The American Choice

If you’re needing a little morale boost:

Interviews with more than 50 state, district and county Republican Party chairs depict a version of the electoral landscape that is no worse for Trump than six months ago — and possibly even slightly better. According to this view, the coronavirus is on its way out and the economy is coming back. Polls are unreliable, Joe Biden is too frail to last, and the media still doesn’t get it.

“The more bad things happen in the country, it just solidifies support for Trump,” said Phillip Stephens, GOP chairman in Robeson County, N.C., one of several rural counties in that swing state that shifted from supporting Barack Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016. “We’re calling him ‘Teflon Trump.’ Nothing’s going to stick, because if anything, it’s getting more exciting than it was in 2016.”

This year, Stephens said, “We’re thinking landslide.”

That does seem, on the face of it, rather a stretch. The official word is we’re too polarized as a nation to allow any candidate to get to landslide territory (let’s call it getting 56%+ of the vote). To a certain extent, this is obvious: the polarization is seen in the fact that the Left – which makes up the core of the Democrat party – considers the United States to be an inherently racist nation unworthy of support unless it becomes entirely Leftist. We on our side, of course, think the United States is inherently good and merely needs to live up to it’s founding ideals. That is quite a polar opposite view of the same set of facts.

But, in the end, how large is the Left? Meaning: how many people in the United States actually subscribe to the notion that America is inherently evil? That is what November will tell us. It might be a plurality. It might be either an Electoral or popular vote majority. If it is then not only do we lose, but we lose forever: if a majority consciously decides to install a government committed to acting on the assumption that America 1776-2020 is evil, then we’ve lost the fight. Its over: we just have to adjust ourselves to living in a new America which will be quite different from the old.

But, still, that is a pretty confident feeling quoted in the article, isn’t it? Now, to be sure, maybe someone is just trying to bamboozle: all political campaigns say things are going just swell no matter how doomed they are. But they do have some data points to back up their assertion: there is argument over just how many people signed up for Trump’s rally in Tulsa, but the bottom line is that many hundreds of thousands of people signed up for a venue holding less than 20,000 people. That’s a lot. None of us can conceive, even with popular music acts, Biden getting that kind of response. Then there’s things like voter engagement: over the ‘Rona lockdowns the campaigns were forced to go almost entirely online…and Team Trump simply blows Team Biden out of the water in online engagement. It isn’t just a little bit better: it is orders of magnitude better. I’ve also seen good data on GOP voter registration and time and again at Trump rallies, significant portions of attendees are Democrats or rare/new voters. I’ve always said look not at what people say, but at what they do: what people are doing is turning to Trump, at least in the data we can see. Only the public opinion polls are against Trump. Maybe they are right this time? If they are, Trump is going to be destroyed in November. Figure the odds they are right, though.

My view is this: people who aren’t Democrats but are Democrat-leaners – people who mostly vote Democrat but are not committed to the Democrat notion that America is inherently racist – are looking around at riots and absurd lockdowns (DeBlasio actually said – I’m not kidding – in response to Jews reopening their kid’s parks, that he won’t allow people to “take the law into their own hands”: this after allowing nuts-to-butts rioting and protesting by Leftwing groups) and perhaps reassessing just how bad Trump really is? I mean, sure he’s rude and crude and he’s not at all the nice, made-up politician mouthing bromides about peace, love and unity that these Democrat-leaners are used to voting for…but he isn’t the guy locking down people for stupid reasons nor allowing rioters to run amok in the city. How many such people, without ever admitting it, will pull the lever for Trump even if it is a mere rebuke to Democrats who have gone off the rails?

We’ll find out in November.

10 thoughts on “The American Choice

  1. Retired Spook June 17, 2020 / 12:14 pm

    That does seem, on the face of it, rather a stretch.

    There are two wild cards that will likely have a huge effect on the election. Are young Millennials who, as a demographic, are most demanding of radical change, going to see Joe Biden as the vessel of that change and turn out for him in significant numbers? And second, will there be a significant increase in black support for Trump. He got around 8% in 2016, and I’m going to be shocked if he doesn’t get well over 10%.

    So far two things are acting in Trump’s favor. The enthusiasm factor leans heavily toward Trump, and the lame attempts to blame Trump for the virus shutdown and race riots aren’t getting any traction.

    • M. Noonan June 17, 2020 / 4:54 pm

      That’s pretty much how I see it: and, of course, I could be flat wrong. I do have my own biases and all of us filter things through our worldview.

      • Retired Spook June 17, 2020 / 5:14 pm

        That we do, although I’d like to think that my views are at least as informed as possible, and as free of emotion as possible. My filters include things like integrity, honor, personal responsibility and self reliance. I daresay those filters are totally foreign to most on the Left.

    • Amazona June 18, 2020 / 12:41 am

      The Dems are trying desperately to run out the clock, keeping the country shut down and Joe locked in the basement, knowing that a head to head confrontation between Trump and Biden will be a disaster for them.

      We’re getting down to the wire, and maybe Trump should challenge Joe to a debate. with a live feed so Joe can be assured he won’t be exposed to the deadly virus. but having them answer questions in real time. Right now Trump is running against a phantom. Maybe he should start saying that: “I understand I have an opponent in this race, but I haven’t seen him yet. I guess I’m running against Joe Biden, and someone else to be named at a later date.” Maybe he should pull a Clint Eastwood and debate an empty chair, or at least have one on the stage with him at his rallies.

      I just don’t think a campaign based on voting AGAINST someone has the energy it takes to bring out voters, and the Dem campaign is wholly dependent on simply being Not Trump.

  2. Retired Spook June 17, 2020 / 5:17 pm

    Newt has a great column today.

  3. Retired Spook June 17, 2020 / 5:19 pm

    OK, this is pretty funny.

    House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and other top Democratic leaders marched into the U.S. Capitol Visitor’s Center last week and knelt for eight minutes and 46 seconds, the same amount of time that fired Minneapolis cop Derek Chauvin kneeled on George Floyd’s neck.

    But it was what the congressional Democrats wore — traditional West African kente cloths — that made headlines. In fact, they were harshly criticized for what came across as mere pandering.

    As it turns out, those kente cloths have roots in the African slave trade, according to a USA Today fact check.

    Oopsie! Ya gotta love it when your adversary voluntarily shoots themselves in the foot.

    • Amazona June 18, 2020 / 12:07 am

      While Kente cloth was a product of a global trade route which stretched from Asia through Europe to Africa, this cloth and the people also came to be associated with another global trade route—the slave trade. In fact, the history of the Ashanti people, who lived on the West Coast of Africa, is strongly tied to the history of the slave trade.

      As was true of many pre-modern societies in Africa, Asia and Europe, the Ashanti practiced slavery. When Europeans, specifically the Portuguese, came into contact with the Ashanti during the sixteenth century, both Europeans and the Ashanti traded gold, ivory, and slaves.

      Ashanti slaves were transported to the New World in large numbers.

  4. Amazona June 18, 2020 / 10:41 am

    Perhaps instead of responding to the accusations of racism by saying “No, we’re not” we should start explaining how the very definition of “racism” has been so distorted that it can now be applied to almost anything. Remember, it was only a year or so ago that the race pimps decried a desire for a colorblind society “racist”.

    “Racist” used to mean applying a characteristic to a race. Period. If you thought all black people were stupid, that was racist. Thinking all Asians are good at math is racist, too, though in a more benign way. But now anything acknowledging skin color is racist, no matter what the reason, no matter what the motivation, no matter how lacking in association with intelligence or character. Describing a black mugger as black is racist. For some reason the act of washing excrement off the street is racist. Any reference to any non-human primate is racist. References to some foods, such as watermelon, is racist. Speaking correct English is racist, as is doing well in school. Wanting borders around our nation is racist, and so is enforcing immigration laws. Requiring a good credit history to qualify for a loan is racist. Now honoring a black slave whose business acumen led her to success and wealth is racist. The list is literally endless—–“literally” because it is constantly being extended

    When simply not being black is racist, then of course the next step is to define a mostly white nation as racist. It’s not enough to just sputter “but…but…but we’re NOT!” When something is accepted by one demographic because if feeds its need to hate and is accepted by another out of sheer laziness and blind acceptance of whatever is fed to it by a Complicit Agenda Media it is not enough to simply say it’s not true. The first demographic, the haters, are unreachable by logic, reason or decency. They have chosen their path and love it too much to ever leave it. But the ignorant need to be schooled in just what they are accepting, and how inherently foolish it is.

    Going back to the true definition of racism, the assignment of any characteristic based on race, there can’t be anything MORE racist than believing white people share disdain for people of color. But that is the basis for the claim this is a racist nation. It butts up against the parallel conviction of believing all Republicans are racist, because that implies that Leftists are not, but the Left never lets an inconsistency get in the way of a narrative. So the narrative is that we, as a nation, are racist. The whole country is racist, though there are a few noble souls (Democrats!) who recognize this and are horrified by it and protest against it—that is the Leftist theme.

    So…maybe we need to start pointing out how the Left has decreed basically everything to be racist, at least unless someone is the one making the accusation.

    A kissing cousin to “racism” is the equally nonsensical “cultural appropriation”. Now finding something associated with another race or culture so attractive one wants to incorporate it into his or her life is—–racist.

    As a former contributor to this blog once commented, referring to the Chevy Volt, “If you want to go more than 40 miles you’re a racist”—one of the all-time great lines, as well as one that absolutely infuriates Leftists.

    • Retired Spook June 18, 2020 / 11:24 am

      When simply not being black is racist, then of course the next step is to define a mostly white nation as racist. It’s not enough to just sputter “but…but…but we’re NOT!”

      I actually heard a Leftist talking head on TV a couple days ago say, “if you have to deny you’re a racist, you are one.” I have a simple solution to that: assuming the charge is, as you say, based on nothing or based on a definition of racism that is either not logical and/or simply not rooted in reality, the only answer would seem to be “go fu*k yourself.” I’m done trying to be nice to people who are inherently not nice.

    • Amazona June 18, 2020 / 12:29 pm

      I just said (of claims of racism) “The list is literally endless—–“literally” because it is constantly being extended”

      And now the NYT has declared that climate change is racist. I don’t know if the eeeevil white people who run the world have created climate change specifically to harm non-white people, or if it just happened and we are too happy to see who is most harmed by it to care about stopping it.

      I no longer read the New York Tripe, so I don’t know and don’t care what crap they are peddling today. I’m sure the release of this “bombshell” (it’s been way too long since we all had a “bombshell” dropped on us) is carefully timed to develop some traction before the election, to provide a new talking/mumbling point for Joe Biden and those trying to prop him up. I’m just commenting on the desperation of the Left and the obvious fact that there is no bottom to their depravity.

      But seriously, if you can accept a racist virus it’s no great leap to accept racist global warming,or whatever symptom of “climate change” is being touted these days.

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