From The Morning Call:
President Barack Obama, who political experts say will need a win in Pennsylvania to retain the White House, dipped to 35 percent approval among the state’s registered voters, according to a Muhlenberg College poll released Friday…
…f there is any silver lining in the poll for Obama, it’s that 31 percent of Pennsylvanians say their vote in November 2012 will depend on who the Republican candidate is. And Obama still slightly edges out an anonymous GOP contender 36 percent to 31 percent…
If your “silver lining” is that you’re scoring 36% against a yet-to-be-determined opponent, then it is pretty tarnished silver.
To be sure, Pennsylvania is a pretty blue State – but it does have some red leanings, as shown by the election of rock-ribbed conservative Pat Toomey to the Senate. More than likely, Obama will be able to pull out the win in Pennsylvania – GOP hopes State-wide usually falter because of Philadelphia, which is completely under the control of the corrupt, Democrat machine and can usually be counted on to deliver the State for the Democrat (as I think they did in 2004 when the only place Kerry won decisively was Philadelphia, with Bush either carrying or being in a close tie in the rest of the State). But, that said, this polling shows that Obama will have to fight for the State – money and time will have to be spent there which Obama will desperately need elsewhere.
The way the electoral map is building up for 2012, Obama is going to be spread mighty thin and he’s going to have to thread quite a small needle to win. He still very much can do it…even if he loses the popular vote, he can cobble together 270 electoral votes…but only if Pennsylvania is in his pocket. The GOP should start planning to pour massive resources in to that State…even if we don’t win it, it will weaken Obama elsewhere and make our task easier.
HAT TIP: Hot Air