Open Thread

There was a reason the British formed a Protectorate over what we call the United Arab Emirates. Same reason they grabbed Gibraltar and Malta. Singapore, too. Not to be overlords. It was just to have control over vital trade routes. Strategic points on the globe which the safety of Britain’s trade required. Because that was what the British Empire was actually about: trade. To be sure, the British eventually lost the plot. Pitt the Elder and Younger envisioned a commercial Empire where Britain ruled the waves and thus controlled global trade…this to both make Britain rich and to ensure Britain’s independence (an island nation controlling the seas is safe). As time went on a lot of factors combined to get the British into the game of massive land holdings until they ruled a quarter of the world’s land area…that was the real death knell of the British Empire because Britain was simply too small to both rule the waves and the land (they’d have needed a population many times larger than they had).

Basically, the UK got infected by Liberalism – the economic Liberalism which held that trade should be 100% “free” and the social Liberalism which held that you had to both extend the franchise and save people from themselves. A program of controlling global trade became Britain paying a premium to keep global trade free for economic and political rivals. The extension of the franchise brought into British politics people far more interested in getting welfare than defending Britain’s far-flung territories…while “saving” the people under their rule worked out to half-educating a bunch of rebels who undermined British rule. And we can see the end result – the half-educated rebels are now overrunning Britain while the welfare bums are only angry about the former colonial subjects dipping their fingers into the welfare pot. All around, a bad move – but the basic idea was correct. Had it been followed, Britain would to this day be a major player in the world. That, I think, is what Trump is basically after – control of global trade. A commercial empire designed to enrich us and ensure nobody can effectively attack the United States.

This is why we pressured Panama to get the ChiComs out of our Canal. Why we’ve entered into agreements with both Singapore and Malaya to control passage through the Straits of Malacca. Why we’re working with Morocco to essentially make our on Gibraltar in the Western Med. We’re essentially taking over the global movement of oil and natural gas. We’re building up our Navy and working on the means of reviving the American merchant marine. We don’t want anything but the trade – the ability to trade anywhere we want while being able with the snap of our fingers to bar a rival from the global trading system (China’s revived silk road through Asia will never do the trick – you just can’t beat moving goods by sea in terms of speed and cost per ton-mile). Iran is getting hit like it is because it was simply in the way of a larger plan – they don’t fully realize how unimportant they actually are. Neither does the rest of the world…because the rest of the world has been used to the USA standing in for Britain – keeping the sea lanes open for everyone else.

We will keep them open. As long as you cooperate. It is a very new day in global affairs.

How is Trump feeling about the midterms?

Could it be bluster? Well, everything about the future has some bluster attached to it – because we don’t know what will happen. But I’ve never been less worried about the outcome of an election. Partially this is just me getting old – the closer you get to the end the less you worry about how things are going here on Earth. Got bigger fish to fry, long term. But most of it is that the only metric looking good for Democrats is polling – and even in that, there are a few polls out there given zero play in the MSM/Social Media which show the GOP poised to do well. We will see how it comes out. High gas prices are a persistent negative…but employment is up, wages are up, crime is down, deportations are proceeding quickly…we’re doing well. And I doubt the people are ready to toss that all aside because some upper class white women still haven’t got over 2016.

Jaguar is set to lay off thousands while Nike is being delisted from the S&P 100…both companies went completely woke. You might recall the Nike ads showing morbidly obese people and that bizarre Jaguar ad of a bunch of useless freaks telling us to be different. That kind of nonsense. Jaguar cars have a market – upper class men who want to impress the kind of chicks who are impressed by a Jag. Nike has a market – gym bros. Making your main pitch to people who don’t use your product – and likely despise the people who do – turns out to not be a good idea. Who knew?

Been thinking we need to allow people to start taking their SS at 62 without any tax penalty. Right now, if you do that and keep working, they tax most of it away. But, thing is, any person at 62 can start collecting SS – and if they do, the monthly payment never rises. That’s fine – but I don’t think we should penalize the 62 year old if he or she is willing to keep working.

This has nothing to do with the fact that I’ll soon be 62.*

*I might be fibbing here.

Open Thread

The Republican Midterm Convention happens September 9th and 10th – never been done before. People thought it was a bad idea – partially just on the fact that Trump wanted to do it, partially on the theory that the incumbent party never wants to nationalize the midterms. That is, make them a referendum on the person elected two years previously. To date, that conventional wisdom probably had some merit in it…but I don’t think it does now.

As I’ve been saying, I’ve been rewatching the election night coverage from 2016 and 2024 and I’ve noticed that both in 2016 and 2024, Team Trump put the word out, fairly early, that it was over and their man had won. 2016 was really remarkable because it was Kelly Anne Conway putting out the word at about 9:30 pm Eastern that it was all over but the shouting…while most of the MSM still clung to a Hillary victory for at least 90 minutes after that (and some until close to midnight, Eastern). That was a bold statement for Conway to make – unless she knew. And it looks like she did. Similarly, Team Trump was feeding Sean Hannity the straight scoop in 2024 and he estimated while still very early (I think around 8:30 or so Eastern) that it was all over. This goes along with something I’ve known for a while – most campaigns know how its going, and sometimes a while before show time.

I got this first by watching an interview with Jimmy Carter’s campaign manager some time in maybe the late 1990’s (though it might have been early 00’s) where he told the story of how he informed Carter a week before the election that it was over. He had crunched all the numbers – real numbers, that people paid money for – and there just wasn’t any way Jimmy was getting another term. This is why Carter was so quick to concede on election night – there simply wasn’t any point in dragging the matter out. As one TV show put it very succinctly once, “if you’ve got to eat a sh*t sandwich, do it all at once: bite, chew, swallow”. The only reason Mondale held out until a little later in 1984 is that the networks had decreed they wouldn’t officially call an election until after the polls closed in California. Point blank: Mondale knew he wasn’t going to win. In his case, he probably knew all along he had no chance. Since then, the Democrats who lose just never want to eat that sandwich. This is why Gore reneged on his concession (he knew he had lost Florida all along). Why they always put it off to morning or some drivel. The networks now don’t wait for California to close: they wait for the Democrat campaign to give permission to call it. What I’m saying is that in both 2016 and 2024, the elections should have been called by, latest, 11 pm Eastern.

And, so, Trump is making this a national election. Deliberately putting himself out there as the central motivator for the vote. Knowing that this will fire up Democrats. But it also fired up Democrats in 2024. Didn’t matter. There was no time in 2024 that Trump wasn’t going to win. Harris’ own pollster admitted it after it was all over: she never had a lead. The polls aren’t mistaken: they’re lies. But the campaigns commission real polls which tell them where to go and where to spend money. They don’t let those polls go public; don’t want to give away info to the other side. I think Trump already knows how it is going to go.

Of course I could be wrong – but a lot of people in this world have ended up looking like total idiots by figuring Trump has it wrong.

If you subtract the oil Iran used to export through the strait then what you get is oil transiting is now back to pre-war levels. We’re not letting Iran export. Iran’s tankers are now in hiding off Sri Lanka and I hope we take them as Prizes. Bottom line, it just gets worse and worse for Iran. Don’t know how long they’ll hold out. Don’t care, either. If we need to blow them up some more, we will. But the days of the Mullah regime throwing weight around are over.

Gloria Steinem died. We do pray for the repose of her soul but she was an absolutely hideous, anti-human person. Pure poison to every decent impulse humans have. The world would have been much better off if she had never lived.

There’s been a 206% increase in arrests of repeat offenders in New York City. Because they keep releasing them. Just more anti-human Leftist policy. The Left says we have to go soft on black crime because racism caused it. This is stupid, but for the sake of argument, let us say it is so: by the time a man is on his sixth of seventh felony arrest the problem isn’t the racism, it is that the man has utterly failed in the “being a member of society” effort. There are black people – presumably just as much victims of racism as any black person – who go their whole lives without an arrest. Let alone multiple. You might be able to argue in favor of a Mulligan. Maybe even two. But after a while there’s just nothing left to do.

Open Thread

Texas, Ohio and Florida Republicans – and perhaps some other Red States – are planning on mid-decade redistricting. This has caused our Democrats to shriek about how we’re destroying Democracy. Yeah, whatever. This is actually just retaliation: the Democrats have mercilessly gerrymandered their deep Blue States so that the GOP is only getting a fraction of the seats their total House vote merits…now that is being turned about, and that is fair play. The real reason the Democrats are shrieking is because if this goes forward it will make it nearly impossible for the Democrats to win the House in 2026.

In 2024, the GOP won the House vote 50 to 47 percent but ended up losing 2 seats. That is how powerful the Democrat gerrymander has been. Back in 2016 we got 48 percent to the Democrats 47 and won 241 seats…a 23 seat majority. Had the Democrats not done their gerrymanders we probably would be sitting on 250+ seats right now. If all goes well, the net gain for the GOP in 2026 will be in the neighborhood of 12 to 15 seats, thus putting us in line with our actual vote share. And that means that the last two years of Trump will be even more productive than the first two years (it is almost certain the GOP will retain the Senate in 2026 – absent a political meltdown, it stays GOP. Bottom line, the only Senate seat that is a possible flip to the Dems is North Carolina while the GOP has prospects in New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan and Georgia).

Democrats have decided that their next target in the Culture War is Sidney Sweeny. Honestly, I don’t know much about her – can’t say that I’ve ever even seen a show she’s been in. But she’s young, blonde and very pretty and she’s doing blue jeans ads…you know, a pretty girl rather than some overweight, blue haired weirdo. It has driven the Democrats nuts – they are saying it is a Nazi dog whistle to be a pretty blonde. I don’t know where they hope to go with this but if their goal is to win back young men (latest polling shows them swinging by more than 40 points to the GOP in the past couple years), then I don’t think attacking the hot blonde is the way to do it.

Some of the documents we’re seeing in the Trump-Russia case indicate the conspiracy continued right on through the Biden years…which means the statute of limitations is ongoing. That’s the thing about a conspiracy – the statute of limitations only kicks in when it ends. If the players were still doing it until 2024 (and it looks like they were) then everyone involved in the conspiracy from Day One (even if that day is more than seven years ago) is still on the hook…and the raid on Mar a Lago means it can be tried in Florida (Trump +13).

Sam Brown ran for Senate out here in Nevada last year and ended up losing by merely 24,000 votes out of 1.3+ million cast…which was a disappointment especially given how tardy the GOP was in giving him financial support (the Democrat incumbent had months to nuke Brown from orbit via TV ads…and she still barely pulled it off). But, he’s now been Senate confirmed to a VA position and among those congratulating him is the Cherokee Nation…which Brown is a member of. Didn’t know that. He didn’t play it up in his campaign ads like a Democrat would…but that’s because Brown wasn’t trying to get elected to check a box but to serve Nevada. Now he gets to serve America – again, as he was quite horrifically wounded in combat serving us before.

UPDATE: I know, poor taste – but LOL!

Open Thread

Polls is polls, of course; always grain of salt them. But this does reflect the reality of voter registration trends, which have almost all favored the GOP for years now. A few hiccups here and there but for the most part State after State – especially Battlegrounds and the light Blue States – are showing GOP voter registration increases. And even deep Blue like California are showing a GOP trend, though Democrat strength there is so dominant it’ll be years before it matters.

The Official Narrative remains that the GOP will certainly lose the House in 2026. Likely hold the Senate; though we’re already getting the “is Red State X about to turn Blue?” that we get all the time with some new Democrat hope being polished up for the MSM…and about to rake in untold millions for what will prove another futile campaign (though I wonder: with the cutoff of money to NGOs, maybe there won’t be $70 million for a useless Democrat Senate race in Texas next year? We’ll see; these things are done to get the GOP to spend money in Red States and thus have less resources for prospects…and you’ll note that the GOP still hasn’t figured out that its time to find some Great GOP Hope for deep Blue states, finance them out the wazoo and force Democrats to spend money). But the House is considered a goner for the GOP. And, normally, this would be so – the GOP majority is razor thin and just the normal mid-term snap back would propel Democrats to a majority. But voter registration trends and things like this recent poll are putting a fly in that ointment.

The Democrats are staking out the 20 in the 80/20 issues. They are doing this because they are convinced that they are on the popular side. They honestly believe – because they tell themselves endlessly – that the American people don’t want mass deportations, want boys in girls sports and are furious that we’re no longer providing funding for NGO’s. They believe that the federal judges issuing ridiculous rulings against Trump are in line with the people’s will. That rioting against ICE is the spontaneous expression of the people.

Could it be like this? I guess anything is possible. But my sense of the matter is that the Democrats are being simply insane and the American people perceive this. Given this, even if things aren’t perfect in 2026 and even if there are some serious complaints about Trump or GOP policies, they’re going to stick with Trump and the GOP. That the 2026 midterms will be akin to the 1934 midterms…in that election, the first for FDR, there should have been a snap back in favor of the GOP. There wasn’t because the GOP spent two years reminding everyone why they hated them.

The View announced they are going on hiatus. Can’t emphasize enough how important this is. It is part of the Democrat information ecosystem…even though they don’t have massive viewership, they reinforce the Democrat Narrative. Much like Colbert does with his show. Without this continual reinforcement of Democrat bigotry it will become increasingly difficult to sustain it. Can’t forget how propaganda works: it isn’t just the lie, it is the endlessly and universally repeated lie. A lie so pervasive that even skeptical people start to think there’s something to it…after all, it was on the daytime talk show, the evening news and the late night show! How can it not be true? They wouldn’t all lie…would they? Make no mistake about it, the people who run the MSM are still almost all Democrats…but they also are getting pounded in ratings as more and more people switch off while lying is becoming costly…Trump’s Presidential library will be gold plated if things keep going as they are! At the end of the day, the purpose is to make money – and shows like Colbert’s and The View aren’t money makers – or if they do squeeze out a profit, it isn’t worth the risk that a host of the show will go off on some anti-Trump rant, lie and cost the company 20 million dollars.

Lindsey Graham is asking that a Special Counsel be appointed to look into the Trump-Russia scandal – and that’s gonna be a hard No from all sensible people. This is a last, desperate attempt to cover up what Obama, et al did. To bury it under an investigation that will take at least two years…plenty for time to sandbag the whole thing and come out at the end with some lying report saying that while there were improprieties, no laws were broken. Laws were obviously broken: the only question here is can we sufficiently prove who broke them to get indictments and convictions? Indicting Obama is pretty much pie in the sky – one in a million shot – but the last thing we want is someone who starts out not wanting to indict. We want Bondi – someone who wants to indict because that’s what the records indicate should happen. The high hurdle here is the protections Presidents have in carrying out the duties of their office…this doesn’t protect actual criminal behavior, but it makes for murky legal ground that defense attorneys and judges will be happy to latch on to in order to protect Obama and their class. What I’m saying here is that we need to find out if there is such indisputable evidence that we really can indict…a special counsel will not get us there. Ever. And even if we can’t get Obama, there are probably a couple hundred people we can get…and we need an investigation which will make people want to turn State’s evidence, not work out a statement that obscures things in exchange for immunity.

The latest social media sensation is the Door Kick Challenge: it involves youngsters going up to random doors and kicking them very hard. Police are urging parents to talk to their kids and let them know this is foolish and dangerous. Most people are treating it as described – just a youthful (if rather dumb) lark. It ain’t that, guys.

It is gang recruitment.

It’s a test: will you do as you’re told? Will you, quite especially, do as you’re told when it is wrong and dangerous? The gangs are finding out who in the neighborhood will do something violently stupid. This is the perfect ground to develop young gang members you can use for hits and intimidation.

And right now the gangs need new blood – they are losing quite a lot of their foot soldiers via deportations. Enforcement via people brought in illegally is going to become increasingly difficult – but the gangs still need their enforcers to make sure the money keeps coming in. What better than to have a 16 year old true blue American citizen do it? Can’t be deported. If arrested, tried as a juvenile in most jurisdictions. At all events, totally expendable. You get that young man a nice car and some cool clothes for doing it, he’ll do any thing you ask him to. I do believe the gangs are going to hit back, hard. There are billions of dollars at stake here. They need an army to intimidate us into giving up the fight. This is the recruitment of that army. They essentially did this in all the Latin American countries they dominate…for relative peanuts, get a mass of ignorant but strong youth to do your bidding no matter how horrific it is…but you never start with having them chop someone to pieces. It is always the smaller, easier step that comes first…as part of the winnowing process to find the hard core.