The NV-2 race is just about a foregone conclusion – as it turns out, I’ve been up in Reno the past few days and so caught a bit of the GOP advertising: all Obama, all the time…”don’t send a rubber-stamp to DC”, that sort of thing. I don’t recall they even mentioned the Democrat candidate’s name. Expectations are for a double-digit GOP blowout…but Mark Amodei, taking nothing for granted, has been pressing the turnout efforts.
The polls in the NY-9 race just closed a few minutes ago and while polling has been good for the GOP, I do expect a Democrat win…they are pulling out all the stops and the district does have a reputation for voter fraud. But even if the Democrats managed to squeak out a win, it will be a signal for defeat in 2012 unless Obama changes course. And if the GOP does pull out a win, just that much more devastating for the Democrats.
UPDATE: In NV-02, Amodei has 64% against Marshall’s 31%; NY-09, Turner has 51% against Weprin’s 48%; still way early.
UPDATE II: NY-09, 271 of 512 precincts reporting, GOP winning 53/46; NV-09, 166 of 858 reporting, GOP winning 58/37.
UPDATE III: AP calls NY-09 for Republican Bob Turner. First GOP win in NY-09 since 1921. Dems already spinning it as meaningless…meanwhile, in private, they are starting to wonder if they should “primary” Obama…
UPDATE IV: AP calls NV-02 for Republican Mark Amodei. A crushing victory – 57% to 37%.