Open Thread

We’re still up in the air in Arizona and Nevada. My thinking is that Lake and Lombardo are in far better positions than their Democrat opponents. Laxalt is about even with CCM (with a slight tilt to Laxalt) and Masters has a very difficult (but not impossible) task. If Lake, Lombardo and Laxalt win, I’ll call Tuesday a win. Masters pulls it off, a mini-wave (you might have heard that an Expert has already called it for Masters…but if he had the data to do that, he’d even more easily have the data to call the Governorship…that he hasn’t means he’s just guessing for Narrative purposes).

Don’t try to overthink why the vote counting it taking so long – the Democrats are trying to see if it’ll be close enough for them to manufacture a thousand or so votes to tip it their way. Over in Arizona, they have simply refused to count any of the votes that should tilt heavily R – which tells me they’ve spot checked them, found that they are, indeed, heavy R and are trying to see if everywhere else makes the final result close. And don’t try to tell me that there isn’t a thought of fraud here – there is no way it takes this long to count ballots no matter what source they come from. The delay is manufactured. The good news is that in Arizona we seem to have our act together on lawyers and monitoring and I’ve just gotta think that they haven’t been able to screw Lombardo because he’s Sheriff of Clark County and can arrest anyone who tries a bit of ballot box stuffing.

The House Republicans, at least in their public statements, are acting like they are sure they’ll be in the majority come January. This is probably correct…would take some things going very bad very late for this to change. Looks like we did flip 20 Democrat seats…trouble was the Democrats flipped 8 of ours. We might win the House popular vote by as much as 4 points. There are 4 Democrats remaining in the West Virginia Senate. And we doubled our numbers in the Hawaii Senate (from 1 to 2, but hey). So, there is some good out there for us – and I do believe that we were doomed-and-gloomed by an MSM Narrative which I now perceived started about 8 pm Eastern and it was designed to depress GOP turnout in the West.

We have to admit that early voting and ballot harvesting are not going away in areas that Democrats control – we have to start working on it. Haven’t been able to confirm it, but the claim is that 500,000 of Hochul’s votes came from Democrats going to peoples houses with pre-filled ballots and then asking them to sign. Nothing at all illegal about that – the person still has to voluntarily sign. We should start doing that. We likely lost NY because of turnout fails in some GOP counties. We know who our voters are – just go get them. Get used to Election Month; do our best to make early voting a 50/50 thing.

We also need to understand that in the swing voters we are dealing with people who have minimal knowledge and are easily swayed by commercials. They are the reason advertising exists, at all. The Democrats stuck to very simple, very stupid lies about themselves and us. We were bombarded with ads telling us that Democrats were fighting to lower costs while Republicans were going to take away your rights. As I said, very stupid lies – a 180 from reality. But, it worked – Titus hung on by 5 or so instead of losing on the back of such mindless drivel. We need to pitch it at just that lowest common denominator. Our ads should have been “Democrats are coming for your kids” and “we’ll bring back cheap gas” (our ads on prices here in Nevada tried to explain that all the money printing and spending caused the inflation – which is true, but the sort of person who is swing has no chance of connecting the two things – “we’ll give you something nifty!” will work a lot better).

15 thoughts on “Open Thread

  1. Cluster November 12, 2022 / 12:32 pm

    Democrats do it with very dumbed down lies…we need to do it with dumbed down truth

    Such a great line lol … but spot on. We have to reach the stupid and maybe come out with a color by number conservative policy coloring book. This if course would just be for the college graduate. The average non college graduate small business owner is one hell of a lot smarter than these recent college graduates. Academia and our Media have done some lasting damage to this country.

    And the delayed counts in AZ and NV ARE exactly what election fraud looks like. And if there was any attack on our democracy – this is it. I’m numbed by the level of dishonesty and stupidity in this country. It’s disheartening.

  2. Cluster November 12, 2022 / 4:05 pm

    This guy nails it …

    Tyler Bowyer 🇺🇸

    How dare these people screw up the election as bad as they did on Tuesday and then moderate vote releases to fit a narrative with media.

    Truly. Never seen anything like this level of malevolence.


    • Retired Spook November 12, 2022 / 4:11 pm

      “CIVIC TERRORISM”, spot on!

  3. Retired Spook November 12, 2022 / 4:06 pm

    Jeff Childers’ excellent take on the attack on Paul Pelosi:

    2. Paul Pelosi / David DePape.

    Two weeks ago it was a a hot-take phenomenon! First there was a new wave of rightwing, hammer-wielding insurrectionists wearing only tight white underpants. Then it briefly morphed into “republicans pounce.” Now that we’ve had time for reporters to actually dig into facts of the story, abcracadabra, it’s disapparated! Vamoosed! High-tailed it! Lit out for the border!

    Oh. And there’s STILL no security video.

    Out, damned spot of inconvenient news!

  4. Retired Spook November 12, 2022 / 4:36 pm

    Jeff’s entire post is worth reading.

  5. Retired Spook November 12, 2022 / 7:00 pm

    Winter finally caught up with us today in northeast Indiana with snow and 31 degrees, but if what we’ve been experiencing in the last month is an example of climate change, then we want more of it. Last night was the third night below freezing since October 20th, but in between we’ve had 10 days in the 70s, 11 days in the 60s, and a couple of days in the 50s. Longest Indian Summer in memory.

    • jdge1 November 12, 2022 / 9:06 pm

      Got my vote !!

    • Mark Noonan November 12, 2022 / 10:44 pm

      We’re in a deep freeze here in Vegas. That does mean daytime highs in the low 60’s.

  6. Cluster November 13, 2022 / 10:33 am

    Steal one election, shame on you. Steal two elections, shame on me. I’m done folks.

    I’m not sure what’s worse. The people who delay cheat and steal our elections. Or the people who know, and refuse to say anything but nevertheless, America is over with. It was a good run.

    • Mark Noonan November 13, 2022 / 1:57 pm

      Depends on what you mean by “steal”. Here in Nevada, the Democrats simply passed a law legalizing voter fraud – they got CCM over the finish line by “curing” about 7,000 ballots – these were mail-in or drop-off ballots that were rejected because something was missing on them (often a signature). They simply called all the voters who looked like Democrats and asked them to drop in and sign or otherwise correct the ballots (though I wouldn’t put it past them to just sign for the voters, etc, in a pinch). All perfectly legal. Laxalt’s team didn’t get on to this until far too late. Shows we didn’t read the rules of the game and adjust our game-plan to match the rules. Our fail! Because it looks like there were thousands of GOP-leaning ballots to be “cured” and though we might get some of them now, we didn’t have the infrastructure built just for that. Lesson learned.

      I fully agree that this sort of voting process if fraudulent – but unless we win a trifecta in any given State, we can’t change it. So, them’s the rules: play by them. We can very well go to nursing homes with pre-filled ballots and have the geezers sign as well as the Democrats do. If we do it right, then the race will be to hit these places first.

  7. Cluster November 13, 2022 / 11:35 am

    Question, how many of you think the 2024 election will be fair and transparent and results known on election night?? If so, please contact me, I have some real estate opportunities I want to talk to you about.

  8. Cluster November 13, 2022 / 12:03 pm

    Democrats will steal the House too. They know that the GOP might look into Hunter Biden’s crimes and that’s not allowed. It’s completely predictable now

    • Mark Noonan November 13, 2022 / 1:51 pm

      As of this moment, I’d say we’re on track to 220-221 in the House. This, though, doesn’t 100% please me because that narrow a majority will be difficult to manage. OTOH, no more J6 drivel.

  9. Cluster November 13, 2022 / 1:31 pm

    As we all know history repeats itself which has me thinking that America is once again back in 1770 where deference and loyalty to the King (the establishment) was the expected norm … but the sons of liberty were just starting form. I think this will all play out again.

Comments are closed.