Blogs For Victory

Not my title, but the title of Marston Chronicle’s post:

Your first thought is that I am drunk on Kool-Aid when you see this title. I am going to show you why I am so sure about this prediction. Your next question is why should anyone pay any attention to me about such a ridiculous prediction. The answer is that in 45 years in politics, I have never been wrong about an election call even when I was called crazy. That includes get elected to office to prove I was right about winning an election. See my biography for details. I have to be very sure to risk a 45 year reputation so remember that you read it here first.

The next question is how could I possibly be so sure when the polls are predicting the exact opposite? Because I know the polls are wrong since they are not properly taking into account the P.U.M.A. Factor. I have explained previously that the mere fact that the polls violently disagree with each other is proof of something seriously amiss with the polling models. See my article on The P.U.M.A. Factor. On November 1st, I posted an article entitled How Big is the P.U.M.A. Factor?

That article pointed out that, at the time I wrote it, it required only a total of 493,636 PUMA voters in North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado to produce a tie in the electoral votes. Add a mere 35,935 more in Nevada and McCain-Palin wins. At the time, I was almost ready to bet the ranch that there were 529,571 PUMA voters in those six states, but I waited another 24 hours to make sure. Now the trend is so clear that it is obvious to me that a McCain-Palin landslide is in the works. It is amazing how few people in politics never apply some fairly simple mathematics to see what is going to happen in the next election.

The article goes on with a couple charts showing the States which are close and could possibly swing towards McCain on the strength of PUMA voters. Not bad analysis – we’ll find out tomorrow if he’s right.

The Anchoress predicts:

If McCain/Palin wins, the press and the Dems will stroke out and Obama will play The Ultimate Chutzpah Card and say that at least 14 states (the big ACORN states) must be challenged because “the rolls were suspect and the integrity of the election was compromised” – by his very own supporters. Then he’ll proceed to tear the nation apart, in an effort to wrest the White House from the GOP. If Obama wins, the Dems and the press will declare that this was the “cleanest” and most “widely observed” election in our nation’s history; they will declare the people have spoken, call it a mandate and tell John McCain that if he dares to challenge things, he’ll be a most dishonorable man willing to tear his nation apart to serve his own ambition.

Yep.

Fascinating take on the skewed political playing field in the United States and how the left might be deluding itself as we head into the end of the campaign.

Will the exaggerations become a self-fulfilling prophecy, as assumed, or are Obama supporters spinning further and further away from reality, constructing one unsupportable exaggeration on top of another — only to be stunned on election day when the actual results, once again, don’t match either their pre-vote opinion polling or their post-vote exit polling?

Yet it may very well be that an army of glum, dispirited and pessimistic conservatives will reluctantly trudge to the polls on November 4, each one imagining they are the only remaining person in the entire country voting for McCain, and lo and behold — they’ll turn out to be a silent majority after all.

Read the whole thing.

Some polls show Obama up, but a raft of polls from Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, etc, etc, etc show a clear swing towards McCain. Will it be enough? Will Democrats resort to their tried-and-true method of ballot box stuffing? When Obama loses, will he become the first Democrat in 20 years to concede defeat on the night of the election? When McCain wins, will the left put it all down as a spasm of racism?

Discuss these and any other issues which come to mind.

Some Democrats are really getting the whole “country first” message:

In blistering remarks to a Saturday morning rally here, former Robert F. Kennedy aide Bartle Bull embraced Republican John McCain for president, hurled Barack Obama under the bus, and then backed it slowly over the Democratic nominee.

“America needs a president who is grounded in patriotism, not drowning in ambition,” Bull told a crowd of hundreds gathered in Lower Manhattan. “I have used that sentence many times in the last three months, and not once — never once — have I been asked which candidate is which.”

The lifelong activist and former Village Voice publisher presented his impeccable liberal-Democrat credentials.

“I had the privilege of serving as Robert F. Kennedy’s New York campaign manager when he ran for president in 1968,” Bull explained. “I was arrested as a civil-rights lawyer in Mississippi, and I campaigned for the Equal Rights Amendment. But in honest conscience, I cannot support the Democratic ticket in this campaign.”

Bull aimed at his target and charged like a longhorn.

“Character in the White House should be more important than charisma on the campaign trail,” Bull declared. “Barack Obama does not want to ‘change’ America. Barack Obama wants a different country.”

Turning to Obama’s financial agenda, Bull minced no words.

“Obama’s notion of economic fairness is pure Karl Marx,” Bull said, “plus a pocketful of Chicago-style ‘community organization.’ ”

How many Democrats are there like this? Just a percentage or two of the normal Democrat vote switching over to McCain out of dismay about Obama could make all the difference. There are, of course, a few GOP turncoats, but no one is seriously considering such to decide the race – McCain is doing as well with GOPers as any recent GOP candidate…Obama, on the other hand, has shown some great weaknesses with some of the core Democratic constituency – most notably blue collar and older Democrats…plus genuine liberals like Mr. Bull.

We’ll know soon enough – but as I’m always saying, consult not what people say, but what people do…people are saying there is a massive groundswell for Obama, but when we look at what people are doing (including Obama, himself, with his choices of campaign stops this past week) we can see that, at best, Obama is narrowly ahead and in for a close fought battle on Tuesday.

Don’t take my word for it… take his:

With nearly 9% undecided:

The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.

Still a completely wide open race – it will all come down to who shows up to vote, so don’t allow MSMers to depress you, fellow GOPers! The MSM will do everything they can to carry this semi-socialist political hack over the finish line – but we’ve got the better man and the better plan and right makes might.

In the name of “choice”, we have murdered 50 million unborn children – and now with the prospect of Obama becoming President and signing the misbegotten “Freedom of Choice Act”, we are on the path to another 50 million murders, unless we take this issue as seriously as we should:

The Church militant’s purpose, the bishop explained, is to “‘fight’ against the enemies of Christ’s justice and truth and light and life.” This fight requires our attentions in a “peaceable but serious manner.”

Lamenting the “casual manner” of some Christians, he said St. Paul’s letter to the Ephesians reminds us that we are in a battle “not with flesh and blood, but with the principalities and powers, with the rulers of this present darkness, with the evil spirits in heaven.”

“What is at stake in this battle is our immortal soul, our salvation,” Bishop Finn insisted. “My responsibility as bishop is with the eternal destiny of those entrusted to my care. My total energies must be directed to the well being of those who otherwise may come under the spell of a radically flawed and fundamentally distorted moral sense, at odds with what our Mother the Church teaches.”

“The direct willful destruction of human life can never be justified; it can never be supported. Do you believe this firm teaching of the Church?” he asked.

Bishop Finn noted that priests and ministers in Canada had been brought before government tribunals for preaching and teaching in support of marriage, being charged with “hate speech” against homosexuality.

“In light of the tyranny of choice growing each day in our own beloved country, we ought to be ready for similar attacks on religious freedom,” he warned.

“We must not fail to preach the Gospel. We can not withhold the truth of our faith. That is why I will never be silent about human life,” Bishop Finn insisted.

“What about you?” he asked.

Noting that Christ told the apostles they would be hated by the world, just as He was, the bishop said Christians must never resort to violence but “we must stand up fearlessly against the agents of death, the enemies of human life.”

And we are, indeed, hated – the so-called “pro-choice” people are fanatic in their hatred of us. Which means that we must love them all the more, and pray for them…but we must also stand firm for life. Being kind and merciful must never become being morally flabby. Love and truth are not soft, mushy things but are, instead, the sharpest of swords and hard as diamonds.

We must take up this sword of truth and wield is tirelessly in the fight for life. No matter how hard the road, we must never give up. And right now we are come to the crossroads – on Tuesday we will either advance the Culture of Life or the culture of death. Obama is for death, McCain is for life – for people who respect life from conception until natural death, there is no other choice than Senator McCain.

…and happened to find myself in the most heavily Democratic area of the Vegas metro area and I didn’t see a single Obama sign or sticker except for one rather lonely lady trying to sell t-shirts with Obama’s picture on them…there wasn’t exactly a crush of people to buy.

A couple days from the election which will elevate The One to the White House by means of the massive enthusiasm he brings to the electorate…and for all the world to see, there might not have been an election going on at all.

Meanwhile, when the Mrs went to the GOP office to get tickets to the Monday rally for John McCain down in Henderson the place was hopping with activity and enthusiasm.

Things just might not be as they appear. The polls still say “Obama wins” – narrowly or in a landslide, but “Obama wins” is the universal of the polls. Unless, of course, the pollsters got the demographics for the electorate in 2008 wrong. If there’s not a massive upsurge in young voters and new African-American voters and if blue collar and older Democrats surge to McCain, then the events on Tuesday wiil leave the MSM and Democrats stunned.