Zelensky

Open Thread

Mark Noonan15 Comments

The Establishment is really going after The Sound of Freedom – the anti-child trafficking movie. They are going ballistic…and that tells you the tale: there really is a huge amount of child trafficking in the Ruling Class. There’s no other explanation for going to hard after the movie. Think about it – they’ll try to scare you into thinking eggs are poison just to get some viewership…talking about this issue would get eyes on TV. They don’t want any eyes on this movie. And that can only be because they know all about it and are afraid it’ll all come out before they can normalize it.

Odd man out?

It has flown around the interwebs…and it might be a little unfair to Zelensky as it might have just been a bad looking moment, but he does appear in many ways to not be part of the club there at the NATO summit.

Solid information about the course of the Ukraine war is very difficult to find. The only rock-solid thing we know about both sides is that they lie. If we have an MSM we’d have people on the ground who could check claims against observed reality but the Russia MSM is as subservient to Putin as the Western MSM is subservient to Zelensky; they both just repeat what they’re told. The proof, then, must be in the puddling – the much anticipated Ukrainian counter-offensive ground ahead a short distance, possibly at enormous cost, and now the Russians are starting to push ahead again. The main thing is that this isn’t working out as the Establishment hoped…and that picture might merely symbolize the Establishment realizing that the game is up and now its time to back away slowly and let things play out as they will.

As I said at the start of the war, absent an immediate, deep offensive strike by Ukraine into Russia, this war could only have one outcome as long as the Russians didn’t quit: Ukrainian defeat. Anything short of a very quick Ukrainian victory akin to the Israeli victories in the Six Day and Yom Kippur Wars could only end disastrously for Ukraine because they simply lack the numbers to fight a war of attrition with Russia. Some people tried to make out that it was like WWI where the lower-population Germany won a war of attrition with Russia…except it wasn’t just Germany it was Germany, Austria-Hungary and Turkey and, in the end, Russia won the war of attrition (as they were bound to do). On the day before the Revolution, Russia had won WWI…had won it since they mastered their Great Retreat in 1915. Once the Russian army got away from the Germans after Gorlice-Tarnow, all Russia had to do to win was stay in the field. Keep in mind that the German’s unleashed the U-Boat war because they didn’t perceive any weakening in Russian power and so turned to submarines in a desperate gambit to knock Britain out of the war. It was Russia’s misfortune that at the moment of victory, the Czar was universally despised. Absent that, Russia would have been at Versailles helping to dictate terms to Germany in 1919.

How this particular war turns out remains to be seen – Russia is bleeding a lot, too. How much does Putin want? Be nice if someone asked him…because that might be the way out. If nobody asks him and Putin feels that he can’t stop for fear of losing domestic support then what could have been a negotiated peace in 2023 ends up with the total destruction of Ukraine in 2025.

The Hollywood writers have been on strike for a while now – and it appears that the TV writers may join in.

Absolutely nobody in God’s green Earth cares.

The latest Indiana Jones moving is flopping – partially because they have absurdly cast a geezer as the lead in an action movie, partially because they had to go woke as per usual these days. I came up in 30 seconds with a new Indiana Jones movie guaranteed to break box office records; Reboot Indiana with a new, younger actor (like they do with the Bond movies) and make the story Indy’s effort to save Priam’s Horde in Berlin, 1945. Make the conflict between Indy and Gestapo Muller because given that Muller disappeared on or about May 1st, 1945, you could have Indy kill him in the climactic scene. You’d get youth, killing Nazis, you can cast some Russians as heavies which plays into current politics. Lots of things blowing up. This is the formula…and, sure, it is formulaic. But it is cracking good fun and would make a ton of money. If Hollywood wants to start making money, I’m right here…got buckets of great ideas.

There’s a video Pudding Brain put out in 2020 saying he’s always got time to take a call from his grandkids…with the video showing him talking to same. It is turning out to be a devastating indictment of Biden because he has not – and apparently will not – acknowledge his youngest grandchild by Hunter. Perhaps 100 years ago you could get away with trying to ignore a bastard…but we don’t even use that word any longer. And good riddance to it. Stipulating that we must do far better to get people married first and then have kids, the bottom line is that no matter what the parents are, it isn’t the kid’s fault. Suppose the woman did totally blindside Hunter on it – said she was on birth control, that sort of thing – and further suppose that she’s just the worst person in the world while Hunter is the innocent man (stop laughing!)…none of that matters. The little girl is Joe’s flesh and blood. She’s family. However she got here, she’s here. And Joe – and the rest of the Biden family – have denied her. The more this gets out – and it is spreading around out there – the worse Joe looks. Remember, his whole thing (a complete lie) is “good ol’ Joe”. That he’s at bottom this nice, decent guy. He never has been, but that has been the image presented in the MSM…but you can’t explain away his refusal to welcome his granddaughter. There’s just no possible excuse for it. And it shows Biden to be the utter creep he is.

Now, why is this suddenly spreading? That is, why is the MSM starting to talk about it it just now? The girl has been around for years. It hasn’t been a secret. So, why just now?

The rumor is that the Democrats are thinking about dumping Biden and picking someone else for 2024. All we can do on that is watch and wait.

The Russo-Ukraine War

Mark Noonan32 Comments

As I sit down to write, there are reports that Kiev is surrounded and not surrounded and that Zelenesky has agreed to talk and not agreed to talk. In other words, nobody really knows what is going on. This is the most talked-about but least reported-on war I’ve ever seen. I think this is because we lack any real war correspondents – people who would actually go into the combat zones and see what they could see. Those old reporters would get things wrong from time to time, but not usually: the willingness of people to pay them to risk their lives for a story was dependent upon accurate reporting. These days, the reporters all stay where they can get an easy TV hookup and a drink after their daily 20 minutes of broadcasting the latest rumor they picked up over lunch.

The MSM is filled with stories of glorious Ukrainian victory. Social media has a plethora of accounts putting out alleged video of the fighting. But I’ve literally seen the exact same picture described as Russian and Ukrainian troops surrendering. Part of our problem here is that there’s no physical difference between Russians and Ukrainians and their military equipment is similar. Anything can be anything and none of us can really tell if a particular armored column driving through a non-descript Ukrainian town belongs to either side.

That said, the Russians clearly have advanced, and in some cases pretty deep into Ukrainian territory. The eyes of the world are fixed on Kiev but the real action is the Russian advance out of Crimea towards Mariupol in the east and Odessa in the west. Especially towards Mariupol because if the Russians get there, we might find a significant portion of the Ukrainian army is encircled. And that might be why Zelensky wants to talk (if those reports are correct): work a deal before the Ukrainian army in the east has to capitulate (in the face of Russian air power, a withdrawal is probably not feasible).

Part of the problem the world has in dealing with this is that we don’t know Putin’s intentions. He hasn’t really stated them. My thinking when it started is that he wanted the line of the Dnieper: essentially taking the part of Ukraine where ethnic Russians make up the bulk of the population. That still might be it – with the moves towards Kiev and Odessa merely to obtain bargaining chips to obtain Ukrainian agreement to surrender the Donbas. But there is a chance he wants the whole of the Ukraine. That, I think, would be foolish on Putin’s part as he’d be taking control of a hostile population and pretty much force Poland and Romania into massive military build up and close alliance.

Naturally, the Democrats are trying to pitch this in a manner which forces us to back them politically. We have to rally ’round the flag, right? If recent polling is correct, that isn’t happening: Pudding Brain is cratering to his lowest ratings yet. I know some people who have become emotionally invested in opposing Putin and this has made them turn the Ukrainians into pure heroes. I’m not having any of that. The Ukrainian government has been corrupt to the bone since it was set up after the fall of the USSR. They had 8 years to prepare for this and it doesn’t look like much was done – they should have had layered defensive positions and a plan to mobilize the entire population at need. But I guess giving no-show jobs to Hunter Biden was the best they could do. I am sympathetic to their plight, but only to an extent – the people of Ukraine are ultimately responsible for the sort of government they endure. If they truly loved their country, they would have made sure that no matter what else happened, national defense was carried forward with conviction. They didn’t and now Ivan is knocking at the gates.

On the other hand, I also know people who are making a hero out of Putin and so they cast aspersions on the Ukrainians. Putin’s propaganda is that he’s only going in to rid Ukraine of neo-Nazis. This is based upon the Azov Battalion of the Ukrainian militia and the actions of Ukrainians during WWII.

The Azov Battalion originated in the 2014 conflict – and it clearly has links to white nationalist groups and some of its symbols are obviously based on Waffen-SS symbols. But I doubt they hope to revive a Nazi empire. The symbols they use are more for anti-Russian than pro-Nazi reasons. This is because during WWII quite a lot of Ukrainians did work with the Germans against the Soviet government. They also fought the Germans quite a bit. In the end, the outside observer can only look with a bit of sympathy on people who were caught between Nazis and Bolsheviks. If you were Ukrainian in 1941 you had family members who had been starved to death, murdered or otherwise brutally oppressed by agents of Soviet power. It wasn’t just a portion of the population: all of them had reasons to hate the USSR with a white hot passion. In come the Nazis and the Bolsheviks are gone…the Nazis then proceed to murder, rape and loot to their hearts content. This did cause some Ukrainians to become pro-Soviet partisans…but quite a number let that Nazi brutality roll right off their backs and they became ant-Soviet partisans. If you ever wanted to know how bad Stalin’s rule was, there’s your answer: some people would rather help Nazis if that meant keeping Stalin out.

And they kept up the fight – for ten years after the end of WWII, Ukrainians continued a forlorn struggle against Soviet power. Without any outside support they were eventually crushed…but the memory of them endured and their symbols remained potent to Ukrainians who remember and dislike Russian rule. And, so, there you go: the Azov Battalion. So, I don’t put much stock in pro-Russian claims that Ukraine is a neo-Nazi hotbed.

I think that this is one of those events where we’re just going to have to see how it comes out. It is, though, a war I want no part of. I don’t even want to arm the Ukrainians at this point as I’m concerned that we’ll just end up supplying the Russians as we did the Taliban. The Europeans can provide all the aid Ukraine needs – let them do it. Keep our soldiers home – at most I’m ok with providing humanitarian relief.