Open Thread

The Republican Midterm Convention happens September 9th and 10th – never been done before. People thought it was a bad idea – partially just on the fact that Trump wanted to do it, partially on the theory that the incumbent party never wants to nationalize the midterms. That is, make them a referendum on the person elected two years previously. To date, that conventional wisdom probably had some merit in it…but I don’t think it does now.

As I’ve been saying, I’ve been rewatching the election night coverage from 2016 and 2024 and I’ve noticed that both in 2016 and 2024, Team Trump put the word out, fairly early, that it was over and their man had won. 2016 was really remarkable because it was Kelly Anne Conway putting out the word at about 9:30 pm Eastern that it was all over but the shouting…while most of the MSM still clung to a Hillary victory for at least 90 minutes after that (and some until close to midnight, Eastern). That was a bold statement for Conway to make – unless she knew. And it looks like she did. Similarly, Team Trump was feeding Sean Hannity the straight scoop in 2024 and he estimated while still very early (I think around 8:30 or so Eastern) that it was all over. This goes along with something I’ve known for a while – most campaigns know how its going, and sometimes a while before show time.

I got this first by watching an interview with Jimmy Carter’s campaign manager some time in maybe the late 1990’s (though it might have been early 00’s) where he told the story of how he informed Carter a week before the election that it was over. He had crunched all the numbers – real numbers, that people paid money for – and there just wasn’t any way Jimmy was getting another term. This is why Carter was so quick to concede on election night – there simply wasn’t any point in dragging the matter out. As one TV show put it very succinctly once, “if you’ve got to eat a sh*t sandwich, do it all at once: bite, chew, swallow”. The only reason Mondale held out until a little later in 1984 is that the networks had decreed they wouldn’t officially call an election until after the polls closed in California. Point blank: Mondale knew he wasn’t going to win. In his case, he probably knew all along he had no chance. Since then, the Democrats who lose just never want to eat that sandwich. This is why Gore reneged on his concession (he knew he had lost Florida all along). Why they always put it off to morning or some drivel. The networks now don’t wait for California to close: they wait for the Democrat campaign to give permission to call it. What I’m saying is that in both 2016 and 2024, the elections should have been called by, latest, 11 pm Eastern.

And, so, Trump is making this a national election. Deliberately putting himself out there as the central motivator for the vote. Knowing that this will fire up Democrats. But it also fired up Democrats in 2024. Didn’t matter. There was no time in 2024 that Trump wasn’t going to win. Harris’ own pollster admitted it after it was all over: she never had a lead. The polls aren’t mistaken: they’re lies. But the campaigns commission real polls which tell them where to go and where to spend money. They don’t let those polls go public; don’t want to give away info to the other side. I think Trump already knows how it is going to go.

Of course I could be wrong – but a lot of people in this world have ended up looking like total idiots by figuring Trump has it wrong.

If you subtract the oil Iran used to export through the strait then what you get is oil transiting is now back to pre-war levels. We’re not letting Iran export. Iran’s tankers are now in hiding off Sri Lanka and I hope we take them as Prizes. Bottom line, it just gets worse and worse for Iran. Don’t know how long they’ll hold out. Don’t care, either. If we need to blow them up some more, we will. But the days of the Mullah regime throwing weight around are over.

Gloria Steinem died. We do pray for the repose of her soul but she was an absolutely hideous, anti-human person. Pure poison to every decent impulse humans have. The world would have been much better off if she had never lived.

There’s been a 206% increase in arrests of repeat offenders in New York City. Because they keep releasing them. Just more anti-human Leftist policy. The Left says we have to go soft on black crime because racism caused it. This is stupid, but for the sake of argument, let us say it is so: by the time a man is on his sixth of seventh felony arrest the problem isn’t the racism, it is that the man has utterly failed in the “being a member of society” effort. There are black people – presumably just as much victims of racism as any black person – who go their whole lives without an arrest. Let alone multiple. You might be able to argue in favor of a Mulligan. Maybe even two. But after a while there’s just nothing left to do.

13 thoughts on “Open Thread

  1. Cluster's avatar Cluster September 4, 2026 / 10:08 am

    Gloria Steinem died alone. No husband. No kids. No love.

    If Lindsay Clancy were a man, he would already be on death row. And rightfully so.

  2. Cluster's avatar Cluster September 4, 2026 / 10:17 am

    Yesterday I posted an article about a TX Judge who has ruled that sexually explicit material was ok for children and should not be banned. Well today, I found this …

    Court Forbids Mom to Take Daughter, 13, to Normal Christian Church – Used the Word ‘Cult’ in Official Docs

    “A district court judge sided with the child’s father, Matthew Bradeen, ruling that some of the church’s teachings could be psychologically harmful to the girl. The order allows Bradeen to solely decide on his daughter’s involvement with Calvary Chapel Church.

    But confusing children about their gender and offering “affirming care” is NOT “psychologically harmful”?? Satan is alive and well in the Leftist Democrat Party and it must be extinguished. We all need to give our lives to this cause for the sake of the country and our children. Fight like you have never fought before.

    • Mark Noonan's avatar Mark Noonan September 4, 2026 / 10:37 am

      They’re telling us who they are – and we’re not going to get rid of this by any Libertarian means…we can’t talk the stupid out of their ignorance.

  3. Cluster's avatar Cluster September 4, 2026 / 11:57 am

    All men need to apply two litmus tests for future wives:

    1. Does not want to kill children
    2. Does not have a penis
  4. Retired Spook's avatar Retired Spook September 4, 2026 / 8:05 pm

  5. Retired Spook's avatar Retired Spook September 4, 2026 / 8:07 pm

    • Mark Noonan's avatar Mark Noonan September 4, 2026 / 11:33 pm

      ROFL

  6. Retired Spook's avatar Retired Spook September 5, 2026 / 11:09 am

    It’s often been said that Liberalism is a mental disorder. Now there’s proof.

    • Cluster's avatar Cluster September 5, 2026 / 11:20 am

      In a culture that celebrates abortion, infanticide is the next logical step. Just as the right to gay marriage has morphed into drag queen strip shows for children.

      The slippery slope is slippery.

  7. Retired Spook's avatar Retired Spook September 6, 2026 / 12:42 pm

    “It’s not socialism. It’s democratic socialism.”
    “What’s the difference?”
    “Better branding.”

    “Democratic socialism: because ‘socialism’ kept failing the focus groups.”

    “Apparently socialism’s biggest historical problem was insufficient adjectives.

    Hence, the name change”

    • Mark Noonan's avatar Mark Noonan September 6, 2026 / 4:01 pm

      Yep – it is all based on the false premise that if you can just create the correct system, you’ll create heaven on Earth…perfect people doing exactly what they should.

  8. Retired Spook's avatar Retired Spook September 6, 2026 / 12:47 pm

    Compliments of Robert Malone.

    What is Labor Day?

    Labor Day began in the late nineteenth century as a recognition of American workers at a time when industrial labor was often dangerous, poorly paid, and largely unprotected. Congress made it a federal holiday in 1894, following years of organizing and bitter labor disputes.

    Much has changed since then. Federal and state laws now establish protections involving workplace safety, wages and hours, discrimination, and child labor. Labor Unions have largely become outdated, and yet, they persist in strength and number.

    The unions, however, did not exactly declare victory and go home. Many of today’s large unions increasingly resemble political NGOs, complete with permanent bureaucracies, lobbying operations, enormous political war chests, and agendas that sometimes seem rather far removed from the guy fixing a power line or pouring concrete.

    That does not make Labor Day obsolete. If anything, it provides a reason to reclaim it. Labor Day should be about the dignity of productive work and the Americans who build things, grow food, care for others, run businesses, fix things, and keep the country functioning, rather than the institutions that have appointed themselves to speak for them.

    What Americans have historically been good at is hard work, innovation, and problem-solving.

    So, Happy Labor Day to the people who actually labor.

  9. Retired Spook's avatar Retired Spook September 7, 2026 / 10:14 am

    From Jeff Childers this morning:

    Last week, the Wall Street Journal’s Editorial Board —after first apologizing for presenting good news— published an encouraging op-ed headlined, The Food Stamp Reform Is Working. The piece began, “Sorry to be the bearer of good news in these ill-tempered times, but fewer Americans are using food stamps.”

    According to new USDA data, food-stamp enrollment crashed from 42.3 million to 36.6 million in the 12 months between May 2025 and May 2026. Nearly half of states saw enrollment declines of more than 10%, including Florida (-22%) and Arizona (-54%). “Republicans,” the Editors snarkily noted, “have ended the literal free lunch for able-bodied beneficiaries and states.”

    Catching SNAP scammers one by one is important. It provides helpful deterrence and adds a much-needed “FO” to the educational acronyms of food-stamp fraudsters. For instance, earlier this year the Massachusetts DOJ office reported snagging an entrepreneurial swindler who billed SNAP up to $500,000 a month from his supermarket empire in Boston. How altruistic.

    Showing levels of diligence ordinarily seen in month-old white bread, our alert public servants failed to notice that the ‘empire of fraud’ operated from a single 150-square-foot store named “Jesula Variety Store.” Apparently, the ‘variety’ was his keen marketing techniques that netted a cool half million in food stamp redemptions monthly, whereas full-service mega-supermarkets only scraped up around $82,000 a month on average.

    Just saying, but the Jesula Variety Store was slightly short of being a full-service supermarket. 150 square feet is about the size of a below-average room in an Eastern European hostel with no closet and where the ironing board drops out of the wall over the bed.

    Not only that! But the auditors also missed the small but critical fact that the empire-building owner, Antonio Bonheur, was himself on food stamps. That is heartwarming. Americans are a loving people who want every immigrant to experience the same opportunity for self-improvement and free liquor that we all enjoy. “Bonheur maintained numerous secondary bank accounts through which SNAP proceeds were transferred,” the DOJ’s statement explained, “withdrawn as cash and redeposited to create the appearance of legitimate business activity while obscuring the true source of funds.”

    He pleaded guilty in late March— carving another notch into the DOJ’s convictions belt. But let’s be honest. While always entertaining, pinching fraudsters individually after, like Mr. Bonheur, they have milked taxpayers for over $7 million, is a painfully slow way to fix the broken welfare system. Fortunately, Republicans in Congress took action last year.

    🔥 The Journal explained that the GOP’s 2025 budget did two pivotal things. First, it increased SNAP’s monthly work requirements and closed a “work requirement waiver” loophole. Second, it started charging states a higher share if their “error rates” were above the pre-pandemic average. Nothing shrinks a state bureaucracy’s enthusiasm for “equity” and careless generosity like learning that, starting soon, “federal money” will include some of its money.

    As a result, food-stamp enrollment has fallen by -5.7 million in one year —20% below forecast— proving that government programs can shrink without first being struck by a giant asteroid. The Trump 2.0 reforms worked before Democrats had finished explaining why they could not possibly work.

    For decades, Washington’s anti-fraud strategy has consisted of sternly announcing that fraud would not be tolerated and then tolerating it at scale. It’s all about a radical conservative concept largely unknown to progressive economists called incentives.

    The DOJ’s Fraud Task Force is reducing fraudsters’ incentives for doing the fraud. The much maligned GOP Congress is reducing the states’ incentives for tolerating the fraud. Win-win.

    Hopefully the GOP will use some of its campaign war chest to make honest American voters aware of things like this.

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