny thing about the Dems trying so hard to get Mexican illegals on “a path to citizenship” is that most Latinos are horrified by abortion, and tend to be religious.
Why are people voting for Harris?
Fools and idiots!
Her Fox interview…didn’t go well.
I know: those who hate her thought she did badly.
Those who love her thought she did well.
But the bottom line is that she needed it to move the needle – that didn’t happen. And she’s running out of time.
Meanwhile, all over the place GOPers fighting to unseat Democrats are embracing Trump…because they perceive him as the winner and want to have his success rub off on them.
I read some comments on the Harris interview on Fox that thought she showed amazing strategy in avoiding answers, seeing her evasions as really tactical, “turning it back on Trump where it belongs”. I don’t expect things like this to change many minds, though. I’m pretty sure people have decided by now, and the sad fact is that the Dems could run a Secret Candidate campaign, with one of those anonymous avatars like a silhouette with a ? in it, and “TBA” at the top of the ticket, and win millions of votes. And casper would be earnestly dropping in here to tell us about the latest polling showing TBA gaining ground in different demographics.
I can’t think of one elected GOP official who hasn’t attended Trump’s rallies … Marco Rubio, Glenn Yougkin, David McCormack, Kari Lake, Rand Paul, etc., etc. In fact, a lot of “never Trumpers” are now becoming Trumpers, thanks to Democrat extremism.
Oh, Cluster, you really need to get casper’s viewing list, so you, too, can be informed of the same nonsense by the same eager propagandists. You insist on inhabiting reality, where you will never bump up against casper and his ilk as they line up in the Swill Line to be fed more of the same old same old.
And what he is fed is thin gruel, consisting mostly of the theme that the only thing American women care about is the ability to have society approve of them butchering their inconvenient babies and including lots and lots of superficial fluff about the claimed significance of this or that or the other related to the alleged smashing success of the Dem campaign.
And then, like my cat bringing in a dead mouse, he proudly drags this over here to show us how advanced and insightful his political analysis has become. We know it is much more like a dog rolling in the rotted corpse of something no longer identifiable because to the dog this is irresistible but when the dog drags it in we hold our collective noses because we recognize it for what it is.
Casper is a great example of how propagandized Democrats think … despite two raging foreign wars of which we are funding, despite Venezuelan gangs wreaking havoc in the country, despite 300,000 missing migrant children, despite a border that is still wide open, despite unaffordable mortgages, rent, and groceries, despite many Americans still suffering from neglect after having hurricanes wipe them out, and despite the fact Democrats still champion men in women sports, Casper wants us to believe that Americans will be eager to vote for a womans right to kill her unborn children. This is brain damage on a level normal Americans are not familiar with and because of that …. WE WILL BE GOING BACK to decency and normalcy. Nothing about the current Democrat is decent or normal.
casper still, even after all these years, is addicted to the moral and intellectual slime that emits from his favored “news” sites. That’s fine—-different strokes, etc. But what is so odd is his sad pathetic need to convince intelligent and decent people that what he picks up from these sources is intelligent and decent. So he waddles over here to share the gems he has acquired. Why? No one knows. It can’t be to impress us with his political acumen, because every single thing he obediently parrots is shot down, rebutted and dismissed. He seems to yearn for acceptance and respect here, but is befuddled by the reality that regurgitating Leftist cant is not how to accomplish this.
casper is all about whether or not people left a Trump rally early, while ignoring the fact that Harris has to pay people to attend her “rallies” and bus them in from other places to fill seats. His support for Biden was always based on the thinnest and most embarrassingly transparent lies—that the economy was good, that unemployment was down because Biden had “created” so many new jobs, that the border was secure, etc. Now he doesn’t even seem to be trying to pull this off to justify his support for Harris. It looks like the entire basis for his belief that she is a popular candidate is his conviction that the strident and wild-eyed segment of our society that believes that nothing is as important as societal approval of baby-killing is enough to overcome the miseries of Democrat governance.
“Casper wants us to believe that Americans will be eager to vote for a womans right to kill her unborn children. “
And this is what it comes down to. Dobbs did not say females could no longer kill their inconvenient children, just that this is not a “right” and therefore is something that can be seen as repugnant, or pathologically selfish, or brutal or inhumane. “It’s our RIGHT, dammit, which means there is nothing wrong with it!” was an important concept for the narcissistic females who not only wanted the ability to butcher their children but also needed to believe that no one would look down on this as a moral defect. They never lost the ABILITY to kill their babies, just the soothing assurance that there is absolutely nothing wrong with this because after all it’s just a human RIGHT to do so.
This election is unlike any other election in our lifetime, or the lifetimes of every American that ever lived. We are not debating tax policy, domestic welfare policy, or even foreign policy, we are debating whether or not men can be women, debating whether or not foreign migrants should have more rights than the American people, and debating whether or not children should be gender transitioned … this is how extreme Democrats have become and the majority of Americans will reject it outright. As Trump said yesterday:
“We need borders. We need fair elections. We don’t want men playing in women’s sports. We don’t want transgender operations without parental consent.. 99.9% is common sense.”
Ted Cruz sums up the Democrat party quite well …
https://x.com/JtShaggy/status/1846530924013375878
I just heard the clip and have to repeat it … yesterday on Charlamagne, Harris said she has a plan to offer black entrepreneurs a $20,000 “NON REFUNDABLE” loan. What’s also funny is no one caught this …
Will someone please tell me what a “non refundable” loan is … LOL. The woman is dumb af.
It’s not just that SHE is dumb af, it’s that she thinks her audiences are, too. And some are.
Your quotation marks actually belong around the word “loan” as what she is talking about is not a loan—that is, funds made available to people deemed responsible enough to repay them—but a bribe, and a denigrating condescending pat on the head with the message “we know you are losers so we’ll call it a “loan” to make it sound like we respect you”.
You’re absolutely correct. Also, how demeaning is it to women to think that of all the problems they face, the right till kill their child in the womb is the main motivator. To believe this, is to believe women are not that bright. Very demeaning.
Well, they are smart enough to realize that this act is really a shameful one, and that they need the ability to pretend there is nothing wrong with it because after all, it’s just a RIGHT, like any other God-given, constitutionally protected, RIGHT. We need to stop playing their game and using their terminology, like referring to “abortion RIGHTS”.
Our lives are full of actions and events we have the ability to engage in—driving, for example. We have the ability to drive, but with restrictions such as licensing and obeying various laws. But driving is not a RIGHT. It is not absolute. It is just something we can be allowed to do, as long as we follow the rules.
Our society has been forced to accept the ugly fact that there are some females so indifferent to the value of human life and so narcissistic and selfish that nothing matters to them more than what they find convenient at the moment, and so has accepted the fact that these females will always find ways to kill their inconvenient babies. Therefore, citizens in different states have chosen to apply rules to govern this action.
The screechers and howlers and their enablers are enraged by this, because they want the perception that there is nothing wrong with killing inconvenient babies, a perception that this is implied in the identification of baby-killing as a RIGHT, not just something society has to tolerate to some extent. They demand that baby-killing not be subjected to any rules or restrictions, because it is their RIGHT to kill these babies. Their objection to various state restrictions on baby-killing is not really that this makes it too hard, or impossible, to kill those babies, but that restrictions carry with them the message that this is an action that has moral implications.
And that is the core of the squealing about Dobbs and various state laws imposing some restrictions on baby-killing—it is the reminder that decent people find this practice abhorrent and that it is not just a RIGHT but a personal decision that ends a human life, almost always based on nothing more compelling than “I just want to do it”.
We also need to remember that the monster under the bed of the virtue-signaling abortion promoters with all their slogans about baby-killing really just being “healthcare” or “reproductive freedom” is a multi-billion dollar industry fomenting and funding these pro-abortion activities.
And we have to remember that those who support abortion are as guilty of this indifference to the value of human life as the pathologically selfish females who actually pay for the killing and the “doctors” who do the dirty job.
Another mystery factor is how many crimes have been reported but never entered into the statistics due to law enforcement inaction and decisions to not investigate or charge crimes.
The allegedly lower crime rate is the kind of statistic casper loves to cite, without concern for the credibility of the source.
You can imagine the planning in the FBI about when to release this information. The lower crime rate had to be touted for as long as possible, to shore up Harris’s claims, but the publicity about things like lying about the laptop to influence the 2020 election meant that the truth had to come out before the election to avoid the same criticisms. So the calculation had to be how close to the election could they push this without kneecapping Kamala and giving Trump talking points by coming out too early.
Evidently three weeks was the consensus—-far enough out from the election to claim no effort to influence the outcome, but safely after a lot of votes had been banked for Harris and close enough to the election to count on the information slipping past most voters. I’m sure the complicit lapdog Agenda Media will go along with keeping this quiet, or at least not giving it much attention.
This is not how our government agencies should work. This is the result of the Kenyan and his “fundamental transformation”. wherein he populated the agencies with career bureaucratic partisan hacks in an effort to cement permanent power for Democrats. And it damn near worked, fortunately Trump came along woke a lot of people up, including me. However, if Kamala wins, they will cement that victory. VOTE TRUMP
The strategy of moving de facto legislative power to agencies and political appointees started before Obama. It was Clinton who, late one Friday afternoon (to avoid the news cycle) signed an Executive Order giving the EPA nearly unlimited power to unilaterally declare anything it chose as a “pollutant” and then declare anything it chose as a “solution” to this newly discovered “problem”. At the same time he appointed political whore Ken Salazar as the head of the EPA, starting its expansion in size, scope and power.
This was always a strategy of the Left—-gradually shifting power away from the elected representatives of the country to political appointees. This was shored up by new legislation, blindly passed by Congress, making it nearly impossible to get rid of these political appointees once they became entrenched as agency heads.
An X thread:
He lists several reasons, all of which are very valid and on point, but I especially liked this one:
Rut Roh
https://tucson.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/elections/election-2024-arizona-senate-candidate-ruben-gallego-mayor-kate-gallego-secret-divorce-records-court-actions/article_6f028926-8b85-11ef-85cd-4f7c88fce638.html
What is the purpose of releasing these records? What relevant information will allegedly be discovered?
Well for a party that extols its virtues, it seems Mr. Gallegos divorced his 8 month pregnant wife. Not a good look. And not exactly what a moral man should do, don’t you agree?
Lake is still a way outside shot – just a lot of lingering hostility for her amongst the more McCain style GOPers…but she does have a chance…and this might help. And in an enormously funny way.
I am so tired of Identity Politics. If you are a Republican you theoretically advocate for restricted federal power and for state sovereignty. If you turn your back on a Republican candidate because you don’t LIKE her, then you are enabling and even supporting a political system antithetical to that of true Republicans and you prove that you have no political spine, just flaccid personality-driven emotions. (And I chose that word for a reason.)
I had the same thought—well, about Putin if not about Baier—last week when I read about Reagan’s meeting with Gorbachev in Reykjavik, Iceland. I was reading a book about the evolution of submarine warfare, and part of it addressed the question of nuclear weapons. The two world leaders met in a room, with only “two interpreters and a note taker” for two days, in which they went head to head to try to hammer out agreements on nuclear weapons.
When I read that I thought about the the idea of a President Harris sitting across from Vladimir Putin, unaccompanied by any staff, to hammer out any kind of agreement on anything, while a President Trump would find it just another day of negotiating with a tough opponent.
We need a president who is capable of doing what Reagan did, of sitting in a room with the president of Russia or China or any other country without aides and counselors and going head to head, one-on-one, to negotiate on behalf of the country.
Can you imagine Harris in this kind of situation? She could no more engage in this kind of free-wheeling spontaneous exchange of ideas and decision-making than she could do it in Russian. Reagan’s deep and thorough grasp of the details and nuances of our nuclear ability, combined with his intellect and innate leadership, made it possible for him to negotiate on the fly. This is the kind of leadership the world of today demands.
There Is a Mental Illness Crisis Among Liberals
This is an excellent column, and I suggest watching the enclosed videos, which illustrate the points made by the author.
I voted yesterday, only the second time in my life that I have voted early. Early voting in my county is at the county clerks office in the court house. They had 5 or 6 voting machines, and they were all occupied in the 5 minutes of so I waited in line, and were still occupied when I left.
I’m still registered in Colorado, which switched to all-mail voting a few cycles ago. I hate it. I loved the sense of community of seeing friends and neighbors at the polling place, visiting and feeling that I had actually participated in the process of choosing my representatives. Dropping a ballot in a box is so cold and impersonal and doesn’t feel….significant. I have gone in to vote in person anyway, but this time I want my ballot registered early so I will take it to a secure drop box.
Turnout does appear to be running hot – and my view has been all along that the higher the turnout, the better for Trump.