From CNBC:
U.S. employment growth ground to a halt in June, with employers hiring the fewest number of workers in nine months, dousing hopes the economy would regain momentum in the second half of the year.
Nonfarm payrolls rose only 18,000, the weakest reading since September, the Labor Department said on Friday, well below economists’ expectations for a 90,000 rise.
The unemployment rate climbed to a six-month high of 9.2 percent, even as jobseekers left the labor force in droves, from 9.1 percent in May…(emphasis added)
So, if the BLS hadn’t removed as many workers from the labor force this past month, it would have shot up even higher. I do believe the data is being manipulated – not to the point of outright lie, but to the point of getting the rosiest data possible. After all, the number of people who leave the labor force every money is really not known – experts estimate and there are probably several sets of estimates. My bet is that among the various estimates the BLS is pulling out those that make it look best. Imagine how it would look otherwise – I think that unemployment would be closer to 12% right now.
Aside from that, no matter how you slice it the economy isn’t recovering. In fact, a strong case can be made that we’re already back in to recession it just hasn’t shown in the data. But even if we are not and will not fall in to official recession, the economy simply is not doing well. In order to get unemployment just down to 8% by November of 2012 will take a net gain of a couple hundred thousand jobs per month between now and then…anyone out there see that happening?
In other news, a top Obama adviser is asserting that people won’t care about unemployment in 2012…
UPDATE: From Mish – “unmitigated disaster“.
UPDATE II: More from Mish –
…Digging deeper into the Household Survey, we see some more interesting data. In the last year, the civilian population rose by 1,799,000. Yet the labor force dropped by 263,000. Those not in the labor force rose by 2,063,000.
Last month the labor force rose by 272,000. This month the labor force fell by 272,000. How’s that for symmetry?…
Symmetry? More like bull.

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