Author: Mark Noonan
Vote Republican, For the Very First Time
How to scare the bejabbers out of Democrats…
Daily Election Open Thread
Will Obama face the press after Tuesday?
On the Rally to Restore Fatwas…
Kerry figures we’re insane ’cause we’re voting TEA Party. That’s ok – Kerry’s an a**, so what he says is entirely unimportant.
Yest, we can, but…
The Republican Wave in State Legislatures
From NRO’s The Corner:
…Republicans will make significant gains in state legislatures on November 2nd, according to our election projections.
The Republican Party is poised to gain control of up to 18 state legislative chambers on election night. Going into the elections,Democrats control 28 state senates while Republicans control 20…
The crucial aspect of this is the re-districting which will follow upon the 2010 census. If these projections hold true (and I strongly suspect they will – if not being even more of a crushing loss to the Democrats) then the Republican party will be in charge of drawing most of the legislative districts for the next 10 years. The last time we re-districted, the Democrats had had a pretty good year in 2000; the time before that (1990), the Democrats were in pretty solid control of the process. This will be the first time in a very long time where the Republican party will have such a large advantage in this process.
What is means is that a large number of districts which have been drawn to help Democrats will now be re-drawn – and that means the Democrats will have a much harder time recapturing what they are about to lose. We Republicans should take the very high road on this and draw the districts as fairly as possible – but given the realities of politics and human nature, there will probably be a scramble to pay Democrats back in their own Gerrymandering coin. But the effort should be made to reform the process with fairness in mind – this doesn’t worry me because I believe in fair contests, we’ll continue to do well.
Be that as it may, the Democrats look to be in quite a lot of trouble not just now, but for at least the next ten years. If the Republican party can deliver on the demands of the people, then we might (at very long last) genuinely get that re-alignment we’ve been working and hoping for since 1980.
Catholics Go Republican
From Life News:
A prominent dissident Catholic priest has launched an assault against Catholic bishops are who are saying pro-life issues are the most important in the upcoming election.
But new polling data of Catholics makes it appear they’re not listening to him, as a New York Times/CBS poll shows a shocking 34 point swing of Catholic voters switching from pro-abortion Barack Obama to pro-life Republican candidates…
The priest in question is Father Curran – one of those sad specimens who figures that the Church has to get with it and be ok with married priests, divorce, birth control and homosexuality and, most alarming, that we shouldn’t fret too much about that silly, old abortion issue and concentrate on getting socialized medicine as that is more important than the lives of the unborn. It is people like Curran who have provided a bit of cover for those allegedly Catholic politicians who vote in favor of abortion, as well as those lay Catholics who wish to ignore crucial moral teachings in favor of backing Democrats.
The very harsh truth is that no Catholic can in good conscience vote for a Democrat right now. Even voting for a pro-life Democrat merely adds power to the pro-abortion Democrats who will then advance the Culture of Death in our country. Until the Democrat party gives up its support for a federally funded right to abortion, they are simply outside the realm of possibility for a Catholic voter. This huge swing to the GOP may well be, finally!, the realization of Catholics that this is the case.
Don’t get me wrong here – in a lot of ways, Catholics can be very liberal and still be good Catholics. There is nothing immoral in advocating for high taxes and big government spending on social issues. There is nothing immoral in being opposed to large defense budgets. There is nothing immoral in being opposed to the death penalty (as I am). There is nothing immoral in being in favor of comprehensive immigration reform. But the most crucial issue of our times – an issue which simply outweighs all others as a lead brick outweighs a feather – is the issue of life. If we do not have a right to life, then we have no rights, at all…and, furthermore, an adherence to a Culture of Death which advances abortion means the nation is on the path to utter destruction, moral and physical.
This doesn’t mean there are no other important issues – nor that there aren’t issues which, at the moment, preempt others. Right now, for instance, we must concentrate on getting our financial house in order lest the whole nation fall apart via bankruptcy. But the issue of the day is abortion – and until elective abortion is banned in the United States, it will remain the issue. To be a good nation – to be a nation in accordance with our Declaration of Independence – we must be a pro-life nation.
People like Curran will continue to try and muddy the waters – sad, twilight creatures who seem to think that a bit of fame in the dying MSM is more important than their immortal souls. But the indicators are that fewer and fewer people are listening to them – and that America’s moral health is reviving.
Valour IT
Saw this over at IMAO and it certainly seems worthy of support:
Project Valour-IT, in memory of SFC William V. Ziegenfuss, helps provide voice-controlled/adaptive laptop computers and other technology to support Soldiers, Sailors, Airmen and Marines recovering from hand wounds and other severe injuries. Technology supplied includes:
# Voice-controlled Laptops – Operated by speaking into a microphone or using other adaptive technologies, they allow the wounded to maintain connections with the rest of the world during recovery.
# Wii Video Game Systems – Whole-body game systems increase motivation and speed recovery when used under the guidance of physical therapists in therapy sessions (donated only to medical facilities).
# Personal GPS – Handheld GPS devices build self-confidence and independence by compensating for short-term memory loss and organizational challenges related to severe TBI and severe PTSD.
Times are rough, but if you can give a bit, it’ll help in a good cause. This website has all the details, and how you can donate.
Swing Voters Going GOP
From the Wall Street Journal:
The Democrats’ final push to woo undecided voters appears to have fizzled, potentially putting dozens of competitive House races beyond reach and undermining the party’s chances in at least four toss-up Senate seats, according to party strategists and officials.
Independents, a crucial swing bloc, seem to be breaking sharply for Republicans in the final days of the campaign.
One nonpartisan prognosticator, Stuart Rothenberg, said Friday he thought the Republicans could pick up as many as 70 House seats—something no party has achieved since 1948. The Republicans need 39 seats to take the majority. Fading Democratic support among independents is also keeping alive the GOP’s longer-shot hopes of taking the Senate…
That is the crucial thing – if enough Independents swing GOP, then the Senate comes in reach. Will it happen? There is no way to tell – the betting would have to be on the Democrats holding the Senate, but I wouldn’t bet much on that.
Daily Election Open Thread
Well, it seems that there is on group of people completely pleased with our Democrats: fat cats.
The race for governor of Massachusetts is a dead heat. You wonder if this will be a year when Taxachusetts goes “red”?
Real Clear Politics projecting at least 222 GOP House seats, total gain could be as high as 63. We’ll see what the Monday polls say, but there have already been a large number of votes cast…pretty much, whatever is going to happen might already be irreversible.
Big question: will the wave be high enough to life the GOP to 10 Senate victories? That, I think, no one can really say one way or the other…
Debunking Conservative Lies?
And not just “lies” but “nasty conservative lies”, in to the bargain. The list, compiled by Dave Johnson runs to 8 items which must, apparently, be set straight in order to save the Democrats by November 2nd. Here with the lies:
1. President Obama tripled the deficit.
Johnson notes that President Obama became President on January 20th, 2009 and that this was, gasp!, after the 2009 fiscal year had started. Presidents, you see, are not to be held accountable for things they were not 100% in on from the get-go. And so, Obama gets a pass until the start of fiscal year 2010 on October 1st, 2009. This would be a credible assertion if, on the other hand, the left didn’t loudly charged President Bush with both the 2001 economic downturn and the 9/11 attacks, both of which occurred prior to the magical date of October 1st, 2001, when Bush became responsible for all and sundry.
It is true that Obama is not entirely responsible for the fiscal year 2009 deficit – but he is 100% responsible for the 2010 deficit (nearly as large) and the upcoming 2011 deficit (which looks to be larger than 2010). While we may, in kindness, give Obama a pass for 2009 (though he did his fair share of piling up new spending before the year was out), the fact that he has made no effective moves to return the deficit to 2008 or lower levels places a great deal of responsibility on Obama for tripling the deficit.
UPDATE, by Matt Margolis: I’d like to add something about Johnson’s claim that Obama cannot take blame for anything in FY2009… What cannot be ignored in this assessment are the bailouts and stimulus bills passed in 2009 by the Democratic Congress and signed by Obama. Johnson would have a hard time blaming Bush for that.
2. President Obama raised taxes, which hurt the economy.
This would be a nasty lie needing of debunking if anyone had actually made the charge. We don’t charge Obama with raising taxes but with failure to act on retaining the current tax rates. Because Obama offered no leadership on this issue, it may be that he presides over the largest tax increase in American history come January 1st.
3. President Obama bailed out the banks.
Johnson notes that the TARP law was passed under the Bush Administration. He fails to note that it was a Democrat-controlled Congress which voted for it and it was almost entirely administered on Obama’s watch…and there are many accusations of mismanagement. The more important thing here is that the financial system has failed, and all Obama and Co can think to do is throw a bit more money at it, while making some quite pointless changes in banking regulation which will in no way limit the banks’ ability to screw up the economy one more time. The people are of the opinion that “too big to fail” is wrong – Obama doesn’t agree, and thus he’s failing the people on this issue.
4. The stimulus didn’t work.
Basing himself upon CBO guesstimates, Johnson asserts that the stimulus “raised employment by between 1.4 million and 3.3 million jobs”. Using the phrase “raised employment” is a clever way to dodge around such absurdities as “saved or created”. The fact is that there are, quite simply, fewer people working in the United States here in October of 2010 than there were in January of 2009. If government stimulus worked, then we would have at least as many working today as we had then. Period. End of story.
5. Businesses will hire if they get tax cuts.
This is to skewer another thing conservatives aren’t saying. Its not a cause/effect relationship in that if a business gets a tax cut it immediately puts out a “help wanted” ad. Its a matter of that by freeing up funds for private investment, businesses will see opportunities to expand and consumers will have more disposable income to spend. The hiring would come very quickly upon reduced taxes, but not the day after they are enacted. What is most crushing on business right now, at any rate, isn’t so much the tax rate but the gigantic level of uncertainty – they don’t know what taxes and regulations Obama will lay on them, so they are cautiously holding on to whatever they’ve got in order to weather the storm.
6. Health care reform costs $1 trillion.
Actually, it costs quite a lot more than that, though Johnson is holding to the ObamaCare spin used to force passage that it will reduce the deficit by $138 billion. This is a fabrication which even the Democrats have dropped – a set of accounting gimmicks (most notably front-loading the taxes and back-loading the expenditures) was used to get CBO scoring showing a net-reduction of spending. Real scoring putting together 10 years of spending with ten years of taxes shows a net increased deficit of $1 trillion; and that is if everything works as well as designed, which it won’t because it is run by the same sorts of incompetents who give us the Department of Motor Vehicles.
7. Social Security is a Ponzi scheme, is “going broke,” people live longer, fewer workers per retiree, etc.
Johnson actually has the nerve to state that there are trillions of dollars in the “trust fund”; forgetting to mention that the trust fund only contains IOU’s from the federal government. In other words, once SS goes negative (which it did this year), then we’ll have to start taking money out of general fund revenue to cover the shortfall. This state of affairs – spending more money than you take in – is called being “broke”. And it was caused by the fact that people are living longer while having fewer babies and this means, surprise!, there are fewer people to pay in to the system. In other words, it works just like a Ponzi scheme (a scheme in which the first people “in” get big payouts by those brought in later, but eventually you run out of enough new people to give the sort of return you gave to the earlier groups of people).
8. Government spending takes money out of the economy.
Which is not what we say – we say, “government spending takes money out of the private economy”. Its not that the money doesn’t get spent, but that it is money which cannot now be spent by the private economy, which is vastly more efficient at spending money than government, which has no mechanism to ensure good performance other than the easily distracted oversight of President and Congress. Johnson brings out the old, liberal canard that we on the right don’t seem to understand that roads and bridges get built by government spending and that this helps the private economy. And this is true – but it ignores the fact that of the more than $3 trillion we’re going to spend this next year, only a tiny percentage will go to things as useful as roads and bridges (and this is especially true when even some of the roads and bridges are not particularly needed…we’ve got a super-highway between Harry Reid’s house in Searchlight and Laughlin, Nevada. It makes for a quick trip, but one cannot think of any particular need for that much road in that empty area).
If these are the lies – and nasty lies – which, debunked, will save the Democrats, then they really are doomed. They are mostly, of course, just liberal talking points about conservatives – and are, themselves, lies, half truths or just plain stupid. The problem of the United States, here in 2010, is that we’re flat broke. We’re really in the soup – and we need to get our spending under control. If we don’t fix that, then we’re going to have an economic collapse which will make the Great Depression seem like a picnic. Lots of issues are agitating the public, but they all revolve around this (very correct) conviction that if we don’t reign in government, we’re in for a world of hurt. Obama and his Democrats actually want to pile on even more spending and government than they have so far – and thus the impending blow out on November 2nd.
Cross Posted at Noonan for Nevada
Whitman Making a Comeback in California?
From Rasmussen:
With only a few days until Election Day, Democrat Jerry Brown holds a slightly smaller lead over Republican Meg Whitman in California’s gubernatorial race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Brown picking up 49% support, while Whitman draws the vote from 45%…
Last week Rasmussen had Brown up by 6, so this is a significant improvement for Whitman. It remains to be seen if a big GOP turnout will help her overcome Brown in a very blue State. She certainly should win – no matter how you slice it, Brown would be an utter disaster for the State of California. He simply will not be permitted by his puppet-masters in the public employee unions to make any of the cuts necessary to stave off bankruptcy…at most, he might be able to paper over the fiscal cracks for 6 months – and that would end up making the eventual crash even worse than its going to be.
If Californians have any sense left, at all, they’ll elect Whitman – not because she necessarily a sure-fire genius who will fix all of California’s problems in a flash, but because she will be able to take on the public sector unions who are leading California to disaster.
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