Trump is Rolling

Mark Noonan17 Comments

Trump went to New York for a rally and a lot of people are puzzled by that – with the puzzlement ranging from “he’s an idiot wasting time” to “he’s gonna flip New York!”. Neither are correct but that we’re getting that wide a variance indicates that one of the main things about the 2024 cycle is the lack of thought people are putting into it.

As I’ve been saying for years, Trump reads from a script. It seems spontaneous – and he has the talent to insert genuine spontaneity to his public appearances – but it is all very carefully planned. Guys who earn billions of dollars off of real estate don’t do things on the fly. They can’t. There’s too many moving parts and too many things that can go wrong. So, you plan. Here in 2024, Trump is working from a plan. This plan appears to have been thought out within weeks of the Presidency being declared for Biden. I doubt there was a moment’s doubt in Trump’s mind that he was going to try again (though I suspect that Melania was a voice against it; not that she’s not supportive, but I get the sense that she thinks it a burden…though I’ve detected a switch to steely determination since the assassination attempts). The first step in this plan was to keep “Stop the Steal” alive.

This was nearly universally derided by everyone outside Trump’s orbit (and I’ll bet dollars to donuts plenty of people inside it urged against it). Even I thought for a short while he should drop it…but he kept it up. A rolling, steady drumbeat about the questionable actions. And that formed the basis for his 2024 primary campaign – which he was supposed to lose as a GOP electorate, tired of Trump’s “tirades” about 2020 switched over to a new standard bearer. But a funny thing happened – it worked. Mostly because the Democrats walked right into it…opting for lawfare which merely solidified in the GOP base’s mind that the steal was real (not that we needed much urging – we could see it). The fatal moment for those who wanted to replace Trump atop the ticket, turns out, was their failure to condemn in no uncertain terms the 2020 result. That became the litmus test – the only thing which could tell a GOP base voter that a candidate was reliable. We all knew there was fraud. It was obvious…to not condemn it and seek to alter the system bespoke a desire to please the Establishment rather than us…and so Trump cruised to a win in the primaries.

You have to sort of review all that in your mind – the events from December 2020 to the time Trump was indicted. Once you look at it in hindsight, you can see the plan. “Stop the steal” rhetoric kept the base on Trump’s side…and positively goaded the Democrats into ever more extreme actions. They knew they had used fraud to get Biden in…but what stuck in their craw was Trump not politely rolling over on it. Nothing angers a liar than being called out on it. You can just see it got under their skin…probably most of all under Biden’s. Of course, the ever more extreme actions just solidified Trump’s position in the GOP…while the totally absurd nature of the lawfare started to generate some sympathy for Trump outside his base voters. I mean, seriously: dragging Trump into court in New York because a clearly insane woman wanted to use a law written just for her to sue Trump for assault was ridiculous…and outside far left partisans, everyone could see it was ridiculous. The rest of the cases were no less silly. And they all have worked out to Trump’s advantage.

I don’t know if Trump counted on wiping Biden out in a debate. But he sure leaped at the first opportunity, didn’t he? Everyone said it was a huge mistake – Trump was walking into a trap. But here’s what we can see in hindsight: for all of Biden’s manifest flaws, he does have working class appeal. Can’t deny it. He really did grow up poor. He can speak the language of the working class. He’s lying his a** off when he does it, but he can do it. Trump to win in 2024 needs blue collars…lots of them. The upper and middle class urban and suburban whites rejected him in 2016 and even more so in 2020. No doubt they will largely do so again in 2024. It became a crucial necessity to break Biden’s ability to pull in blue collar voters…and Trump knew that Biden was going gaga. All he had to do was get him on any stage, even in the most Biden-favorable circumstances, and Biden would be exposed as the senile, frail old man that he is. Presto! Done. Whether or not he thought they’d dump Biden for Harris or just put Harris front and center to keep Biden off stage would become a complete irrelevancy…only Biden can pull in the blue collars that Trump needs and if he’s off the ticket or off the stage, he can’t do it. He was able to do it with rare appearances in 2020 because he was still reasonably lucid and Covid gave the excuse for being rarely seen. But in 2024, it had to be Biden out there matching Trump appearance for appearance and the debate showed that Biden is done…and simply can’t do it. Meanwhile having Harris out there either in the top spot or as surrogate is a complete disaster for Democrat attempts to pull in working class votes…she’s just too clearly West Coast upper class Leftist…the very sort of person that the entire American working class has always despised.

So, for Trump, it doesn’t matter who the nominee is – as long as it wasn’t a reasonably lucid and energetic Biden. But Mark, you say, isn’t the polling going bad for Trump? Most of it is. But do remember that when they finally pushed Joe out and inserted Harris the Trump campaign said, directly, that the polling was now going to favor Harris. It had only gone against Joe – and only moderately in public polling – because the Democrats had decided Joe had to go and so needed public polling that pressured him to quit. Team Trump knew that the positive public polling for Trump was a chimera…a temporary glance at reality just to get a particular job done. That finished, the polling switched back to the norm: massively overstating Democrat strength. Someone earlier today posted a screen shot of the Quinninpiac Pennsylvania polling for 2020…it showed Biden leads from 7 to 14 points or so. He barely won the State. Now, this was a whole series of polls done over months and they never even got close to the final result…when you see that sort of miss that consistently in one direction, then that graduates your poll from “mistake” to “lie”. It wasn’t that Quinninpiac got its model a bit wrong or that they missed some detail…they were lying. Bald faced, ridiculous lies. They’re lying again here in 2024. All the pollsters who got big misses in favor of the Democrats (and that is most public polling) missed consistently in the Democrats favor in 2016 and 2020. Not mistakes. They are lies. Lies designed to depress GOP turnout and encourage Democrats to donate and vote.

So, how does this tie into Trump being in New York? Well, it can be one of three things:

  1. Just a huge, stupid mistake.
  2. A headfake to confuse and scare Democrats.
  3. Confidence in 270.

Although Trump is working from a plan, this doesn’t guarantee its a good plan. The most brilliant leader can simply screw up. It happens. We won’t know if Trump’s plan is a good one until 11/5. But that there is a plan can’t be doubted. So, it could be that stupid mistake. If so, we’ll find out for sure on Election Day. It could be a headfake…just a foray into the Blue stronghold to make Democrats look over their shoulder. But such a thing would be better done in Virginia or Minnesota where there is polling showing Trump at least close. So, absent it being a mistake or a headfake, it is confidence in 270. Personally, that is what I think it is.

That is, I believe that Team Trump is very confident that they’ve got more than 270 electoral votes sewn (though they will continue to campaign in the battlegrounds right up to the end) and now they’re making a play for something I think Trump wants very badly: an overall popular vote win. We all know it is irrelevant…but it is highly symbolic and it is something the Democrats have invested in as some sort of political holy grail. Trump can’t win New York – figuring he’s going to flip it is, sorry, just silly. There are simply too many Democrat voters in New York City for that to happen. But if Trump can increase his vote share there by 450,000 (and consequently drop Harris that much from Biden’s 2020 total) then its a huge boost in his chances to get to 50%+1 of the vote. He needs to flip the overall popular vote about 3.5 million his way out of what will probably be 157 million votes. Doable. Not easy. If you had to bet on it then don’t bet the rent. But it is doable. And if done, it takes away most of the arguments the Democrats have against Trump…and the last shred of Never Trump argument.

As I’ve always said, in politics look at what people are doing rather than what they’re saying. Harris is camping out in Pennsylvania. Trump is having a rally in New York. Trump is clearly far more confident than Harris. To be sure, Trump’s confidence can be misplaced. I am absolutely certain Trump will win. November 5th might merely prove me a fool. But I do believe I have facts to back up my case: voter registration numbers, early ballot requests, anecdotal evidence of Trump strength on the ground, etc. Any objective analyst of politics is going to say that if they had to choose who to be, they’d choose being Trump…he’s clearly got the inside track to win. But however you wish to slice that up, Trump is clearly confident of the outcome…and he’s going to follow his plan right to the end. With right now being the play for a popular vote win…which is just as downright ridiculous as the part of his plan that had him shouting from the rooftops in 2022 that the 2020 election was stolen. But, then again, how did the earlier part of the plan work?

I’ll finish up with this: I’m not asking for anyone to love Trump. You don’t have to wear a MAGA hat. But I am asking for all patriots to join in giving a gigantic middle finger to the mountain of lies which sustain Harris and the Ruling Class. Dooming does nothing for you. Having confidence will turn the campaign in to the funnest thing you’ve ever done. Lets get out there and save our country, friends. It is in our hands.

Update: I had talked bad polling for Trump in the post and then Emerson went and did this…with their thumb on the scale for her, this is the best they could do!

Slowly, and Then All at Once

Mark Noonan7 Comments

With the second attempted assassination of President Trump the Democrats – the overall Ruling Class – is completely taking the mask off. After the first attempt for at least a couple days they pretended to be upset about it but within an hour of the second attempt, the Democrats were out there blaming Trump for the whole situation. His “violent rhetoric”, you see, was responsible for this – not Democrats calling him Hitler II and saying he poses an existential threat to “Our Democracy”. Oh, no – that had nothing to do with it! It was all Trump…that whole thing about not wanting millions of foreigners flooding into the country! That’s what sparked the violence! Haven’t you seen all the MSM reports about threats against Haitians?

All of those threats, turns out, were bogus – and most of them originated from overseas. Kinda odd, don’t you think, that they had a ready-made excuse for shooting at Trump…almost like, I dunno, someone kinda knew there was a threat on the way.

At least in this case, we got the guy – and DeSantis has pledged an independent investigation by Florida law enforcement. He has to – and not just for his own political future…for his own life. If he does emerge as the front-runner in 2028 then this will happen to him, unless he can smoke out what happened.

As per usual, massive questions about this guy – sure, he’s a nutjob…but he’s a nutjob who illegally obtained a weapon. Don’t know about you, but I don’t even know the first step in obtaining an illegal weapon. I don’t know who to ask – or even how to ask. This guy had one. And he got within a few hundred yards of Trump with it…scope-sighted! Had Trump come into view, it would have been an easy shot. He’s also a nutjob who lives in Hawaii…not Florida. That’s not a cheap flight, even if you book it a bit in advance. From the looks of it, the guy doesn’t have a pot to piss in…but he got himself an expensive, illegal rifle with scope and got himself from Hawaii to Florida. Naturally, he was also on the FBI’s radar…he’s been convicted in the past (and so can’t legally purchase a weapon) and he was investigated in 2019 for attempting to obtain a firearm.

Make no mistake about it, the Democrats willed this into being just as they will the first attempt into being. They want Trump to die. They are willing to do anything to get rid of him. Their rhetoric is specifically designed to play upon the fears of lunatics so they will go and do something…while the Deep State gives them every opportunity to do it. And this time around they are keeping up the hate filled rhetoric. They are running out of time and can’t afford even a couple days of laying off…they need the next lunatic to act fast.

But this doesn’t end well – not for anyone. Civil Society is all nice and civil until its not. In Spain in the 1930’s there was first no violence, then a little violence…and then one side whacked the other side’s leadership…within months Spaniards were at each other’s throats and hundreds of thousands died in some of the most cruel and grisly ways. It is very much slowly and then all at once. The most peaceful, laid back people in the world will turn to violence very fast if they feel under threat…and because they are peaceful, when they turn to violence it becomes extreme violence. No quarter asked or given. The idiots in our overall Ruling Class simply don’t know what they’re playing with. They have to stop – but I don’t think they will.

Pray for Trump. Pray for victory. Pray for our poor country.

Open Thread

Mark Noonan12 Comments

An Atlas poll came out Saturday showing Trump at 51% and this means, of course, that ABC puts out a poll on Sunday showing Harris at 52%. Guys, you can’t get results like that via honesty. At least one of the pollsters is just flat out lying. It could be both of them, but one of them definitely is. Given that ABC is ABC, my assumption is that their poll is flaming garbage. But the real lesson here is to never put too much faith in polls – as we’ve seen and discussed for years, even those trying their best can get it wrong. What do we see rather than hear? That Harris is pretty much setting up camp in Pennsylvania. If she was up by six, she would be trying to expand the map, not trying to thread the needle to 270.

Now that we’re past the initial Cat Memes, the Left and Never Trump are saying we were wrong to bring it up – racists, too. Of course. But the crucial aspect of it was to bring to the public mind the real problem: that we’re taking in just tens of millions all at once and it is causing problems. Here’s the bottom line on it – if you are an immigration supporter and think we should make it as easy as possible for people to move here, you’d still be opposed to the sort of influx that Springfield, OH is enduring. It is just too much, too fast. But that the other side of this is not conceding this – and calling us racists for noticing – points to the real problem we have here: a significant portion of the power in the USA wants this to happen. That is, for a variety of reasons, they see mass migration to the USA as a good thing.

It is partially for money; a lot of people make a lot of money just bringing them in. In this, non-profits make, well, huge profits bringing them in. Billions in taxpayer dollars are passed out to non-profits based on the number of immigrants they handle and, guess what?, that means they work diligently to increase the numbers they handle. I’ve seen reports where some of these organizations have had their revenues increase by several orders of magnitude since 2020.

It is partially for exploitation: huge numbers of these people are ruthlessly exploited by corporations, sex traffickers and criminal cartels. They take these poor people and squeeze the blood out of them. Every year untold billions of dollars are remitted by immigrants to foreign countries and if you think even a large percentage of it is winding up in the hands of some poor farmer in Oaxaca then I’ve got a bridge to sell you. Drug cartels run the poorest areas of Mexico…and gangs that chop off heads to send a message aren’t going to pass up the opportunity to steal from a multi-billion dollar revenue stream. One must keep in mind that the most valuable commodity on Earth is human beings. Wars were fought to secure the African slave trade because it was so incredibly valuable. An ounce of gold is great…but an ounce of gold can’t clean up for you. Can’t be exploited every single day to provide unearned income for you.

And it is partially political. Not for nothing have most of these immigrants been sent to Red States. The Democrats are now starting to lose every demographic except upper class whites and black women. The blue collar votes they are losing to Trump and an ever more populist GOP have to be replaced…and that is precisely what they’re trying to do…totally abusing Executive authority, they are bringing in millions on parole, calling them legal immigrants and giving them work permits…but also welfare. And you know darned well that their goal is to amnesty these people and get them voting as quickly as possible.

So, when you’re called a racist for pointing out there are downsides to mass migration, remember who is saying it: ruthless, cruel people trying to exploit the poor of the world for personal benefit. And when Trump wins in November, remember that it was silly cat memes that helped him to victory: never accept the Left’s Narrative. They’re only mad right now because we successfully implanted immigration as an issue.

J D Vance continues to impress – he did 3 Sunday talk shows today while Harris and Walz did zero. He’s articulate, intelligent, has done his homework and doesn’t roll over for MSM lies. He doesn’t accept their premise and that is so very crucial…Trump started down this path but, lets face it, he lacks a bit of discipline in this. Vance just crucifies the lying sons of bitches. He’s going to be an excellent Vice President and we GOPers are going to have a tough call in 2028 choosing between him and DeSantis.

Here Kitty, Kitty Open Thread

Mark Noonan35 Comments

The Democrats hate those cat memes.

I love how the MSM is all “official sources are denying reports of cats being eaten”…as if anyone believes official sources…or that the MSM’s job is to just repeat the press release rather than checking.

Look, do I know with existential certainty that a cat has been eaten by an illegal immigrant? No. But there is enough anecdotal evidence to indicate it…and it would be rare for a person to call the police to report a missing cat. The place to check is actually the local animal shelters: has there been an increase in inquiries about missing pets? That would tell the tale…but the MSM won’t do that. Why not? Because they are terrified of what they might find.

What is important about this – and why Democrats hate it so much – is that it makes it personal and easily understood by the American people. There was a news report not too long ago about the Biden Administration providing “temporary” protected status for another 309,000 Haitians. We know that “temporary” means “forever” – but it is another 309,000. Meaning there are far more than 309,000 Haitians in country. 309,000 is nearly 3% of Haiti’s total population. Just how many of them are here? 5%? 7%? 10%? We really don’t know – and extending “temporary” protected status to 309,000 means its really extended to every Haitian who can get here…how in heck you going to sort them out? It isn’t like there’s a government in Haiti we can check with…even supposing the Haitian government actually kept records about their people.

But all that I just wrote still doesn’t mean a lot. It gives a sense of unease…but nothing you can put your finger on. Missing kitty cats? That is something. Huge numbers of us have cats. We love our little kitty cats. If someone is doing something to them – and we’ve got enough recent reports to say that things are being done to them by foreigners in the USA – that is horrific…and easily understood. It demonstrates the complete cultural incompatibility of these people. They simply don’t know that you can’t kill Fluffy…nor are you allowed to hunt the geese in the local park. To a Haitian flown from his shack next to an open sewer in Port au Prince to a Section 8 house in Ohio, that goose is just free food…he doesn’t understand. And why should we expect him to? I don’t blame the Haitian guy for seeing the tame park goose as an easy meal…I blame the monied interests who brought him in.

It is entirely killing their Narrative about Dreamers…an already unpopular thing (illegal immigration) has become politically toxic. And they can’t do anything about it – the Democrats, as a party, are committed to mass importation of a replacement population. If Harris were to really get up there and say “we’re going to deport and we’re going to seal the border” then 20% of her vote would to to Jill Stein. The far Left will not forgive such a thing. So, she makes vague statements about providing more funding for the border patrol and getting tough on drug trafficking…which statements are, of themselves, lies.

Gavin Newsom signed a new law to “get tough” on smash and grab robberies. Or, at least, that is how the regime propagandists at the Associated Press described it. But once you dig into it you find out that its only if the robber passes $50,000.00 in theft or damage. In other words, it is the Beverly Hills Retail Establishment Protection Act. Gavin must have got some calls from the rich about how they don’t want their nice little shopping areas ruined…and like a good, little Ruling Class tool, he got the job done. The poor suckers in Compton losing their local CVS and Target get nothing. I think Trump should figure out a way to bring this one up – it so clearly shows that the Democrats are just the Ruling Class and only care about the Ruling Class.

Over on ABC’s Tik Tok account, Trump’s closing statement from the debate is past 23 million views, overwhelmingly positive. Harris’? Not quite 4 and a half million views.

I’m sure you saw that video of Biden putting on a MAGA hat. I’m still not 100% sure about what happened there: was he just senile and didn’t know? Just having a little fun?

Or was he giving a gigantic middle finger to Harris and the DNC for what they did to him?

Nobody despises Biden more than I do but the bottom line is that they did totally screw him. The time to get him out was June of 2023. That’s when Hillary and Barry and the other leaders should have gone to Biden and said, “Joe, we love you; we appreciate all you’ve done and we’re forever grateful…but your fast ball has lost a bit and it is time to bow out gracefully”. Biden probably would have agreed. There would have been a real primary and the Democrats would have someone who could credibly campaign on change…but, no: they decided to lie (with Biden’s cooperation, of course; he is still a rat bastard in his own right) and keep him in only to have him implode…and now they’re stuck with Harris.

Debate Night!

Mark Noonan112 Comments

Everyone all excited? Ready for this decisive moment?

Meh. I don’t think it’ll be that big a deal.

This can’t harm Trump in my view – he’s such an entirely known quantity that there’s no zinger Harris can use that will redefine him. On the other hand, huge downside potential for Harris here: she has to pretend that she’s not part of the current Administration while making out that her current office has prepared her to lead. And she needs to make the case that while the Administration has screwed everything up, she can fix it. Add in the fact that she’s not a great debater or public speaker and I don’t see this going too well for her: best she can hope for is to do no harm to herself.

To be sure, the MSM articles lauding her performance are already written…they were, in fact, likely written by the Harris campaign and just handed out to the MSMers so that each “journalist” could tweak it a bit and make it seem unique. There will be the flash polls showing that 90% of Trump voters now want to give her a sloppy kiss. Yadda, yadda, yadda.

Polls have been weakening for Harris for about ten days now – and Nate Silver’s forecast shows a good chance of a Trump win. The bottom line is that, at best, Harris is a point or two ahead of Trump in the popular vote polling and is behind in enough Battleground States to get Trump past 270. Its not going well in spite of overwhelmingly positive MSM coverage of her and a massive infusion of campaign cash. But, I guess we’ll see what happens tonight!

Open Thread

Mark Noonan18 Comments

So the Cheney family is going all-in on Harris. Some are expecting the Bush family to join in and while this is in the realm of possibility, I doubt it. The Bush family retains political ambitions that can only be satisfied on the GOP side of the aisle as the children of W and Jeb rise in the world. The Bush family is already persona non grata in many parts of the GOP so an endorsement of Harris would finish the family forever in GOP politics. The Cheney’s have no future in the GOP so there was no cost to them for endorsing Harris. But the spectacle of the man the Left compared to Darth Vader being welcomed to Team Harris is astonishing. None of us saw this coming twenty years ago.

But even without an explicit endorsement of Harris by the Bush family, they still aren’t out there campaigning for Trump – and Trump likely doesn’t want them to, given the negative connotations the family has on both sides of the aisle. And that is the sea-change; the political realignment. Cheney for Harris and Kennedy for Trump. The old Right/Left dichotomy that started in the 1930’s is over with for good or ill and there’s no going back. Trump is the GOP nominee because the old GOP betrayed us – every time push came to shove, the old GOP gave in to the Democrats. The remains of the old GOP still want us to give in to the Democrats. Those old GOPers who know we never will are now moving over to the Democrat side of the aisle…while anyone on the Dem side who is sick to death of the wokeness, the lies and the corruption is moving over to us even if on policy they aren’t 100% with us.

Latest rumor being floated by Team Harris is that Keith Ellison, the insane Leftist attorney general of Minnesota, is on the short list for US attorney general. This is done to try and pull in Muslim votes in Michigan and Minnesota…which is something that Harris isn’t supposed to have to do on September 7th of the campaign year. Clearly, her internal polling is not rosy. By this time she’s supposed to be tacking to the center and trying to get to 270…this is a move to the hard left necessary to ensure her base of 226 is still with her. To be sure, if she does win it is no certainty that Ellison would actually be nominated, let alone confirmed by what is almost certain to be at least a 51-GOPer Senate…but if anyone sane needed a reason to vote Trump, this is it. Ellison is an evil man who hates the United States of America. Keeping him out of federal office is the moral duty of all decent people.

How is the race going? Well, back on November 7th, 2020, Trump beat Biden by 74,483 votes in North Carolina. Back then, the Democrat voter registration advantage in the State stood at 391,043. Today? It stands at 128,306. Just as in 2016, I think the voter registration numbers are a gigantic flashing red light…but most political Experts and polling number crunchers are ignoring them…and the few who even mention registrations only do so to dismiss them. But I think its the most crucial indicator of how things are going – the Experts think that 2016 was the aberration…it wasn’t: 2020 was. Covid plus cheating got Biden in, not some swing to the old political norm. Trump now is the political norm. People are sick to death of the Ruling Class, GOP and Democrat. Biden was the last gasp of a dying Ruling Class…and they had to massively cheat to get him over the finish line. And a level of cheating that was only possible in the unique circumstances of Covid restrictions.

Could I be wrong? Of course I can. We’re going to find out! But I suspect at the end of the day a substantial trump win. Maybe 40% chance he wins the popular vote while also securing a 312 vote Electoral College victory.

The Lies That Bind Us

Mark Noonan8 Comments

Very odd debate over the past few days on X about who was the bad guy in WWII. Turns out, quite a number of people – mostly youngsters – are holding that Churchill was the bad guy. The debate was sparked by Tucker Carlson (who lost all respect from me over this) interviewing a guy who claims he’s a historian (he’s not) and his absurd, dishonest contentions about Churchill and Hitler. It is a very disgusting debate and it is all quite terrifying – because this view cuts across ideological lines.

I figure it stems from two things:

  1. The general ignorance of modern youth who simply aren’t told history.
  2. The huge amounts of money spent by Muslim interests to infect the West with the anti-Semitic virus.

Kinda bizarre that its all coming via a roundabout process. To nutshell it, post-WWII members of the SS were barred from receiving military pensions. Their service was rated criminal and so, unlike the Wehrmacht, they weren’t given post-war disability and service pensions. A huge lobbying effort was put forth to whitewash the SS, especially the Waffen-SS, in an attempt to get these pensions. And this, coupled with outright Nazi apologists, first infected the Arab world and now has come back via Arabs to infect us (the infection of the Arab world with it started, of course, pre-WWII but it took off post-war when quite a number of unrepentant Nazis found employment in Arab States battling the Jewish State of Israel).

They way these Nazi-apologists work is simple: they ignore the central facts (all the dead Jews, who started the war) and concentrate heavily on what happened to Germany late in the war and immediately after – naturally putting great emphasis on Stalin’s actions and, from there, tying in the Jews as part of a gigantic conspiracy against all that is good (in this scenario, Churchill wasn’t a Zionist and anti-Nazi by conviction, but because he was a raving anti-German lunatic financed by The Jewish Conspiracy). What frightens me is how to someone who doesn’t know – and doesn’t even know what to check – this seems reasonable and it is leading our youth down a very evil path.

And I am not quite sure how we combat it – I mean, other than by killing those who are lying. This might end up what happens but I’d rather not. But how do I tell a kid who is 22 years old in 2024 and who can’t date WWII within 25 years of its occurrence that, no, it wasn’t Evil Churchill who started the war at the behest of The Jews? Why should that kid believe me? He’s been lied to his whole life about so much – and by his own government, social and economic leaders…now I’m coming along and saying, “the USA was the good guys; sure, I know the War on Terrorism was a clusterfark of epic proportions from which the connected profited massively, but trust me – back in 1945, it was different!”. Ain’t gonna work. No chance it can work. And even if I refer the youngsters to books they’ll just discount them as the “false” history now discredited by the smart-sounded guy on Tik Tok saying Hitler wanted peace (and in this it doesn’t help that large parts of the World War Two/Cold War Narrative is nonsense…that people have lied about the events not to make the Allies look bad, but to make them look all-wise).

We are bound in a web of lies. I know I’ve harped on this too much of late but it keeps coming back to it…and now liars, likely in the pay of Arab money, are lying our kids into perhaps firing up the ovens for Holocaust II. We’re going to have to stop it. And soon.

And Off We Go!

Mark Noonan16 Comments

Now the final push begins. According to some polling, Harris is doing ok. According to other polling, Trump is doing ok. But in almost all polling Trump is doing better than he ever did in 2016 or 2020. Most thinking people put the race as a tossup and that’s probably the best way to go. Always play like you’re a few points behind, right?

But as I said early on, I do believe that Trump’s program isn’t just to get a narrow Electoral College victory like he did in 2016 and nearly got in 2020 in spite of massive cheating…I think he wants a big victory. Maybe even an absolute popular vote majority. In service to that, Team Trump has invested a lot in reaching out to less likely voters – that is, voters who don’t always vote. Pretty much universally among such people Trump is up huge…like 15+ points from what I’ve seen. If Trump can get these people to show – and they do have incentive this year to do so – then all polling is drivel…because especially lately polling has tried to screen for Likely Voters…which naturally excludes people who don’t vote on the regular.

Low turnout election: favors Harris.

High turnout election: favors Trump.

I did find out from some actual polling experts that newly registered voters are counted in Likely Voter screens – the assumption, which I think correct, is that if you just registered to vote then you’re motivated and will show. But I also wonder about the response rate for such voters? Especially Trump voters? You see, someone who just registered to vote with an eye to pulling the Trump lever is probably someone highly suspicious…you know, unlikely to pick up the phone and answer a pollster. This along with irregular voters means there could be a large swath of voters simply not showing up in the public polls.

But what of the private polls? That we don’t know – and if internals are leaked, they are leaked to get us to think a certain way. Looking at ad spending there is no big surprise – both teams are pouring the money into the Battlegrounds and pretty much matching each other. But I note that Team Harris has been spending some time in New Hampshire and Virginia…States which the flip from Biden to Harris was supposed to put out of Trump’s reach. Why campaign in places you’ve locked down? Of course you don’t. Additionally, Harris is now calling in Pudding Brain – his use will be selective but that they have to use him indicates, in my mind, a huge problem for Harris among blue collar voters. We just went through a month of “Joe, who?” from Harris and the Democrats…now he’s back. Looking terrible and sounding more senile than ever…I mean, how desperate are you to think that the Scranton Joe drivel will work again? Especially as Scranton Joe can barely string a coherent sentence together?

I’m also noticing that the lies keeping Harris afloat are getting threadbare…there are just so many of them and they are so obviously lies. It looks like she may have even lied about working at McDonald’s. Remember, she’s the daughter of a rich Commie father and a privileged Indian mother. She tries to talk like she’s just some poor kid but her mother was an oncologist. Even in the 60’s and 70’s, such doctors were making big bucks. She was never poor. Never lacked resources. Wouldn’t have to take a part time job. I thought it credible at first that she might have – earn a few extra bucks, ya know? But now it looks like even that might not have happened. As for Walz, there’s pretty much no biographical detail he hasn’t lied about – and this is before Team Trump starts asking how a teacher managed to afford 30 trips to Communist China. I do suspect that people are starting to see through it all – that Harris is nothing but lies.

I do think Harris will show for the debate. Some people think she’ll find an excuse to back out. But I figure she’s gotta show: no matter how much MSM spin there’d be on it, it would look just terrible if she backed out. How will it go? I’m sure she’ll have her mindless platitudes memorized and, of course, the MSMers will pitch softballs at her…as well as do other things to protect her from Trump. But at the end of the day she’s not a good speaker, she can’t think on her feet and her voice and personality are grating. They’re not hiding her for no reason: if she was even reasonably competent in front of an audience they’d have her out there unscripted on the regular. She’s just terrible at it. She had to bow out before a vote was cast in 2020 for a reason. Of course no matter how it goes the MSM will call it the best debate performance ever seen…but the people will be watching and if Trump is in any way a credible alternative, he’s going to walk away with the debate.

I’m still serene. Confident of victory. Maybe I’m foolish about it but I just don’t have any jitters about it. Perhaps I’m just getting old now and so feel I have less at stake? I don’t know – but I feel great about it all. I’m enjoying this election more than any I’ve ever experienced.

The Failure of the Modern World

Mark Noonan40 Comments

That is Thomas Lister, 4th Baron Ribbesdale. He lived from 1854 to 1925. The painting was by John Singer Sargent and it is – or at least, was – very famous as it captured perfectly the 19th century British aristocracy. Just look at it – the man is serene. He knows he’s in the master class of the world’s master nation.

As a person, he didn’t cut a great swath in the world – a Liberal member of the House of Lords back when it was entirely hereditary and actually had some power, he was just a solid member of society. He had several children but his Barony died with him as both of his sons died as soldiers – one in a colonial campaign in 1904, the other at Gallipoli in 1915. Essentially, all that he was is gone, now. His line became extinct because of its devotion to duty and now the world looks upon him and his like with hatred and contempt. Why bring him up?

Because yesterday X was afire for a while with an allegation that the Pope had decreed it a moral obligation for us to accept migrants. As per usual with statements by Pope Francis, he didn’t actually say that. He merely reiterated long-standing Catholic teaching that migrants can’t be abused. No duh. But it caused quite a bit of heartache and the tail end of it had a video of a Spanish coast guard vessel apparently running over a small boat filled with migrants trying to break into Spain. The horror and all that – we were supposed to say, “I am in favor of border security, but this can’t happen.” Which is kinda dumb because if it doesn’t happen then you’ll just get more and more of them.

But that got me thinking and the vision of Ribbesdale’s picture came to mind. Here in 2024, we’re supposed to hate the man and all he represented. Imperialism. Colonialism. White Supremacy. Yadda, yadda, yadda. But it should be noted with great care that the descendants of those who were ruled by the likes of Ribbesdale are desperate to get into Ribbesdale’s country…while his descendants (and there are such) aren’t noted for their desire to break into Zimbabwe. It would seem to me that we have the world rather backwards. Or upside down. Or, perhaps, both.

One thinks about Zimbabwe. Known as Rhodesia in days of yore – names after Cecil Rhodes who as an ardent British Imperialist. We are all supposed to abhor Rhodesia. It was a white-minority government! Racist! It had stolen all the farm land from the Africans! It had to go. And it was destroyed. Because of course it had to be. But here’s something to think about – through most of Rhodesia’s existence, the majority of the Rhodesian army was black. Weird, huh? Sorta like the French war in Algeria where far more Algerians fought for France than for Algerian independence. Nobody asks these days why black Rhodesians would fight for a white government. Not allowed to ask. Probably should be asked, though. They had a reason! It wasn’t conscription: all volunteers. Men fully capable and free to choose…who chose to fight for the government that was officially oppressing them because they were black.

Without a deep study it would be impossible to really know the reasons but my guess is that they felt they had a stake in the system. Rhodesia was an island of civilization in a very barbarous area of the world. It was famously called “more English than England”. The government of Rhodesia – colonial and independent – was very selective in immigration. Only the best were allowed to come – and the best came. Certainly, they were taking land which in theory had been black-owned (in the sense that at one point all land in Sub-Saharan Africa was by nature black-owned) but which hadn’t been used for much – or in a lot of cases, used for anything – by anyone since the dawn of time. These people worked hard and built a society of prosperous, sober farmers. They didn’t see themselves as being the white minority rulers of anyone – they saw themselves as an English society ruling itself according to English law…and they did not want this society turned over to non-English people who, when not overtly hostile to English society, simply had no idea how to make it work. My bet is that the black men who joined Rhodesia’s army did so because they had fused themselves to the English society of Rhodesia and feared dispossession if the government fell. Maybe they didn’t like some aspects of white rule, but they liked the overall affect of it and probably bet that if they fought for it, they’d eventually gain full entrance into it.

But, none of that: if whites are in charge, then whites are wrong and gotta go. Off they went. And Rhodesia changed to Zimbabwe. Naturally the new government had to kill tens of thousands of fellow blacks who didn’t understand that the end of white rule didn’t mean the start of all black rule. Just some blacks. Those most juiced in with the new rulers. The white farmers had their land confiscated – and black farmers were given the land (based on political reliability, of course) but they didn’t know how to farm all that well so the breadbasket of southern Africa became a land of poverty and periodic famine. Disease ran rampant. Did you know that 128,000 Zimbabweans live in Britain? 65,000 in Australia? Heck, 50,000 or so in the USA? Kinda funny, huh? Fight to end white rule…only to move to places where…whites rule. Almost as if the whole concept of white rule being bad was…you know, drivel.

Don’t get me wrong here: it is absolutely wrong to exclude people from the political and economic system based on race. Just can’t do that. We are all children of God and have the same certain, unalienable rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. But how any Republic is to be organized is a matter of prudential judgement and any changes proposed must be studied both for their short and long term effects and provision made against the possibility that a proposed cure will be worse than the disease. The bottom line is that while white minority rule had to come to an end in Rhodesia (just as it did in South Africa) this doesn’t mean it was necessary or wise to do it willy-nilly – to just all at once remove the people who ran things and replace them with people who had never run anything like it. For both Rhodesia and South Africa, change from white to majority rule should have been a process of decades, not an instant. After all, the disaster wasn’t just in Rhodesia-turned-Zimbabwe. There are nearly a million South Africans who have bailed out of South Africa – this diaspora, just like that in Rhodesia-Zimbabwe, coming only after the end of white rule and with the overwhelming majority of immigrants being black…moving to white majority nations.

You’ll find, if you care to check, that in all lands formerly ruled by Europeans absolutely gigantic numbers of the natives have bailed out – and continue to bail out. Its why we have a migrant crisis. The former colonies are being drained of people as fast as transport to Europe and the Americas can be arranged. All of these black and brown people fleeing their black and brown lands…to move in with the crackers. Why? I’ll tell you why: because the end of colonial rule was wrong. The end of so-called white rule was wrong. It has killed and ruined far more than colonialism or white rule ever did. Of course, it wasn’t really “white rule”…it was Civilized Rule. It just turned out that the civilized people were white – men like our Lord Ribbesdale who was a kind, decent sort of man who wanted what was best for people as far as could be made in an imperfect world run by Fallen Man. And people like him by and large succeeded. Where there once had been slavery, now there was freedom. Where there once had been pagan ignorance, now there was Christianity and education. Roads and railways replaced dirt tracks. Water was brought to parched cities and farms. New crops were introduced. The cross polonization of cultures led to the improvement of everyone’s lives. It might have been a huge mistake for Europe to go out into the world to conquer – but the bigger mistake was ending that rule over a period of a mere 20 years, long before the ruled were capable running a modern society.

So, what do we do now? How to we cure this failure of the modern world…this asinine idea that the West which everyone is desperate to get into, is wrong? First and foremost, we must control our borders. It wasn’t just our failure – plenty of people of Africa and Asia fell for it, too. They really thought that the only problem was the paleface in charge…get rid of him and paradise will ensue. Now as they live in their tin shacks watching the new ruling class drive by in their Mercedes, they just want to get out…but they had a hand in setting this up and they can’t just evacuate. Nope: it is their bed, and they have to sleep in it. Back they go.

And if they do want our help? Then it comes with our rule. Not going to continue to hold that I have to work a deal with a tribal chief or local strongman. Our aid comes with our laws or it doesn’t come at all. Not talking emergency aid – but things like long term development assistance. More than happy to help…but we’ll be telling them what to do. Think of how much money we’ve tossed into the foreign aid rat hole over the past 75 years and what has it brought to the people of the world? Nearly half the world’s population lacks secure access to clean water and/or sanitation. This is basic stuff. This is something Romans figured out 2,000 years ago…why in heck does anyone lack access to clean water/sanitation? Because having clean water and sanitation comes with civilization. Western civilization. It is the only civilization which has consistently been able to do the whole water/sanitation thing over long periods of time. Westerners aren’t smarter than anyone else…but their overall cultural development built this mindset. You go with what you’ve got and if you want clean water and sanitation, you’ve got to have Western values…even if those values have to be imposed.

We must insist that our civilization is a good thing. We have to stop hating ourselves because some Marxist pinhead says so. If we want to survive – and if we want to help the world – we have to recapture the belief and self confidence of our ancestors.

Open Thread

Mark Noonan43 Comments

Actual MSM headline:

Former President Trump sidesteps his role in Afghanistan exit in trying to link Vice President Harris to chaos

This is the level of lies we’re dealing with – in the MSM’s lie, Trump is trying to pin his failure in Afghanistan on Harris. The hook they’re using is an allegation that what Trump did in office made the Afghan failure happen. This is, of course, nonsense. Whatever Trump did to 1/20/2021, Biden and Harris had until 8/20/2021 to fix it. And that is presuming that Trump did something wrong. He didn’t but it is no use arguing the point – the people in charge when the catastrophe happened were Harris and Biden…with Harris asserting in olden times (like a year ago) that she was the last person to advise Biden on it.

The reason I bring this up is not to show yet another lie but to remind you that they are lying – about everything, including their polling. What we’re being treated to in 2024 is an effort to make people vote based on something 180 from reality. It has never been done quite like this before – even the most egregiously dishonest campaigns in the past at least tried to deal in the situation as it was…here we’re getting people trying to secure your vote by saying “black is white”. It will naturally work with the most dyed-in-the-wool Democrats. Will it work on anyone else? We’re going to find out. I believe it will not work – and, in fact, will prove counter-productive as people get pissed off when someone so brazenly lies to them.

The real state of the race is this: all through the 2024 cycle Senator Rosen (D-NV) has steered away from any mention that she’s a Democrat, has refused to appear with the Democrat nominee and has burnished her image as a non-partisan problem-solver. This is just a pack of lies and according to polling it is working…supposedly she has a comfortable lead over Sam Brown, her Republican challenger. But this morning I saw a new Rosen ad – it explicitly attacks the Democrats for harming blue collar workers with tax increases. Naturally, the ad concludes with her pledge to fight against that but think about the state of her internal polling if she feels the need for that sort of ad. This race is not going as the Narrative says. Not even close.

They’re going to keep it up – they won’t stop. They’ve committed to it – the BS will continue to 11/5. But we live in a world where 46% of middle class workers have cut their retirement plan contributions because of the rising cost of living. That is the reality. That is what people will remember. That is what they will vote on.