Open Thread

It’s getting kinda exciting, isn’t it? Today, Sleepy Joe called at lid at 9am while Trump is doing rallies in Maine and New Hampshire. A CBS poll shows Biden up 3 in FL while a Trafalgar poll shows Trump up 2. The GOP seems to be crushing it in Texas early voting and doing remarkably well in early voting in Florida. The Democrats continue to show strength in early voting in Arizona while there was, I’m not kidding, a Gays for Trump rally in West Hollywood, California yesterday (it went for Hillary over Trump by 72 percentage points in 2016: this is the heart of the Blue Beast, folks: takes massive guts to even say you’re Republican there). There does appear to be more to come in the Hunter Biden scandal. How do I know? Twitter still has the NY Post’s account locked. How much of it drops before election day is the only mystery here.

The guys I follow for election analysis are uniformly confident of a Trump victory: the only difference between them is the predicted margin. They run from narrow to big wins. Who can really say? What we can say is that if you’re polling the same population and one of you gets A +3 and the other gets B +2…one of you is lying. And that is the tale of 2020, really: the mainstream polls and analysis are so entirely different from the outsider polls and analysis that either the mainstream or the outsiders are simply lying. We find out for sure on 11/3 who it is – though it should be noted that the mainstream has a track record of lying about everything. Small bit of data to indicate how things are going: this guy tracked Ohio votes in 2016 and now 2020 and says that Hillary was up 7.6 in 2016 at this point…but here in 2020, the GOP is up 4.5.

ACB is going to get confirmed to the Supreme Court Monday evening…and expect a lot of new and renewed GOP challenges to Democrat election shennanigans right after that. Senator Murkowski decided that, on the whole, she’d rather remain a Republican Senator and so will vote to confirm ACB. She must have got one heck of a blowback.

Jews for Trump: it is a thing.

We get this every four years: a Democrat saying that the GOP is doomed by demographics. In this case, it is now Gen Z which will do us in…does anyone want to tell this guy that the hippies of 1970 are now wearing MAGA hats? People change. Socialism seems a good idea to an ignorant 18 year old. Houses, kids, bills and taxes give you different priorities.

Robert Reich wants to drag all of us Trump voters before a Truth and Reconciliation Commission if Biden wins. Anyone want to tell him that he only gets to do that after his side wins a civil war?

Pennsylvania miners are still hurting, but they are voting Trump. This is likely because Trump doesn’t hold them in utter contempt.

Kanye West may be lots of things – but he’s also getting lots of things right. He’s pointing out the absolute, inhuman horror which is abortion in the black community. I have actually made a few Leftist friends of late – lost some of my older ones, as well. But it seems to me that there is a segment of the population, which might be growing, which is willing to re-establish basic sanity in our society. My view is that if anyone is coming forward with a sane proposal, from whatever background, we should listen.

Biden’s astonishing statement that he will phase out oil is causing downballot problems for Democrats. Out here, the big House race is NV03 where the Dem incumbent is locked in a furious race against her GOP challenger. The intensity of it is shown by the fact that her first series of ads were mere mudslinging at the GOPer. But here’s something she hasn’t said: “Joe Biden”. The GOPer gratefully accepted Trump’s ringing endorsement…but the Dem doesn’t seem to be too pleased to cling tight to Biden, whom the polls say is leading here. Odd, huh?

I feel good. But, it is all in God’s hands, anyways. Being that we’re now 9 days out and I’m Catholic, I’ve started a Divine Mercy novena. I think we’re going to win this – but, one cannot know the future. I think my best advice is just to have fun with it, now. All we get to do here is vote: once you’ve done that, you’re just a spectator to events.

51 thoughts on “Open Thread

  1. Retired Spook October 25, 2020 / 3:35 pm

    It’s getting kinda exciting, isn’t it?

    Well, I don’t know if “exciting” is the word I’d use. I guess if Trump wins, especially if he wins in a landslide, that would be exciting for a few hours until the shooting starts. If he loses, that would just be depressing. But as one of the talking heads on Fox noted the other night, Republicans would just suck it up and go back to work.

    Other than polls, most of which were wrong in 2016, there is no anecdotal evidence that Biden is going to win. He’s running a prevent defense campaign and not drawing flies at his few rallies while Trump is drawing tens of thousands at multiple rallies per day. Biden’s statement that he would transition out of fossil fuels was an egregious, unforced error, not taking into account the roughly 11 million people who make their living directly or indirectly through the energy sector, the vast majority of whom are tied to some aspect of fossil fuels. The cost to retrofit the nearly 60% of American homes that are heated with natural gas of fuel oil would be in the billions, maybe trillions. There are simply no viable alternatives for vehicles and airplanes on the horizon that would allow ground and air transportation to transition away from fossil fuels by 2035 (or 2025 as Biden said in the debate).

    Robert Reich wants to drag all of us Trump voters before a Truth and Reconciliation Commission if Biden wins. Anyone want to tell him that he only gets to do that after his side wins a civil war?

    I volunteer Mr. Reich to be the director of such a commission. His life expectancy wouldn’t be worth a bucket of warm piss.

    • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 12:05 am

      When we talk about the Biden comment about phasing out fossil fuels we seem to always focus on the petroleum-industry jobs that would be lost, and sometimes there is a reference to the support industries that grow up around the industry. Having lived in an area hard-hit when the industry fell off a cliff a few years ago and now suffering after the runaway hubris of King Polis and his Merry Band of Democrats ruining Colorado, I can also testify to the other effects—housing, for example, with people unable to sell their houses when they have to move to find work, realtors unable to make a decent living because people aren’t buying or selling, and businesses like drugstores, dry cleaners, restaurants, florists and so on who have depended on the revenue flow that comes from a thriving economy.

      I wish we had been talking about the impact on people not associated or dependent on, in an way, the petroleum industry, particularly in the Northeast where heating oil is what keeps people alive in the winter. How would a ten per cent rise in the cost of heating oil affect most people in these states? Fifteen percent? Twenty percent? That is the immediate impact, not even taking into account the cost of changing those heating systems to something else. Many older houses don’t have ducted heating systems, but have a central heater and vents cut in the floors of the upper rooms, allowing heated air to rise into those rooms. It’s not just a matter of changing fuels for homes like this, but trying to run ductwork through old walls and floors never designed for anything like this.

      It’s the Magical Thinking upon which so much of Leftist fantasy depends, merged with total economic ignorance, and the toxic mix would be disaster.. (Remember when someone pointed out to AOC the problems in getting food to people if trucks were not transporting it, and her response that people should “just grow yucca in their back yards”. Yucca. A desert plant related to the cactus and not only not likely to grow in New York, but nothing one would want to live on, and how many urban people have back yards where they can grow anything?) As I said, Magical Thinking combined with ignorance defining the Left.

  2. dbschmidt October 25, 2020 / 5:57 pm

    Can’t believe I have even thought about this but I believe it is time for a poll tax. Not a tax in dollars or a test based on creed, race or any of them other things…a tax on intelligence and common sense. The ability to show you have actually paid attention in the previous four years to the real world.

    Basically, if you do not know that a “coyote” is slang for a human trafficker—you should not be a member of the congress. If you have no understanding that evil oil (petroleum) is used in items like plastics maybe we should wonder if you possess the brainpan to make a solid decision on who should be running the free world. Nothing too difficult for the snowflakes like end-to-end electric cars are worse for the environment than good old combustion. Personally, I would like to see hydrogen.

    Tons of other things that I would like to see changed as well but we need an educated electorate before we collapse as a nation but then again—that is exactly what they are driving towards.

    • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 12:09 am

      Forget the electorate for now—let’s just have an IQ test for legislators. We might start with “How many people would have to be on an island like Guam before it tips over?”

      At the very least, they should be able to pass a test on the Constitution. Maybe then they would know that “balancing the Court” would mean a balance between justices who will uphold the Constitution and those who would subvert it.

  3. jdge1 October 26, 2020 / 8:31 pm

    Barrett confirmed to the Supreme Court by a vote of 52-48 with Collins voting no. Congratulations to Justice Barrett and may she be guided by the hand of God for may years to come.

  4. jdge1 October 26, 2020 / 10:57 pm

    This is a huge step in the right direction in draining the swamp. President Trump issued an order titled “Executive Order on Creating Schedule F In The Excepted Service.” There are a great deal of problems that arise from many civil service positions that are often life-long jobs with little recourse in getting individuals removed, even when it’s clear they are actively working against the President who is essentially their boss.

    ” The directive, issued late Wednesday, strips long-held civil service protections from employees whose work involves policymaking, allowing them to be dismissed with little cause or recourse, much like the political appointees who come and go with each administration.

    Federal scientists, attorneys, regulators, public health experts and many others in senior roles would lose rights to due process and in some cases, union representation, at agencies across the government. The White House declined to say how many jobs would be swept into a class of employees with fewer civil service rights, but civil service experts and union leaders estimated anywhere from tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands in a workforce of 2.1 million.”

    • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 12:53 am

      “…little cause or recourse,…” is tap dancing around the real threat to the Left—–merit-based employment. No, no one can just be arbitrarily fired, from any job. There has to be a valid reason. It’s just that in the real world failing to do a job well is a valid reason. In the real world, there are plenty of things that are valid reasons. Only in government work is there a guarantee of job security no matter how bad you are at what you being paid to do.

      And didn’t even the Lefty FDR come out against unions for government employees?

  5. Retired Spook October 27, 2020 / 7:48 am

    “Childish and inappropriate” is an understatement. The people of Hawaii should be ashamed of this harridan, but apparently they aren’t because they keep electing her.

    • jdge1 October 27, 2020 / 10:09 am

      Spook,
      This is in the article you linked to it states; ”Judge Amy Coney Barrett is a clear and present danger to the rights and protections [Ruth Bader Ginsburg] fought for.”

      And there rest the whole problem with the mentality of the left in relation to justices. It is NOT the responsibility of justices at any level, much less the US Supreme Court, to “fight for” any particular position while acting in their judicial capacity. Their job is simply to decipher the law. It is the responsibility of the legislature to fight for whatever position they wish to become law. Justices are NOT a legislative body. Justice Barrett has reiterated this many times in recent discussions.

      • Retired Spook October 27, 2020 / 10:17 am

        The “clear and present danger” is that posed by the Leftist members of the Supreme Court to the rights guaranteed to you and me in the Bill of Rights.

  6. Cluster October 27, 2020 / 7:57 am

    If he loses, that would just be depressing. But as one of the talking heads on Fox noted the other night, Republicans would just suck it up and go back to work.

    I’m not so sure about that. That would also mean deferring to people like Hirono, Blumenthal, Schumer, Pelosi, AOC, etc. to run our country …. I don’t think so.

    If Biden and the Democrats win, I hope the unrest in the streets makes this summer look like a day in the park. I would help lead the charge.

    • Retired Spook October 27, 2020 / 8:11 am

      I understand how you feel — I really do, but one of the things that sets Conservatives apart from Progressives is that we don’t resort to violence when we don’t get out way. At least we don’t initiate it. Besides, what’s this “if Biden and the Democrats win” sh*t? That’s not an outcome I’m willing to entertain at this point. You’d be hard-pressed to find someone who thinks Biden will make a good president, and I refuse to believe that hatred of Trump is a strong enough motivator to drag Sleepy Joe across the finish line.

      Less than a week to go — keep the faith.

      • Cluster October 27, 2020 / 9:23 am

        Oh I agree 100% that Trump will win and win BIG League …. but always be prepared.

      • Retired Spook October 27, 2020 / 9:38 am

        Always.

  7. Cluster October 27, 2020 / 8:04 am

    So two Lincoln Project members were just on MSNBC and one stated that everything “she had worked for during her political career was shattered when Trump was elected” …… which made me wonder what exactly she had been advocating for? Any review of Trump’s accomplishments would match up 100% with the conservative agenda with the exception of “unending wars” and there is the rub. Lincoln Project members are for the establishment status quo … nothing more. There is nothing conservative about their agenda.

    • Retired Spook October 27, 2020 / 9:34 am

      The Lincoln Project’s mission as stated on their website:

      OUR MISSION

      Defeat President Trump and Trumpism
      at the ballot box.

      We do not undertake this task lightly nor from ideological preference. Our many policy differences with national Democrats remain. However, the priority for all patriotic Americans must be a shared fidelity to the Constitution and a commitment to defeat those candidates who have abandoned their constitutional oaths, regardless of party. Electing Democrats who support the Constitution over Republicans who do not is a worthy effort.

      But if you Google (or in my case, Duck Duck Go) “how has Trump violated the Constitution?” you get lots of articles but not much in the way of significant violations. OTOH, the media and the members of the Lincoln Project seem to forget just how often Obama was challenged in the Supreme Court and lost, including thirteen 9 – 0 decisions in his first 5 years that he had exceeded his constitutional authority.

      To the members of the Lincoln Project is say, good luck finding a significant number of Democrats who don’t intentionally violate their constitutional oath on a daily basis.

      • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 12:12 am

        Electing Democrats who support the Constitution would be kind of like electing vegans who eat meat.

      • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 12:13 am

        good luck finding a significant number of Democrats who don’t intentionally violate their constitutional oath on a daily basis.

        Which is why I still support making the oath of office binding, an employment contract which, if violated, would result in losing the office and its associated benefits.

      • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 1:09 am

        I did that Duck Duck Go search, and didn’t find anything that didn’t depend on wild-eyed crystal ball reading or interpretation of facts to support claims of violating the Constitution. I did find nonsense like this: …. two presidents, like Trump, violated treaty clauses that required Senate ratification. Obama did this when he signed the Iran nuclear deal and Trump did this when he walked away from the deal.

        Think about it. This overheated writer basically says that walking away from an illegitimately signed treaty is illegitimate. And that is what passes for intellect and analysis on the Loony Left.

        I found claims of bribery, based on typical negotiations with other nations. Negotiations always consist of a form of “If you do this I’ll do that” but when the wackadoos start in on Trump this is suddenly an impeachable offense, which they redefine as “bribery”. (Evidently Nancy Pelosi saying “We won’t give the nation its Covid relief package if you don’t give us bailouts for mismanaged Democrat-run cities is not considered “bribery”.)

        All I found was more evidence of the dependence on Magical Thinking that defines the Left. In this case, it’s “I want Trump to be guilty of something awful therefore what I identify is magically something awful.”

        We’ve always had crazy people, but the Internet lets this insanity infect and taint far more of our culture than ever before.

  8. Cluster October 27, 2020 / 11:10 am

    The pollsters and DC insiders are going to be thoroughly embarrassed on Nov. 3

    • Retired Spook October 27, 2020 / 12:00 pm

      If the Leftist radicals make good on their promise to burn down the country following a Trump victory, embarrassment is going to be the least of their worries.

      • Cluster October 27, 2020 / 12:45 pm

        Just heard from a friend in MI who is at the Trump rally and he said that there are approx. 50,000 people there and yet still there is a mile long line of cars coming. And yet the media thinks Biden is up double digits in MI.

        I returned from CA yesterday and my Uber driver was a born and raised LA hispanic man who is voting for Trump and thinks CA could go Red.

        They are lying to themselves.

      • Cluster October 27, 2020 / 12:46 pm

        Meanwhile Obama is speaking to maybe 200 people in FL

      • lance1845 (@lance1845) October 27, 2020 / 1:15 pm

        Cluster, just so we are clear – you think the President will win big – and may even carry California. Why don’t we both go on the record and forecast what we think the results will be.

        I think it will end up 306 to 232. Trump carries Florida – but loses Michigan and PA as well as Arizona.

      • Amazona October 28, 2020 / 8:54 pm

        Who’s Lance? From his photo it’s another name for Carlos Danger.

        No one denies that the Dem machine is so powerful, and backed by the Complicit Agenda Media, that its plans in play since 2016 might very well allow it to “win” an election very few people want them to win.

        I think the social media giants ought to be hit with federal indictments for illegal campaign financing and election interference.

      • Cluster October 27, 2020 / 3:34 pm

        Ok I will play ….. Trump wins MI, PA, WI, OH, NC, AZ and FL, and has a real shot at winning NY and CA. I think Trump wins 40 States or more and next Tuesday will be a 1984 Reagan type landslide. Just FYI Trump is leading in early voting in MI

      • Retired Spook October 27, 2020 / 7:28 pm

        I’d be surprised if Trumps only gets to 306.

      • casper3031 October 27, 2020 / 8:22 pm

        I’m predicting Biden will end up with at least ten million more votes than Trump and hit at least 350 votes in the Electoral College. He might even pick up Texas.

      • casper3031 October 27, 2020 / 9:34 pm

        I’m also predicting that Democrats net 5 seats each in both the Senate and the House.

      • Amazona October 28, 2020 / 8:50 pm

        This from the moron who taught children that to believe the Constitution is the best way to govern the nation is to believe that we should return to slavery and not allow women to vote.

  9. Cluster October 27, 2020 / 5:42 pm

    I know one thing for sure … we are all going to miss Trump when he is gone. I just saw a video of Trump flying into a rally on Marine Force One hovering over the cheering crowd of 40,000 to the tune of Creedence Clearwater Fortunate Son. He is THE BOSS … what a show. I would hate to have to follow Trump.

  10. Cluster October 27, 2020 / 5:44 pm

    I’ve just heard that the Biden campaign is pulling out of OH. It’s over folks.

      • Retired Spook October 28, 2020 / 10:14 am

        So Casper, you think that billionaires should be able to just buy elections? Remember, in 2016 Hillary outspent Trump by more than 2 to 1 — AND LOST.

      • Cluster October 28, 2020 / 11:20 am

        Casper is an old hippie liberal still clinging to the Democrat Party of “inclusiveness” but what he and all liberal hippies from the 70’s and 80’s don’t understand is that the Democrat party is now the party of censorship, ruling class, endless wars, and billionaires. Everything Casper use to protest.

      • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 1:12 am

        Well, the last time Bloomberg tried to buy an election, or at least a nomination, we saw how well that ended for him.

  11. Cluster October 28, 2020 / 8:20 am

    So Casper and the cool kids chime in and claim that Biden wins TX but here’s what Casper and the rest of the DC bubble media don’t understand …. no candidate ever will win a national campaign in this country by promising to eliminate fossil fuel, fracking, and by advocating more lockdowns and mask mandates. Never going to happen. Biden lost the election that minute. And that doesn’t even take into account his desire to “reimagine” police. Honestly I think Biden and the Democrats have done everything possible to lose this election.

    Oh and let me jump on this one early … Hunter Biden didn’t kill himself.

    • Retired Spook October 28, 2020 / 10:51 am

      And that doesn’t even take into account his desire to “reimagine” police.

      Or eliminating the Trump tax cuts or re-instating all the Obama job and economy killing regulations that Trump has eliminated. I can’t imagine why any reasonably intelligent person would vote for Biden other than pure hatred of Trump.

  12. Cluster October 28, 2020 / 8:25 am

    And Lance and Casper, I encourage to watch this …. I know both of you are sticklers for political ethics

    • Retired Spook October 28, 2020 / 10:20 am

      And a lot of people saw Tucker’s interview of Tony Bobulinski.

  13. Cluster October 28, 2020 / 8:51 am

    So MSNBC is full Pravda this morning. Zero coverage of Bobulinski and right now I am watching a segment on the danger of “armed militias” walking the streets. No mention of last night in Philadelphia.

  14. Cluster October 28, 2020 / 11:33 am

    Deja Vu all over again:

    Joe Biden has taken the lead over President Donald Trump in two key battleground states in the Midwest with less than a week to go before Election Day. The Democratic nominee leads by 17 points in Wisconsin and seven points in Michigan – two states that Trump carried in 2016 and helped put him in the White House. The new numbers out of the Washington Post/ABC News poll show Biden is being boosted by his support from women.

    Not sure why Democrats just resist reality but this election is reminiscent of 2009 Obama v McCain. Remember when Obama would attract tens of thousand supporters while McCain had trouble filling up a local McDonald’s? Yet we conservatives still thought McCain had a shot?

    Welcome to 2020.

  15. Retired Spook October 28, 2020 / 11:38 am

    The guys I follow for election analysis are uniformly confident of a Trump victory: the only difference between them is the predicted margin.

    At least we only have 160 or so hours before we have a pretty good idea of the outcome. I keep coming back to a book that Hugh Hewitt wrote a while back — If It’s Not Close, They Can’t Cheat.

    Only in America can one party refine cheating to an art form and then accuse their adversary of voter suppression because we demand that dead people be purged from voter rolls.

    • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 12:46 am

      Dead people and cats. Don’t forget the cats.

  16. jdge1 October 28, 2020 / 2:55 pm

    2 Days after being sworn in to the US Supreme Court, leftists are talking about impeaching Justice Barrett. That I know of, she’s yet to rule on a single case and they’re already crying lack of impartiality. They’re demanding she recuse herself from any case revolving around any potential election dispute. That’s their standard MO. If you can’t win with the rules in place, change the rules.

  17. Cluster October 28, 2020 / 4:00 pm

    So Trump and Harris are in my State today …. Trump in Bullhead City speaking to about 20,000 people while Harris is in Tucson speaking to about 20.

    But the media says Biden is leading AZ right Casper?? hahahahahahaha

    • Amazona October 28, 2020 / 8:57 pm

      Today on Rush he cited a man in AZ who did an informal poll after he voted and only one out of about 50 people he talked to admitted to voting for Biden.

      I wonder when it will sink in to Dems that voting Dem means aligning themselves with loons like Liawatha Warren and that blithering idiot from Hawaii. (And no, I don’t mean Obama.)

      • Amazona October 29, 2020 / 12:44 am

        I wonder if there is some kind of formula to estimate how many Trump supporters are represented by every one who is out there in a car rally, or standing in line for an in-person rally. Another Rush caller told him that on Long Island there was one cavalcade of what a police officer told her they estimated to be at least 10,000 cars. These are spontaneous eruptions of support for Trump. I don’t go to anything like this and neither do any of the Trump supporters I know, though one teenager drives around with Trump flags flying from poles in the back of his pickup—and gets lots of smiles, thumbs-ups and honks of approval. So how many Trump votes are represented by 10,000 drivers who just wanted to go out and show their approval of the president?

        I truly believe that the ONLY reason most Biden voters will vote for him is not enthusiasm for him but just blind hatred of Trump—fed by the typically vile and vicious Dem ad campaigns. I turned on the TV the other day during the day to check on the fires and after half an hour had to turn it off—the ads were so despicable, so vicious and so dishonest they made me sick.

        And they made me wonder, what kind of person is attracted to a party that is, at its heart, basically just hateful and ugly?

  18. Cluster October 29, 2020 / 6:13 pm

    Today on Rush he cited a man in AZ who did an informal poll after he voted and only one out of about 50 people he talked to admitted to voting for Biden.

    The support for Trump here in AZ is off the charts. In Peoria last weekend, a NW suburb of Phoenix, there was a 30 mile long Trump caravan. There is no way Biden wins AZ

    There was a pollster on Hannity the other night who said that following the debate, they saw a dramatic shift amongst voters under 40 for Trump after Biden promised mask mandates and lockdowns. The younger people are done with the fear and panic of Covid.

  19. Cluster October 29, 2020 / 8:01 pm

    Have you noticed that the entirety of Biden’s campaign policy promises are based on what “experts” have concluded about them? I guess people haven’t realized yet that it is experts who have gotten us into this mess. Just unbelievable that people still fall for this shit. As Buckley once famously said “I Would Rather Be Governed By the First 2,000 People in the Telephone Directory than by the Harvard University Faculty”

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