Open Thread

Getting massive gloom and doom punditry from the right these days about our November chances…all fueled by polls. There is a great deal of “as per usual” in this, but I think this year there is an extra twist on it – the underlying contention is that the GOP was heading for a massive win this year until Trump endorsed a bunch of crazies! I do detect a GOPe desire to dampen GOP prospects as a way to cut against Trump for 2024. There are plenty of Establishment types who would love a Democrat victory if it meant that they could stop worrying about Trump coming back.

Will it work? I don’t think so. As I’ve said for years, never pay attention to what people say, but what people do. And all through 2022 the voters have been turning to the GOP. The key markers for me right now is primary turnout and voter registration trends and both of these show a remarkable surge for the GOP.

The Nuclear Option on keeping Trump out in 2024 is, of course, to indict him – and if he’s indicted, rely on it they’ll craft a jury which will find him guilty. Doesn’t matter if he’ll win on appeal, they feel that such a move would prevent him running. I don’t think so. It would be such an obvious political indictment that it might actually work to Trump’s favor. Will they do it? Depends on how desperate they get.

For 2022, it is the Recession, stupid. Naturally, the palace guard MSM swung into action to tell us that a recession isn’t a recession when a Democrat is in charge…but the problem they have is that people are living in the recession and no amount of spin changes that.

I’m sure you’ve heard the joke that when seconds count, the police are minutes away – well, in New Orleans, they are two and a half hours away. That is the average response time, and it means that New Orleans effectively has no police, at all. This is not sustainable – eventually, vigilantes will appear.

I don’t know how many of you are J K Rowling fans, but she got herself into trouble over transgenderism…keep in mind that Rowling is a big Lefty in everything else, but she did make the reasonable statement that a woman is a woman and this set off the trans rights people. Fundamentally, they can’t hurt Rowling because she’s already made buckets of money off her Harry Potter books…but the attacks on her are relentless. Now, imagine this turned on a regular person who didn’t have all that money? That’s the problem we have to address…the online bullying that we do have to stop.

17 thoughts on “Open Thread

  1. Retired Spook August 1, 2022 / 11:47 am

    For 2022, it is the Recession, stupid. Naturally, the palace guard MSM swung into action to tell us that a recession isn’t a recession when a Democrat is in charge…but the problem they have is that people are living in the recession and no amount of spin changes that.

    Actually, all the Democrat pundits and spokespeople have pivoted to, “it’s not a recession, it’s a transition.” They’re saying a transition from rapid growth to moderate, stable, sustained growth, but most people who are paying attention see it for what it really is: transition from prosperity to poverty.

  2. Cluster August 3, 2022 / 8:08 am

    Kari Lake and Blake Masters are winning in AZ over two establishment RINO’s. And Trump candidates won big in MO and MI. I like the trend lines.

    • Retired Spook August 3, 2022 / 11:10 am

      I sense two things going on simultaneously: (1) most polls are being manipulated to show Democrats MUCH stronger than they are (WRT Nov. 8th); and (2) establishment Republicans are working behind the scenes to undermine conservative candidates. I have to admit, I was getting suckered into a bit of apprehension until yesterday. Still no guarantee that the GOP won’t figure out a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in November.

    • Retired Spook August 3, 2022 / 3:25 pm

      Kari Lake has a 12,000 vote lead with 80% of the votes counted. Interesting that the top 3 Republicans garnered 120,000 more votes than the top 3 Democrats.

  3. Retired Spook August 3, 2022 / 11:53 am

    Another incumbent Republican Congressman who voted to impeach Trump, Peter Meijer (R – MI), lost his primary yesterday to former Trump administration official and Trump-endorsed John Gibbs. The purge is nearly complete. Two weeks from yesterday Wyoming Congresswoman, Liz Cheney will join that group.

    • Cluster August 3, 2022 / 2:00 pm

      MAGA is on a roll. And re: Kansas abortion; Democrats all of a sudden now support the decision to return it to the States lol. Maybe now they’ll stop trying to kill the Justices.

  4. Retired Spook August 5, 2022 / 10:16 am

    The Arizona GOP primary for governor was finally called for Kari Lake. You gotta love NBC’s objective headline.

  5. Retired Spook August 5, 2022 / 10:41 am

    Interesting dynamic at work WRT the economy. The July jobs report showed 528,000 new jobs, surprising most economists; the unemployment rate dropped from 3.6% to 3.5%. but the labor participation rate also dropped to 62.1, its lowest level of the year. The good news is that we’re finally back to pre-pandemic jobs numbers, so from now on the Biden Administration can say that new jobs have been created and actually be telling the truth. OTOH, there’s this, so……….

    • Retired Spook August 5, 2022 / 11:02 am

      As a side note, can you ever remember an economic report that DIDN’T surprise most economists? When begs the question, what are economists good for?

      • Cluster August 6, 2022 / 9:30 am

        I read a lot of these employment numbers are people getting part time jobs to make ends meet. These are not good paying full time jobs.

        On another note I have been meaning to mention all the panhandlers showing up in Phoenix lately, and they are obviously illegal immigrants. I stop and help out sometimes but it’s a growing problem and is making the city look like California – the Democrat hell state.

      • Retired Spook August 6, 2022 / 11:08 am

        If illegals are reaching the area around us (rural northeast Indiana) we aren’t seeing them, and panhandling is virtually non-existent. The unemployment rate in Whitley County where we live is 2%, gas is “back down” to $3.95/gal., and the grocery store shelves are full. There’s never been a time when I was more grateful to live where I live. Even the summer temperatures are relatively comfortable. While much of the country is sweltering, we’ve had a handful of days in the low 90s, but 90% of the days since memorial Day have been in the low to mid 80s. We had a ten-day stretch recently where every day was between 79 and 83.

      • Cluster August 6, 2022 / 1:22 pm

        Nice. The desert has been unseasonably cool too. Lots of rain and temps in the high 90’s for the most part. It’s usually around 120 lol.

      • Retired Spook August 6, 2022 / 4:37 pm

        Your humidity is a tad bit lower than ours. Dry heat as my brother-in-law (who lives in Sun City) says.

      • Amazona August 6, 2022 / 5:45 pm

        I’m watching the Florida weather, as I have never spent a winter there and am not sure of the best time to go. So far it’s been about 95/95, heat and humidity, with rain every afternoon, but I think when it drops to 90 or below I’ll give it a shot. Having 350,000 + remaining Frontier miles (it was my company card for a couple of decades) means I can fly for about $5.00 each way if I don’t take my cat, so I think I’ll check it out next week. The cat is $100 each way, which makes no sense as she fits under the seat where I would ordinarily put a bag.

        The idea was to spend winters in Florida and summers in “cooler” Wyoming but the only difference has been the humidity. It was another hot summer in the Rockies. But the Almanac says it will be a brutal winter up north so I won’t mind missing it. I’m getting the ’78 450SL ready to ship—it’s definitely a Florida car—and starting to figure out what to take to a house I have nearly furnished. It’s a big step but once I get a boat I think I’ll be happy I did it. I have a dock on a big canal full of fish and, I am told, dolphins though I haven’t seen any yet, and in a boat will be about 15 minutes from the Gulf. I am quite happy to turn my back on snow.

        And I have to say, I will like being in DeSantis Country. The last time I was there I did a little casual survey and everyone I found thinks he is wonderful. The trip before, I did run into a woman who hates Trump and is pretty sure Putin is responsible for everything, but I’m pretty impressed with the support DeSantis has. It looks like my friend Harriet Hageman is beating Cheney, which is great, and it should be an interesting political season.

        Remember when this blog got swamped with Lefty trolls, and we realized we were making some people twitch? Well, I am seeing the same thing in Wyoming, where the comments section of the Casper Star Tribune has become quite a target for radical Lefties. The thing is they all hate Wyoming, and several have admitted to not living here. But the level of loathing for Hageman now equals that for Trump—-actually, to these people there is no difference between the two. It’s just interesting to see the machine go into operation when the masters decide more voices have to be heard. I do have to wonder who came up with the strategy of a Wyoming campaign based on “I just can’t believe how stupid people in Wyoming are….”

  6. Amazona August 6, 2022 / 3:42 pm

    I’ve written here about a Denver experience a couple of months ago, when I saw a man lying in the small space between the left lane of I-25 and the median, while traffic whizzed past at more than 50 MPH. I immediately called 911.

    Well, I DIALED 911, eventually doing so on both of my phones. 20 minutes or so later I gave up. I am glad, SO glad, I sold my Denver house. I can’t imagine living in a city where it is impossible to call 911.

    • Cluster August 7, 2022 / 10:01 am

      Enjoy Florida, I do love the Tampa/Sarasota area. I am one of the many Americans now looking at retiring down in Mexico. La Paz to be specific. I have found some really nice condos starting around $150K and up. La Paz is an ocean side town NE of Cabo, very pretty and lots of ex pats. Plus the cost of living is ridiculously low so that’s where I will be in a few years. Viva la Mexico. I’m really losing interest in our war mongering, abortion loving, trans accepting country.

      • Amazona August 7, 2022 / 1:29 pm

        I found lots of places that seem nice, but most seem to offer nothing but warm weather, like the desert. If you don’t play golf or bridge, you don’t have a lot to do in most of these places. I checked out The Villages, but those communities didn’t seem like a good fit in spite of the 99% GOP voting record.

        I will be at Charlotte Harbor, the second largest bay on the west coast, just south of Tampa. There are two rivers flowing into the bay, wide flat and fairly slow rivers making them easy to navigate for fishing and fossil hunting, and the barrier islands of Captiva, Sanibel and Gasparilla protect the harbor from the worst of Gulf weather. My brothers went on a fishing charter off Baja and said the water was very rough and the fishing spotty, and I prefer the quieter water. As for the fishing, I’ve tried it twice and can see how people can get tired from catching so many. Last May, on my scouting expedition, I caught several of the usual fish—-snook and some mangrove snappers, which are the best tasting fish I have ever found—-and then hooked a tarpon. What a rush! I had no idea what I had or how to play it, but I used to catch 6-8 pound trout on 4 pound test line so I kind of had an idea. I lost it, of course, after about 15 minutes—-tarpon are notoriously hard to set a hook in even when you know what you are doing—-but that wildly running and leaping fish was quite a thrill. The people I have met there have been wonderful, and my new neighborhood is very welcoming and friendly.

        The distance from Wyoming is a little off-putting. I would like to get a dog, but I’ve always been a big dog person and that would mean driving 2000 miles twice a year. I used to think nothing of putting 8 horses in a trailer and heading to British Columbia for a horse show, so I’m not sure why I’m getting so wimpy about a much easier trip. I’ll get over it.

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