Santorum Claims Iowa Momentum

From the Santorum Campaign:

Former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA) far exceeded expectations in Ames and finished 4th in the Ames Straw Poll.

Today’s results were simply vindication for Senator Santorum’s belief that a clear, consistent and proven conservative record resonates with Americans. Outspent in Iowa by more than six to one in comparison to his nearest competitors, Senator Santorum showed that leadership trumps showmanship and that the American people deserve more than just television commercials, news conferences and empty promises…

Santorum has a point – he certainly wasn’t expected to do well in Iowa…a northeastern politician who was little known in Iowa managed to come in fourth (he certainly did better than Romney…another northeasterner who was beaten by Perry, who only announced on Saturday).

We’ll see if Santorum can build on this – he’d probably have to come in third, at least, in the Iowa caucuses to be taken seriously…and then he’d have to come in second in New Hampshire.  That is a high bar – he’ll have to outdo Paul’s legion of dedicated supporters while taking voters away from Pawlenty.  In New Hampshire, Romney is almost certain to win (and if he doesn’t, then he’s done), so the contest is for second place…if Santorum can do that, then he’s off to the races.  Not the nominee, by a long shot, but it would vault him in to the top tier of candidates.

It is still anyone race to win – Romney, Perry and Bachmann are the heavyweights; Santorum is one of the second tier candidates, all of which have their chances to break in to the top.  We have a very strong field of candidates, only two of which give me grave concerns should they be the nominee – Huntsman (was Obama’s ambassador, after all) and Paul (love him on economics, consider him completely wrong on foreign and defense policy).  Any one of them will get my vote and enthusiastic support against Obama because the safety of the United States requires that Obama leave office on January 20th, 2013.

UPDATE:  MN GOP wants Pawlenty to run for Senate.  That is an exceptionally good idea.  Doesn’t guarantee us a Senate seat from Minnesota, but ensures that the Democrats will have to fight tooth and nail to keep Klobuchar’s seat…and, of course, Pawlenty has already shown he can win State-wide in Minnesota.

8 thoughts on “Santorum Claims Iowa Momentum

  1. neocon1 August 14, 2011 / 10:43 am

    mittens wont stay on the scene for long.
    the media loves him so that is why his numbers are high, he is a mcLame light and a sure loser for the GOP

    • neocon1 August 14, 2011 / 10:45 am

      Ron Paul is a Kook with some very good ideas.
      He would be a very good adviser.

  2. casper August 14, 2011 / 12:03 pm

    Pawlenty just dropped out. Santorum’s chances improved maybe 2%. I doubt that anyone other than you and his family would give him much of a chance.

    • Mark Edward Noonan August 14, 2011 / 9:54 pm

      Casper,

      T-Paw’s withdrawal does aid Santorum and Cain…the other two TEA Party candidates in the face…if you are TEA Party and were backing T-Paw out of concerns for Bachmann’s long term ability, then Santorum and Cain are the place to go…with Santorum probably getting the bigger boost.

      To be sure, I’d rate Santorum’s chances of getting the GOP nomination at 100-1…but he does have a small chance, and I like him. Bachmann is where I gravitate these days, but I’m ready to get enthusiastic about Santorum at the drop of a hat.

  3. casper August 14, 2011 / 12:05 pm

    At this point I would consider it a three way race between Perry, Romney, and Bachmann, in that order.

  4. ragingbull August 14, 2011 / 1:09 pm

    i really like santorum but he really has zero chance…but he would make a great VP choice for anyone who wins the nomination.

    • thomasg0102 August 14, 2011 / 1:14 pm

      agreed,

      Santorum and Cain will be the next ones to drop out. It’s over for those guys. Newt will probably follow suit soon as well.

      Its going to be Perry or Romney.

      • neocon1 August 14, 2011 / 2:17 pm

        tgasbagger

        stick to trolling it what you know and do best.

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