Stop the Steal Open Thread

Mark Noonan79 Comments

Well, Trump laid down the marker: he won and will win if all legal votes are counted. I think this is correct: to me, Trump not only won PA and AZ, he won MI and WI, as well. The sheer brazenness of the Democrat fraud here is astounding – they aren’t really trying to hide it, knowing as they do that the MSM will not show it to the Democrat base.

We’ll see how it comes out – it is an uphill climb for Trump as he has to get the fraud to stop long enough to certify the legal votes. This may go on for a while. Keep in mind as it goes on that you’re going to hear MSM reports and rumors – each and every one of them is a lie designed to get you to give up and then put pressure on Trump to quit. I’m sure they’ll have polls out soon showing that eleventy bazillion percent favor Trump conceding. I hope Trump wins – and some people think he will. I think the psychological turning point would be Arizona going for Trump. Right now, he’s behind there but he’s doing better than expected in the count and plenty are saying he should come out ahead there. The good news is that we’re having an honest count in Arizona – because, you know, it is run by Republicans.

Do now be swayed by network calls: nothing is for sure until the vote is certified. The calls of AZ for Biden and the House +5 for Democrats show how ridiculously the MSM is lying about things.

And that brings me to The Rest of the Story:

Tuesday was catastrophically bad for the Democrats. They failed in the Senate. They’ve already lost a net of ten House seats (so much for that D+5 call, huh?); they may end up with a majority of 219 or 220. There’s even a slight chance the GOP winds up with 218! And it is slight: don’t get your hopes up on that…but wouldn’t it be the most awesome thing in the world to take away Nancy’s gavel? Again! Democrats also got blown out in governorships and State legislative races: and this means the GOP has a huge advantage in the redistricting to take place next year…and we’ve got a 6-3 Supreme Court majority to ensure against Democrat court challenges. CA and NY are going to lose House seats next year – FL and TX will gain. Maybe 3 each! And we’re going to draw some nice, little districts to ensure they all go our way.

If the Democrats do manage to install Biden – whom I will never accept as the legitimate President – then we look forward to a crushing mid-term victory in 2022.

We’re watching to see who is in the fight – and one that I mark for the future is Richard Grenell. He’s been in this fight from the beginning. He doesn’t back down. He punches back twice as hard. And this Conservative Catholic may find himself gladly voting for the gay guy in 2024.

Pondering the Conservative Future

Mark Noonan63 Comments

As of this moment, Campaign 2020 is still up in the air and while we all hope and pray that Trump prevails over the Fraud, we still need to take a thought to the future regardless of how the campaign ends.

Trump did do some rather phenomenal things on Tuesday – increased his vote from 2016 by around 5 million votes, increased GOP numbers in the House and almost certainly held the Senate in a year when the map was unfavorable to the GOP. A lot of Trump’s message, then, resonated with the American people. If Biden gets in, it is with the most pathetic mandate in modern history – and a GOP Senate means no grand plans get enacted, at all. On the other hand, Biden is north of 70 million votes.

That’s a lot.

And while we don’t care about the national popular vote – because there isn’t such a thing – it does indicate that Trump was rejected by a very large segment of the American population. And we GOPers/Conservatives can’t forever assume we’ll get EC wins. We need to become more popular.

Over the years I’ve talked a lot about how things need to be looked at afresh: that the quiet dogmas of the past are not suited to the present moment. I believe that now this is just more true than ever. Unless we find it within ourselves to navigate ourselves to long-term power, we will eventually end up losing everything. Keeping the Senate means no packed Court and no Statehood for DC – but there will come a day when the entire government is in Democrat hands, and then all that will be done. The Left never forgets and never retreats: once they stake out a position, it becomes unalterable dogma, and it will be done, if they ever have the power to do so.

I think our first step is to state our ideals and rank them in order of importance. We need to know what we stand for, what is most important of what we stand for – and then decide what we’ll give up to keep what we think is most important. For me, it goes like this:

  1. The right to bear arms
  2. Freedom of conscience
  3. Freedom of association
  4. Property rights

Others may come up with different, or place them in different order. But my view is that if I have those four things, I am free and so content. I will put up with anything, as long as I have those four things. If I can defend myself, say what I wish, associate with whom I wish and own my property, I’ve got nothing to complain about. No level of taxation or regulation (as long as they aren’t designed to impinge upon the four) will bother me that much.

So, what next? Well, now I decide what I am willing to give in on in order to get a deal which secures the four. What I will write now is not definitive: merely examples of how such a thing might go.

Want single payer health care? Then let’s couple it with a law which says that after 20 years, a person’s primary residence is freed from all taxation.

Want Universal Basic Income? Then enact a law which prohibits employment discrimination based on viewpoint: that I can say whatever I want and associate with whomever I want outside the work environment and I can’t be fired for it.

Want free education? Sure: as long as it also includes trade schools and has an ironclad guarantee against viewpoint discrimination on campus.

See what I’m driving at? You and I know that single payer healthcare and UBI are drivel…but the bottom line is that a huge portion of our population wants Uncle Sugar to take care of them…and if we don’t do it, then the Left eventually wins and we get it, without getting any assurances for the things we care most about.

But the really crucial thing here is that by bending on some of these things, it will allow us to speak to the mindless Care Bears of the Suburbs and convince them that, hey, we care, too: so vote for us! Once we get the power, we give them their security blankie…while we keep the guns. It is, as far as I can tell, the only way forward for us in a United States of America. The only other path which doesn’t wind up with you and I in the Happy Fun Fuzzy Bunny Re-Education Camp is a national divorce – which I’m also willing to entertain.

That Didn’t Go As Hoped

Mark Noonan7 Comments

It does suck, doesn’t it?

Plus side: it looks like we’ve held the Senate, and that means that total disaster has been averted. They won’t get to pack the court and make DC a State.

Downside: we’re now in a fight to stop fraud long enough for Trump to get certified for 270. There are some bright spots: Team Trump seems very confident about Arizona and Pennsylvania. Get those two – and hold Georgia and North Carolina (which both look likely) and Trump is at 279. Team Trump has the lawyers and they are already going toe to toe with Team Biden (they’ve demanded a recount in Wisconsin already).

I really don’t know how this will turn out: I hope that Trump prevails, of course. But we know the Democrats are masters of fraud. So, buckle up!

Some bright spots:

Trump’s share of the non-white vote appears to be about 26%, the highest since 1960. 18% of black males voted for Trump. Trump is a refutation of the Democrat’s identity politics and we need to build on this. Push that to 30% and the Democrats don’t have a chance in national elections.

We blew the Democrats away in Florida – they were utterly crushed. Florida is a Red State. Pennsylvania is turning into a Red State. Though we hope Trump wins Arizona, we have to realize that it is turning Blue. What we should do is try to duplicate our efforts in Florida and Pennsylvania in other Blue States. It can be done. It may take years: but we have to do it. We can’t let the Democrats have a bunch of States where we can’t even try.

We picked up House Seats – and if Biden wins (shudder), we’ll blow the Democrats out of the water in the 2022 midterms.

Happy Election Day!

Mark Noonan31 Comments

How ya feeling? Everything cool?

Today is The Day: we find out soon enough how all this went.

Vent, scream, cheer all you want. Get it off your chest!

Governor Descantis thinks they’ll be able to call Florida for Trump by 9pm Eastern.

The Experts are now saying that the Landslide which will carry Biden triumphantly into the White House will be…290 Electoral Votes. They are counting on Biden winning PA and AZ.

Not quite sure I see that.

Anyways: have fun!

Pre-Election-Mageddon Open Thread

Mark Noonan53 Comments

As of this moment in time, I think that Trump has 258 locked down. That includes Florida. But I’m still leaving the upper Midwest in play, in spite of the astonishing crowds for Trump in Pennsylvania.

The bottom line is that I do expect Trump to win on Tuesday – and maybe a pretty big win. But there are so many unknowns that I think those confidently predicting final Electoral outcomes are getting a little ahead of themselves. The Democrats have their polls plus a theory that huge numbers of early voting GOPers are voting Biden. I have my confidence that the former are lies and the latter is drivel. The GOP has had large gains in voter registration in the past four years and these people signed up after Trump’s victory. They signed up for Trump. They won’t vote Biden. It think we lost 99% of the GOPers we were ever going to lose in 2016; those who voted Hillary or third party that year. Some of those voters are coming back to us: I can’t imagine a GOPer who voted Trump (other than Walsh, who is a grifter) being so disappointed in Trump that they’d vote Biden.

Trump seems geared up and happy while what I’ve seen of Biden is an angry, shouting old man. Biden can still barely draw flies while Trump gets 20,000+ to show…and that’s not counting things like the Jews for Trump rally in New York City today.

This is just not normal. The MSM is trying to ignore it or, when they do take note, downplay it. But I’m 55. I’m no spring chicken: I’ve never seen spontaneous demonstrations in favor of a political candidate in my life. I’ve doubly never seen them in places where their guy doesn’t stand a chance. We are told that people hate Trump – and he is despised by a large majority of Americans. This is the underlying theory of a Biden win. But for a guy who’s hated, he sure gets some love, doesn’t he?

I won’t even be tuning in to TV for the results – I just don’t want to put up with the mindless news actors and their paid-for “Experts”. I’ll be watching on line. I might tune into MSNBC as Trump nears 270 – but that will be for mere gloating purposes.

Now, to prepare for all eventualities: what if Trump loses? Well…I guess I’ll just keep on living and do my best to boot the Democrats in 2022 and 2024. What the heck else can we do, right? Going on a four year psychotic episode certainly doesn’t commend itself to me.

Trump lost Minnesota by about 45,000 votes in 2016: and there are some indications that this State might go his way. It didn’t even go for Reagan in 1984.

Space-X is sending four astronauts to the space station on November 14th. Why bring this up? Because Trump is returning the USA to space in a big way. Biden would probably have it back to conducting Muslim outreach again. Let’s re-elect Trump and have his name on the plaque left on the Moon when we return in 2024.

Open Thread

Mark Noonan61 Comments

Bobulinski pretty much settles it for me: Biden is bought. But, then again, we all knew that. Now we’re just sure who the purchaser is. This should finish Biden…but the MSM is working every button to suppress the story.

Twitter’s Jack Dorsey – looking like a young, hip lunatic – testified that he doesn’t suppress dissent…but he’s against misinformation. That misinformation doesn’t include Holocaust denial.

Forget it: we know what Jack and his crew are about: censoring views which the Left hates. They just don’t hate Holocaust denial as much as they hate, say, someone pointing out Hunter Biden’s laptop. If we win – as I expect – we’re going to have to turn the anti-trust screws on these people. Either all opinions are censored, or none are.

The Anonymous guy who wrote about how Evil Wicked Bad Trump is turns out to be a nobody who wouldn’t be in a position to know. The New York Times puffed this guy up as the be-all of whistleblowers…which indicates how much credence you should lend to the MSM’s anonymous sources.

Angela Merkel is doing an all-female reboot of the Third Reich.

At this point, the divergence between the anti-Trump and pro-Trump political analysis is at such a variance that it can only be explained by one side lying. I’ve seen Experts say that Biden is cruising to a landslide while other Experts are going, “you know, other than polls, everything points to a Trump win”. I happen to agree with those thinking Trump is winning – because we have data about votes and rallies and spontaneous pro-Trump actions. We find out in six days: but if the anti-Trump guys are wrong, then it wasn’t a mistake: it was a deliberate attempt to use lies to swing the election to Biden.

Don Surber gives a good explanation for while the pollsters are so willing to lie.

Open Thread

Mark Noonan51 Comments

It’s getting kinda exciting, isn’t it? Today, Sleepy Joe called at lid at 9am while Trump is doing rallies in Maine and New Hampshire. A CBS poll shows Biden up 3 in FL while a Trafalgar poll shows Trump up 2. The GOP seems to be crushing it in Texas early voting and doing remarkably well in early voting in Florida. The Democrats continue to show strength in early voting in Arizona while there was, I’m not kidding, a Gays for Trump rally in West Hollywood, California yesterday (it went for Hillary over Trump by 72 percentage points in 2016: this is the heart of the Blue Beast, folks: takes massive guts to even say you’re Republican there). There does appear to be more to come in the Hunter Biden scandal. How do I know? Twitter still has the NY Post’s account locked. How much of it drops before election day is the only mystery here.

The guys I follow for election analysis are uniformly confident of a Trump victory: the only difference between them is the predicted margin. They run from narrow to big wins. Who can really say? What we can say is that if you’re polling the same population and one of you gets A +3 and the other gets B +2…one of you is lying. And that is the tale of 2020, really: the mainstream polls and analysis are so entirely different from the outsider polls and analysis that either the mainstream or the outsiders are simply lying. We find out for sure on 11/3 who it is – though it should be noted that the mainstream has a track record of lying about everything. Small bit of data to indicate how things are going: this guy tracked Ohio votes in 2016 and now 2020 and says that Hillary was up 7.6 in 2016 at this point…but here in 2020, the GOP is up 4.5.

ACB is going to get confirmed to the Supreme Court Monday evening…and expect a lot of new and renewed GOP challenges to Democrat election shennanigans right after that. Senator Murkowski decided that, on the whole, she’d rather remain a Republican Senator and so will vote to confirm ACB. She must have got one heck of a blowback.

Jews for Trump: it is a thing.

We get this every four years: a Democrat saying that the GOP is doomed by demographics. In this case, it is now Gen Z which will do us in…does anyone want to tell this guy that the hippies of 1970 are now wearing MAGA hats? People change. Socialism seems a good idea to an ignorant 18 year old. Houses, kids, bills and taxes give you different priorities.

Robert Reich wants to drag all of us Trump voters before a Truth and Reconciliation Commission if Biden wins. Anyone want to tell him that he only gets to do that after his side wins a civil war?

Pennsylvania miners are still hurting, but they are voting Trump. This is likely because Trump doesn’t hold them in utter contempt.

Kanye West may be lots of things – but he’s also getting lots of things right. He’s pointing out the absolute, inhuman horror which is abortion in the black community. I have actually made a few Leftist friends of late – lost some of my older ones, as well. But it seems to me that there is a segment of the population, which might be growing, which is willing to re-establish basic sanity in our society. My view is that if anyone is coming forward with a sane proposal, from whatever background, we should listen.

Biden’s astonishing statement that he will phase out oil is causing downballot problems for Democrats. Out here, the big House race is NV03 where the Dem incumbent is locked in a furious race against her GOP challenger. The intensity of it is shown by the fact that her first series of ads were mere mudslinging at the GOPer. But here’s something she hasn’t said: “Joe Biden”. The GOPer gratefully accepted Trump’s ringing endorsement…but the Dem doesn’t seem to be too pleased to cling tight to Biden, whom the polls say is leading here. Odd, huh?

I feel good. But, it is all in God’s hands, anyways. Being that we’re now 9 days out and I’m Catholic, I’ve started a Divine Mercy novena. I think we’re going to win this – but, one cannot know the future. I think my best advice is just to have fun with it, now. All we get to do here is vote: once you’ve done that, you’re just a spectator to events.

Open Thread

Mark Noonan59 Comments

Still writing! Now up to 70,000 words on Shadow Army, what will be the fourth book (set six years after the end of the current adventure, which finishes in the nearly complete Battles). It is still just flowing out of me: or, more accurately, it is as if Fred were sitting next to me and telling me the story. And Fred is telling me some incredible things: can’t believe what our heroes had to go through!

Our Matt went to Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania yesterday – from Trump doubter to wearing a MAGA mask…and how many such are there in America? Could be a lot: and we won’t know, and no poll will detect it, until election day. Makes for an exciting time, doesn’t it?

ACB is now at 51% approval. Trump really knocked it out of the park on this one. We’ll see how she rules, of course: but I feel confident she’ll rule on the law…and that is all we really ask of Justices. If the law says “ok”, then it’s ok…if the law says “no”, then you can’t do it. Period. The performance of ACB, in my view, now makes it much harder for Democrats to pack the Court, supposing they win on the 3rd: outside Resist nitwits, no one will see the need for it.

Toobin’s little Zoom wank neatly encapsulates what is wrong: our Rulers are creeps and they are protected. Like the rest of them, he’ll be in the doghouse for a little while, and then he’ll be rehabilitated. And, now, even more screechingly leftist than before…he’ll have to be. The Family insists after they go to the mat for you. We really need to get rid of these guys. They can’t even maintain very basic levels of not decency, but common sense.

Ace talks up the MSM circling the wagons for Toobin…but also notes that National review is going to bat for him. Why? Because Toobin might be useful in getting the NR writers a job at some point. That is all any of this ever is, folks: these people want to make money in cushy jobs and live well and the rest of us can go jump in a lake.

How bad it the Hunter Biden scandal? Well, so bad that CNN is huffily demanding that Trump stop talking about it. And so bad that there might be much more that is much worse to come. And maybe much, much worse, as Matt points out.

The bottom line is that it is pretty clear at this point that Hunter Biden was doing a pay-for-play scam with his Dad. Hunter was raking in bucks – which he then used for hookers and blow – in return for getting people together with Joe Biden…but it can’t possibly end with that. You don’t give a druggie $3.5 million for an introduction. You might throw a few grand at someone who can get your foot in the door…but you only give $3.5 million to someone who did something for you. Hunter getting $3.5 million means that something very large happened and only Joe Biden could have made it happen.

The MSM is in full black out mode on this. They know that if it gets out in full, Joe will lose 10 percentage points of support overnight. This is why they are really pressing people to vote now – to the point where they seem to be merely cannibalizing their 11/3 vote…but they have to, because it is the only way to be sure that Biden (and down ballot Democrats) get those votes. I think we can rely on it, though, that Trump will bring it up at the debate…which for a large number of people, will be the first they’ve heard of it.

Bernie Bros for Trump? Might be.

RSM is doing another of his road trips: throw him a couple bucks if you can.

The Army is developing a cannon with a 1,000 nautical mile range. Yes, you read that right: 1,000. And this is making people think we can bring back the Battleship class in the Navy. I agree – and, in fact, I think we should do so even before this super-long range gun is ready. A large ship packed with big guns and lots of missiles is a mobile strike force that can be used with devastating effect against enemy coasts (and any enemy ships fool enough to get close). With modern technology, such a ship can probably be crewed by no more sailors than a modern destroyer. And once you add the long range gun, it becomes the Queen of the Seas.

Trump is Rolling

Mark Noonan99 Comments

How are things going? Who can really know, right? But yesterday morning I was sitting there for a moment and it rolled into my head that in the previous 72 hours, things had shifted heavily in Trump’s direction. And so I Tweeted just that:

Does it feel like momentum massively shifted to Trump in the past 72 hours? Because to me it feels like it has.

As of this moment, that Tweet – from my small account – has 3,038 likes and 538 Retweets. I’ve never had anything with that kind of activity before. It doesn’t have a hashtag to increase visibility; it isn’t in response to a big account; it hasn’t been Retweeted by any of the bigs. More than 75,000 people have seen it at this point.

Without the slightest doubt, Hunter Biden was running a pay-for-play scam: and with the knowledge and cooperation of his father, Joe Biden. In return for money to Hunter (some of which was apparently kicked back to Joe), Joe Biden would do things for people. But here’s the thing: this is common as mud. They’re all doing this, to one degree or another. Joe’s problem is that Hunter is a drug addict and so does enormously stupid things like forget his laptop. In additional stupidity, Hunter has pictures taken of himself passed out in the tub and then uploaded it to the laptop, along with other salacious pictures. Hunter is a moron. How bad is this? The DNC/MSM combine is running with the assertion that the whole thing was made up by the Russians to frame Hunter. The hole in the theory is that Joe and Hunter can’t explicitly deny what’s on the laptop because it is obviously Hunter’s. I would have loved to been on the phone call between Joe’s handlers and Hunter on Friday:

“Ok, Hunter, tell us: on a scale of 1 to Hillary tucking you in tonight, what’s on that laptop?”

Keep in mind that the FBI had Hunter’s laptop in December of 2019. That is before President Trump was impeached for essentially pointing out the corruption involving the Biden family. The FBI had this and kept it under wraps…lest it mess with the DNC/MSM Narrative. The FBI has to go. No, I don’t think most agents are straight shooters: if there was a single straight shooter in the FBI, this would have been leaked.

If Biden wins, then the people are ratifying all of this. They are approving of rank corruption and the deliberate cover up of same by the MSM and our law enforcement institutions. It will mean that the American people have decided that they prefer a lawless Ruling Class telling them when to wear a mask to liberty. So be it, if it comes out that way. But, I really do think the shift is on: and that Trump is rolling now (I’m mostly encouraged by early voting data in Texas and Michigan: and the fact that they are sending St. Obama to Philly to try and literally scare up black votes for Biden).

Europe is getting hit with another ‘Rona wave. But Sweden isn’t. Sweden didn’t lock down. Sweden seems to be pretty much over it. And for the past 50 years our Democrats have told us to be more like Sweden…but all of a sudden, Sweden don’t exist. Because it was the Swedes who reacted to the ‘Rona like normal people. The complete incompetence of most of the Global Ruling Class has been exposed during this time: they don’t know what the heck they are doing and when they make a decision, it makes it worse.

Islamist terrorism is less on our radar of late, mostly because of Trump’s successes against it, but it’s still out there. The most recent outrage was a French teacher being decapitated and our global MSM swung into action: blaming the teacher.

Three Weeks Left!

Mark Noonan56 Comments

If you need a poll to make you feel good, Zogby has it Biden +3 over Trump…which works out, at least, to an easy EC win for Trump. Zogby was pretty good in 2016: but I don’t trust any polls this year. Even if they are being honest, I really do think they are just missing some huge shifts in the electorate.

Keep in mind that Hillary only got about 340,000 fewer votes than Obama did in 2012 but this worked out to dropping the Democrat total from 51.1% to 48.2%. Trump got 2 million more votes than Romney, and that was all the difference because of who and where they were: white, working class voters in the Midwest. And sure they frauded up Hillary’s total, but they also frauded up Obama’s…so, it probably all worked out in the wash. The bottom line isn’t that Hillary did so bad, but that Trump did so good. The joker in the deck for 2020 is can Trump add black and Latino working class votes to his white working class total? There are some indications he is: but it doesn’t show up in the polls. If Trump can push his African-American vote north of 10% and get near or over 40% of the Latino vote, this could end up being quite a different election than anyone expects.

Another unknowable is that in 2012, about 2.2 million third party ballots were cast but it rocketed up to 7.7 million in 2016. Those 5.5 million votes: where do they go? If its about 50/50, then it doesn’t matter. But if its 60/40 for one over the other, it could be decisive. They didn’t vote Trump in 2016 because they just couldn’t go there – but they also rejected Establishment Hillary. Do they now go, “I guess the Establishment is great” or “well, Trump turned out to not be nearly as bad as I thought he’d be”? If I had to bet, I ‘d bet the latter. Especially as I’ll bet of the 5.5 million extra votes, a huge majority were traditional GOP votes – some are now gone forever because of the evolution of Never Trump to I’m a Democrat has been completed. But how many? There is no way to know – and, once again, this probably won’t show in polling.

Voter registration trends have been remarkable, and almost all in the GOP’s favor. We’ve probably lost Colorado and Virginia for a generation or more, but trends indicate we may be on the way to locking down Florida, North Carolina and Ohio while making deep inroads in Pennsylvania and holding our own in Arizona (for a while there, AZ voter trends were against the GOP…but the past 18 months or so have seen a resurgence of the GOP so we’re now back to par for 2016). As for early voting and VBM: I’ve seen this and that. Most of what I’ve seen indicates some good news for the GOP…but I place small weight on it: just because a ballot was returned by a person of a particular party, doesn’t mean it’s going your way.

And that is another thing which I think the pollsters are missing: the number of Democrats who are now functional Republicans. Voter registration trends indicate that people are far more switching GOP to Dem than Dem to GOP…but not everyone is going to bother themselves to switch registration, especially if there isn’t an intense primary battle to be fought. Just because a State has a Dem voter advantage of, say, 200,000 doesn’t mean you’ve got that many Democrats. You’ve just got a lot of people who haven’t bothered to make it official. But their returned VBM ballot goes into the Democrat pile…until it is opened and counted.

Trump, himself, seems to be in a good mood. His team exudes confidence. OTOH, Team Biden is floating Hillary for SecDef and Cuomo for AG – measuring the drapes, as it were. Or just trying to score some excitement in a flailing campaign? I don’t really know. Biden’s campaign is ridiculous: he’s clearly too old for it. He could get bigger crowds, of course: but that means more advance planning and that means he’s committed to be there…but if he’s sundowning just before showtime, it would be a disaster to have 10,000 people waiting for a guy who either can’t show, or shows up clearly senile. So, small venues and only little advance notice (one of his events in Arizona literally had no one show up for it). If Biden wins, it means that a massive campaign of lies can get just about anyone the Ruling Class wants over the top: this would bode ill for our chances long term.

Biden won’t be forced out right away if he wins, by the way: not if Harris has anything to say about it. She’ll want it as soon as possible, but she’ll also want two terms for herself: and that means Joe goes in January (highly unlikely) or Harris waits until January 21st, 2023 (a VP taking over for less than two years of a term is still eligible to be elected twice). No one can move against Joe unless Harris signs off on it: that is the way the 25th is written. VP can’t do it alone, but no one can do it without VP. So, Joe wins and it becomes Harris’ decision on when to act…unless Joe dies. But as long as he isn’t dead, they’ll keep him in there until Harris is ready and all deals have been cut.

Will they pack the courts? Only if they also get the Senate and even a Trump loss doesn’t ensure that. Everyone has signed off on the GOP losing CO and AZ while the GOP gains Alabama: net loss of one and the Democrats need two more. They’re making their play in ME, AK, SC and NC for those seats. I doubt they’ll win any of them. OTOH, there is the outside chance the GOP holds on in AZ and maybe even scores a miracle win in MI. Be that as it may: no Senate, no packing. If they get the Senate, they will try: but the move is unpopular and the GOP will fight tooth and nail to prevent it: this is something even the Establishment squishes would go to the mat on. OTOH, a Majority Leader Schumer has a Dem-friendly map for 2022; only three Democrat seats will be at any risk. But if the Senate is 51-49 come January, which Democrat walks the plank to pack the courts? In other words: packing is more easily said than done.

Now, to end on a high note: suppose Trump wins? It means that for the next four years Trump will continue to deregulate and will have years where he can weed out the worst of the bureaucrats: that is the most important thing he can do. It rolls back Democrat power and allows our side to compete on a more level playing field. And we’ll need that: if Trump wins, then we’ll have to do one of the hardest things in American politics: win three in a row in 2024. It rarely happens. It rarely happens even when the economy is good and the incumbent is popular. In recent times, only Reagan managed to pull it off. Clinton, Bush and Obama all failed to install their chosen successor into office. The person the Dems will nominate in 2024 will be very far left – and so we’re going to be against the wall trying to stop it: getting rid of backstabbers in DC will help us a lot.

Anyways: be of good cheer! God actually gets to decide how things turn out in the long run.