The Hunt for an October Surprise

We’ve got two – count ’em, two! – potential October Surprises in the rumor mill:

1.  Obama inks a deal with Iran to give up the nuclear program.

2.  Bottom-feeding attorney Gloria Allred has some scandal to uncork on Romney (or Ryan) in the closing days of the campaign.

A deal with Iran is possible but highly unlikely – at best it would be some sort of nebulous agreement by Iran to say that they will consider the possibility of reviewing the option of negotiating a nuke deal with us at some future date.  Still, if anything is done then the MSM will go ape over it making it out as the most important foreign policy achievement since World War Two.  I don’t think, though, that it would affect the election – most people are not too concerned about Iran and, at any rate, those who are set to vote for Romney long ago tuned Obama and his Administration out – such a deal, if struck, would make a lot of MSM noise but essentially drop in to a bottomless pit of public indifference.

Something from Allred is also very much possible – remember, it was Allred who torpedoed Cain earlier this year, ruined Whitman’s campaign in California in 2010 and nearly destroyed Schwarzenegger’s gubernatorial bid in 2002.  She does this by coming up with someone who claims to have been horribly treated by the Republican target and then counts on the compliant MSM to carry the ball.

Given the background we have on Romney and Ryan it does seem implausible that there is any sort of a sexual scandal – to be sure, either Ryan or Romney might have had indiscretions in the past (all of us are, after all, fallen human beings and prey to weakness and sin), but it seems unlikely.  It certainly seems to be highly unlikely that there is any such story of recent vintage to be told about the men.  I believe it would more likely be some woman who claimed discrimination by Romney in employment or, possibly, a story that at some point Romney (or Ryan) employed an illegal immigrant for some sort of domestic service.   Remember, there doesn’t have to be a shred of evidence in the accusation – all there has to be is some sort of connection with the accuser to Romney or Ryan.  As it will be set off late in the campaign, there will be extremely limited time (and absolutely no inclination on the part of the MSM) to check the veracity of the story.  Glenn Reynolds over at Instapundit, in light of the Allred rumor, is advising that Romney inform the MSM outfits that – win or lose – any false accusation will result in a libel suit with all sorts of lengthy and embarrassing discovery launched against the MSMers who report a lie.  That is good advice – but while it might give some MSMers pause, it won’t actually defuse the hand grenade.

As the wheels are coming off the Obama cart, we must expect something to happen (as an aside, the fact that we’re getting these rumors indicates that people deep inside Team Obama know that doom impends – if they were really confident of victory, none of this sort of thing would be going on).  This will become even more true if polling by Wednesday doesn’t show any post-3rd-debate improvement for Obama (and it is highly unlikely that it will).  Obama is heading for a defeat and doesn’t want to be defeated – and his team is chock full of knee-to-groin Chicago political operatives.  Political operatives who not only want to win but are also likely worried about how a Romney Justice Department might view some of the actions taken since January 20th, 2009.

Will a scandal bomb work?  Would, say, the revelation that Romney employed an illegal or discriminated against women in employment throw the race to Obama?  Would, that is, such a late-in-the-game bit of scandal-mongering convince people that Romney is such a lousy person that its better to stick with Obama for four more years?  Highly unlikely.  It might shave a point off of Romney’s total, but as I expect he’ll get at least 53% of the vote, that won’t be enough.  But, on the other hand, it could work.  Time will tell if it is tried, if it is effective and whether or not Romney has prepared for this as he’s turned out prepared for every last thing which has come his way in 2012 – and my bet is that they do have a prepared response for anything Team Obama might throw at them.  But, we shall see – just get ready for anything to happen over the next 16 days.

 

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41 thoughts on “The Hunt for an October Surprise

  1. GMB October 21, 2012 / 8:55 am

    Nothing has stuck to Mitt so far. I don’t expect anything to stick at all. Unless the rats have ironclad video proof of whatever their next outrage is, it will not stick either.

    The voters have pretty much made up their minds. Unless you are a James or bozo type, you know that BHO is nothing more than empty shell who wants power more than anything else.

    The hope is gone and now it is time for a change.

  2. Cluster October 21, 2012 / 9:12 am

    Signing a meaningless treaty with Ahmadinejad, or having something come out from the ambulance chaser Allred will have little to no effect on this election. I am inclined to believe Dick Morris when he says that Romney will win easily.

    RIP George McGovern

    • js03 October 22, 2012 / 11:29 am

      ”Man will occasionally stumble over the truth, but most times he will pick himself up and carry on.” – Winston Churchill

      • Retired Spook October 22, 2012 / 8:35 pm

        JS, Churchill was the source of many great quotes. My favorite is:

        We contend that for a nation to try to tax itself into prosperity is like a man standing in a bucket and trying to lift himself up by the handle.

  3. Retired Spook October 21, 2012 / 10:58 am

    The fact that October is two thirds over, and there hasn’t been an “October Surprise” says a lot. At this point, the closer we get to the election, the more any “surprise” revelations about Romney are going to be seen as pure desperation by the Obama campaign. But it is what Democrats do when their backs are against the wall. And it’s been Obama’s signature tactic throughout his entire political life. I don’t think it’s going to work this time.

    • Retired Spook October 21, 2012 / 9:20 pm

      DB, we’ve already dropped $.50/gallon in the last 30-45 days. We were at $3.99 around Labor day, and I just filled up yesterday for $3.47.
      Must be all that drillin’ on public lands that Obama was touting in the second debate.

      • Amazona October 21, 2012 / 11:04 pm

        And the timing, right before the election, just after Romney made his point in front of the nation linking high gas prices to Obama’s incompetence, is nothing but a coinkydinky.

        Nothing to see here, folks…………….

      • Retired Spook October 21, 2012 / 11:15 pm

        And the timing, right before the election

        And it could just backfire on Obama big time, particularly with his base. More than likely it’s seasonal factors as refineries quit making the various expensive summer blends, but a substantial number of people who think it might be something Obama did (especially if he tries to take credit for it during the debate) may be offended that he’s allowed the average family to spend thousands of extra dollars at the pump for the last 3-1/2 years and waited til right before the election to do something.

  4. Caveat Emptor October 21, 2012 / 2:04 pm

    Just in: Joe Biden to be declared “criminally insane” and cannot continue in his capacity as Court Jester. Howard Stern has been sworn in using a little known and rarely used law that allows an incumbent president to make fools of anyone he wishes.

    Biden still continues to campaign for the Democratic Party on behalf of fools and lunitics hoping to lock up the liberal wing of the Party.

    In other news, president Obama has announced means testing for his second administration’s Cabinet. Additionally, an IQ test will be administered to prospective candidates; if they have one they cannot serve.

  5. Bob1 October 21, 2012 / 2:46 pm

    What about a surprising revelation about Obama? Like he is really not qualified to be on any ballot for the office of President. When are the severe critics of Obama that are regularly quoted and whose statements are regularly posted on this blog going to get some public attention? How long can his deceptive strategies go on? Who can reveal the facts about him that will sink his campaign before the voting really takes place? If all of the criticism of him and his policies is so true, why is it still so hidden from public view? Surly it can’t all be hidden by the mass media. There are now too many media platforms that are available to the public for Obama to “control” them all.

    • watsonredux October 21, 2012 / 3:50 pm

      No, Bob, Obama does control all of the media, even B4V. I’m surprised you hadn’t noticed.

      Ya gotta love the right’s hysteria about Gloria Allred. The blog redsideoflife urges all good conservatives to call the Romney campaign now(!) and tell them the following:

      • Warn them about the pending attack (they really may not know)
      • Explain the severity of damage Allred can inflict
      • Demand that they get their teams of lawyers to launch a pre-emptive strike against Allred, coming down on her first like a ton of bricks

      “This is no trifling matter,” they say. You guys better start making phone calls. They really may not know!

      • Caveat Emptor October 21, 2012 / 6:41 pm

        Looks like we have our first applicant fo an Obama Cabinet position.

        Waddie Redoux, Protocol Secratary in the Ministry of Civility. Special Envoy for Determining Incivility.

        I believe Wattie meets the second criteria.

      • Amazona October 21, 2012 / 8:24 pm

        And of course this dinky little blog (redsideoflife) IS “The Right”.

        What do you do, wattle, cruise the net for self-identified conservative blogs on the chance you can score a gotcha every now and then? Funny that you have to wallow in a sub category of Identity Politics, and focus not just on personalties of candidates but of bloggers.

        Much as I hate hackneyed cliches, this just begs for a big GET A LIFE!

      • J. R. Babcock (@JRBabcock) October 21, 2012 / 9:11 pm

        Ya gotta love the right’s hysteria disgust about with Gloria Allred.

        There, fixed it for you, Watson.

    • Amazona October 21, 2012 / 8:36 pm

      Bob, just a couple of hours ago my sister in law asked the rhetorical question “Just what would Obama have to do for these people to realize how awful he is?” and of course the answer is, NOTHING he could do would alter their adoration of him.

      Nothing.

      He could be filmed dropping puppies into a wood chipper and his base would love him. He could be proved without the slightest doubt that he is not even the son of Stanley Ann Dunham OR Barack Obama Sr but is the love child of Che Guevara and an African princess and they would not care. Video could surface of him doing a Diana Ross imitation at a gay bathhouse variety show, ending with a big lip kiss from his male lover, and it would not make a difference.

      Nothing.

      Just look at the wild, outrageous, bizarre lies he is telling, over and over again, on his ads—that Mitt Romney wants employers to DENY ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE FOR WOMEN, or that he wants to make contraception illegal. They don’t care that he is lying to them. They don’t care about the total contempt for them and their intelligence these lies illustrate.

      THEY DON’T CARE

      • Bob1 October 21, 2012 / 9:01 pm

        Who does care? That is the point of my post, and what is it going to take to give them a platform for their revelations about Obama? Such a revelation would be a great “surprise” in this climate of “popular” politics.

    • js03 October 22, 2012 / 7:19 am

      Like that wasnt obvious. All ya gotta do to figure this one out is to look at the failure of logic on the MSM. If the left falls for all that BS, then you know they gotta be halfwits and mental midgets.

    • Cluster October 22, 2012 / 10:53 am

      GMB,

      I just sent KPHO an email and will let you know if I hear anything back.

      • GMB October 22, 2012 / 12:24 pm

        If you get a reply please, by all means, post it. It would be worth at least a six pack of my home brew. 🙂

        Supposedly it was some kind of “test” trying out new software.

        Projecting much there kpho?

        😛

      • Cluster October 22, 2012 / 1:24 pm

        This is the email I just received:

        “On Friday October 19th during a test of KPHO- CBS 5’s election returns software we inadvertently aired a test graphic for about 15 seconds in an episode of Peoples Court. The mistake was caught quickly and taken off the screen. With the election about 2 weeks away, the TV station routinely tests its equipment to ensure our viewers have the very latest’s results on election night. We regret the error and apologize to any viewer who was confused by the mistake.”

    • Retired Spook October 22, 2012 / 1:09 pm

      JS,

      From your linked post:

      A lot of my job was de-railing and spamming threads that didn’t go our way, or making accusations of racism and anti-Semitism. Sometimes I had to simply lie and claim a poster said something or did something “in another thread”

      Sounds like little Davey Bowman to me.

      • Cluster October 22, 2012 / 1:26 pm

        That is Dave Bowman to a tee. And Dave has certainly become emotionally invested in his job.

      • GMB October 22, 2012 / 1:47 pm

        I would of guessed Cory. Sometimes you could just feel his frustration with neanderthals like me.

        🙂

    • Retired Spook October 22, 2012 / 1:28 pm

      JS,

      Here’s another interesting part of the shill’s confession:

      After a while of doing this, I started to feel bad. Not because of the views I was pushing (as I said, I was first apolitical, then pro-Israel), but because of the dishonesty involved. If my arguments were so correct, I wondered, why did we have to do this in the first place? Shouldn’t truth propagate itself naturally, rather than through, well…propaganda?

      I have always been of the opinion that the truth has no agenda and doesn’t need a majority to prevail. I have NEVER intentionally posted something here or on any other site that I knew was false, and on those rare occasions when I posted something that turned out not to be true, I have apologized. If all of our resident Lefties did the same, we could have some really meaningful discussions.

      • js03 October 22, 2012 / 4:03 pm

        Shock!! you mean…its better that we conduct our affairs based on a moral principal like…the TRUTH?

        who woulda figured that

        I agree with you. The real solution to our problems today might just be founded upon such a principal, but face it…you can drag a horse to water…but no matter how hard you beat him you cant make him drink it….

    • 1neocon October 22, 2012 / 6:04 pm

      the forkers?

      These strategies included various forms of personal attacks, complaining to the forum moderators, smearing the characters of our opponents, using images and icons effectively, and even dragging the tone of the conversation down with sexual innuendo, links to pornography, or other such things. “Sometimes

  6. Retired Spook October 22, 2012 / 1:36 pm

    Well, it appears the October surprise won’t be a debt crisis. A while back one of our resident Lefties, James/Thomas, IIRC, made basically this same argument. Perhaps it was one of the few times he was right, although I still think our present economic policies will result in a constant string of boom/bust bubbles, and our massive, unfunded/underfunded pensions and entitlements will eventually collapse under their own weight.

    • js03 October 22, 2012 / 4:04 pm

      The October Surprise is the dismal failure the Obummer campaign is looking at…the November Surprise will if he actually wins.

    • dbschmidt October 22, 2012 / 7:49 pm

      The boom/bust cycle will continue until we free ourselves of the monster created on Jekyll Island. It was part of the design.

  7. GMB October 22, 2012 / 1:44 pm

    Hey bozo, watson, Jeffy aka Dave Bowman aka Monty Burns aka a thousand other names that are less than forgettable, Thomas aka slccr aka sz0102 aka James and a million other names.

    What do yo all think of biteme bidens brother getting that huge contract building homes in Iraqistan?

    http://www.foxbusiness.com/government/2012/10/22/biden-ties-eyed-in-hillstone-iraq-deal/

    Haliburton! HaliBURTON!! HALIBURTON!!!

    Not sure why the moderation hold, but fixed//Moderator

    • Amazona October 22, 2012 / 5:19 pm

      A quote from the article, referring to the business in which James Biden is a partner: emphasis mine

      ” “I think these guys will come through,” said one former Hill executive who had worked on the development. “You have to realize that these guys are relentless businessmen and they have the right connections.

      And if the deal does happen, a chunk of that $1.5 billion will flow to the biggest connection Hill has to government: James Biden. Hill International owns a 51% stake in HillStone; a group of minority partners, including Biden, hold the rest. That means that the minority partners would split roughly $735 million, pocketing millions of dollars even after expenses are paid. ”

      Do ya think????

      Billions handed out to Obama contributors who then declare bankruptcy, with no record of where the money went:

      Big contract awarded to company in which the Vice President’s brother is a partner:

      Equity holdings in GM taken away from investors and handed to unions in a sweetheart deal/payback for delivering the election:

      Appointing a Supreme Court justice who was the White House advocate for the Affordable Care Act, knowing the Act would be brought before the Court:

      And this is just what comes to mind……………

  8. Retired Spook October 22, 2012 / 3:34 pm

    Could this be the October Surprise?

    • Amazona October 22, 2012 / 5:04 pm

      Well, let’s see what the Left has to offer:

      1. A woman attending a Catholic university who is, after three years of law school, blindsided, stunned, befuddled, bewildered and FRIGHTENED to learn that the Catholic Church will not pay for contraception.

      2. A Mormon woman, belonging to a church which very sternly frowns upon and strongly objects to abortion, is blindsided, stunned, befuddled, bewildered and FRIGHTENED to have a Mormon bishop try to discourage her from having an abortion.

      It is starting to look like the Left is trying to convince us that women are stupid, ignorant, mindless, helpless sheep who could not connect two dots and whose focus is south of their belt buckles.

      And when it comes to Lefty women, they might be right. I heard what I am supposed to assume was unamplified enthusiasm, raucous cheering and thundering applause, at a college speech last week when Barry informed them that unlike Romney, who would not allow them to use contraception, he would protect them.

      I didn’t hear the whole speech so I wonder if he explained to them just how, under Romney, employers would DENY ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE !!!! FOR WOMEN !!!!! ‘Cause I remain curious as to just how this would work. Seems like it would be an indirect form of birth control, as women would be DENIED ACCESS TO HEALTH CARE !!! so would undoubtedly start dying off in droves, therefore reducing the birth rate.

      Funny how he skips those details. And funny/sad that there is one female on the planet who believes this nonsense.

      • 1neocon October 22, 2012 / 6:08 pm

        rut ro

        Donald Trump said on “Fox & Friends” Monday that he’ll reveal “very big” news about President Barack Obama by Wednesday, but declined to give any hints about his plan.

        “Something very, very big concerning the president of the United States,” he said. “It’s going to be very big. I know one thing — you will cover it in a very big fashion.”

        Trump, who said he will announce the news on Twitter “sometime probably Wednesday,” suggested it could “possibly” impact the election.

        Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1012/82701.html#ixzz2A4I3veO3

      • dbschmidt October 22, 2012 / 8:00 pm

        Not sure here but I think I actually made a Liberal think–just guessing because of the amount of smoke exiting her brain housing unit. She was starting on the “ObamaCare is a good thing” meme at a local watering hole (where I do not openly discuss politics because I fight unfairly using facts and such) when I must have overwhelmed her logic with a simple statement.

        Anyway, even before Brian (the innkeeper that evening) could say anything about ‘No Politics at the bar’ — I had already told her that if she really believed that–then vote for Obama and good wishes because if I could, on her behalf, guarantee health insurance for every American I would; however, she ought to note that is what ObamaCare is–insurance and not a guarantee of health care. Not enough providers as it is–what happens when you add 30 ~ 40 million new clients?

  9. bozo October 25, 2012 / 9:29 am

    Well, here’s that devastating October Surprise Obama and the rest of us liberals have been dreading.

    Man, why won’t this criminal just go home?

    • Amazona October 25, 2012 / 10:13 am

      “Powell says that he’s still a Republican”

      And Reid and Pelosi say they are still Catholics.

      The rabidly radical Left do love to redefine terms, don’t they?

      So the Republican Party can nominally stand for, and be returning to after some lapses, a Constitutional form of government for the United States, which is based on a severely limited federal government, state sovereignty, and adherence to the 10th Amendment, yet Powell supports a president who has governed in direct opposition to these basic foundational tenets of Republicanism—-but wants to CALL himself a Republican.

      And saying so makes it so, in the mind of the Liberal.

      But there are only three possible reasons to support Barack Obama:

      1. Being a Liberal, which is antithetical to being a Republican

      2. Irrational loathing of Republicans and conservatives, which is antithetical to being a Republican

      3. Race

      If a man self-identifies as a Republican, that leaves only one reason to vote for Obama.

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