Charles Hurt thinks the tax deal has finished Obama’s chances of being re-elected:

…At first glance, last night’s compromise decision puts Obama on firmer ground for his re-election bid two years from now because it moves him toward the middle.

But in truth, he may have sealed his fate as a one-term president.

In recent days as the White House and Democrats signaled that the compromise to extend the Bush tax cuts was in the offing, the liberal coalition that carried Obama into the White House began falling apart.

The left is apoplectic that their savior would turn around on them and adopt Bush’s most “draconian” tax policies that “only favor the rich.”

If they were frustrated before, now they are palpably angry and publicly voicing their disillusionment with Obama…

We might get a couple liberals going on the ranch over this but I don’t think this, long term, jeopardizes Obama’s support in the liberal base. One must keep in mind how utterly servile most liberals are.

Remember how forceful the gay rights activists were? Nothing could stop them – they were queer and here and weren’t going away. But when Bill Clinton betrayed them on gays in the military, what did they do? They backed his re-election effort and have remained loyal lap dogs of the Democrat party.

Remember how strong the feminists were? They weren’t going to take any sexist guff from anyone. When even the mildest accusation of sexual impropriety was leveled against a powerful man, they were all over him and hounded him until he was out of office. But when people like Ted Kennedy and Bill Clinton used and abused women on a regular basis, what did they do? Back them to the hilt – and they, too, remain loyal lap dogs for the Democrat party.

There is no independent thought on the left – there are talking points, endlessly parroted. There is no grass roots on the left – just paid and organized pressure groups. There is no fearless going where ever conviction leads – just a supine desire to be “in” with the leadership, where ever it goes.

No, Obama isn’t losing his base. Come 2012, they’ll all come home – because that is what they’ll be told to do. One or two might break off, but the overwhelming bulk will be “baa” upon command. This doesn’t mean Obama will win – just having the liberal base won’t be enough – but it does mean that we can’t take it for granted that Obama will have any problem locking down his core supporters. He won’t – a united left will confront us in 2012 and that is what we should plan for.

The Revolution spreads – from Fox News:

Adding insult to injury for their party, at least 13 Democratic state lawmakers have joined the Republican ranks since Election Day — deepening GOP gains and in one case handing the party the state House majority.

Democrats in five states have switched parties since Nov. 2, citing concerns about the economy and the political leanings of their constituents. The defections are a troubling sign for state Democratic operations clinging to life following their election drubbing. Though Republicans’ congressional gains drew more attention, the party picked up more than 675 seats at the state level last month and in some cases took over entire state capitals…

There will be, I bet, more to come on this – including the possibility of some House Democrats switching (and I bet we’ve got a 50/50 shot at poaching Manchin from the Democrats as 2012 approaches – he’s got to run again that year, his State is increasingly GOP and there at very strong chance the GOP will take the Senate in 2012, even if Obama is re-elected…unless he wants to be an unpopular-with-the-caucus, center/right Democrat back-bencher, he’s going to have to make a move). Outside of the liberal bastions, there is just not much to say for being a Democrat – I mean, come on, if you’re a House Democrat, you have to carry the albatross of Pelosi in to 2012…what’s your promise going to be? Vote for me, and I’ll help Nancy back in to the Speaker’s chair?

We’ve been talking of realignment to the center/right since 1980 – and we’re finally at the point where we can make it happen. If we don’t blow it, that is. And let’s remember that we are Republicans – and not called “the stupid party”, for nothing. Vigilance and force are going to be needed to keep our leaders from botching the job.

From Zero Hedge:

The inevitable moment for the Wikileaks founder has arrived: the Telegraph is reporting that Julian Assange will hand himself in to police – possibly as early as Tuesday – after a fresh European Arrest Warrant was issued by the Swedish authorities. “Mr Assange is expected to voluntarily attend a police station within the next 24 hours, and will then appear in a magistrates’ court. He is wanted over allegations of sexual assault in Sweden.”…

Some are calling Assange a hero. Others a terrorist. Many seem pretty indifferent. My view: he’s a man who did a dumb thing, and likely did it for fame and money.

Its like this – governments, believe it or not, don’t just keep secrets in order to screw the people (though, of course, they do a lot of that, too). Some times things are secret because they actually need to be. It is hard to sift out when government is keeping proper confidences, and when it is just covering up embarrassing facts. The way we differentiate is by an MSM which actually investigates (and, unfortunately, most of the MSM doesn’t do that – and not just because a Democrat is President…even when they were hammering President Bush, they were doing it essentially via press releases from kook leftist, hate-Bush groups) and a Congress which conducts genuine oversight (also pretty absent of late). I know that we have a weakness here – but, even so, the way to correct the weakness is not to allow some darned fool of a Pfc to hand over our nation’s secrets to a man on the make.

Everything seems to be out there, now. We can’t really place a limit and say, “well, they got all this, but all that is still secure”. Our assumption has to be that our enemies – all of them, everywhere – know our deepest secrets. Now, we’ve presumptively plugged the leak and so from this point forward we can have a bit of safety – but everything we’ve been up to and are currently doing is now known, in whole or in part, by everyone. This is gigantically damaging to the United States and the world – for each bit of “got you, ya SOB” we’ve learned from Wikileaks about our government there is at least one bit of “wow, we didn’t want the enemy to know that”, as well. We’ll be years recovering from this – compared to this, the Rosenberg’s giving Stalin the atomic bomb was small beans. And we executed the Rosenbergs for that, you’ll want to recall.

We cannot allow that a person who has no responsibility for events to release data. It is time to rally ’round the President and the country on this one, boys and girls – we must crush the people who did this and ensure strongly against a repeat. Death, once upon a time, was the usual fate of the traitor (Manning) and the spy (Assange) – we might not want to go that far (though a strong case can be made for shooting the former and hanging the latter), but we definitely want them to feel so much heat that the next couple cretins who think along these lines will think again.

My dad, some time before he died, told me that he was actually sent out – as a teenage boy – rifle in hand to guard the beaches of Los Angeles. It really seemed that bad at the time – the attack was so sudden and so devastating that the Japanese seemed capable of anything.

That entire generation is now passing away – the youngest of them are in their 80’s; soon, they will all be gone. Take time to remember them, this day.

From the Wall Street Journal:

President Barack Obama reached agreement Monday with Republican leaders in Congress on a broad tax package that would extend the Bush-era income tax cuts for two years, reduce worker payroll taxes for one year and give more favorable treatment to business investments…

It is that bit about the payroll taxes which is the worrisome bit. You see, it is pure Keynesianism – a move designed to spur consumption as a means to get unemployment down. Like all Keynesian proposals, it won’t work – all it will do is add to the debt, and this time by cutting directly in to the already tenuous solvency of Social Security.

It will, of course, be good politics. Just extend the Bush tax cuts and you really don’t get much mileage out of it – no one will notice because tax rates will merely remain as they are. Cut the payroll tax and, presto!, everyone who works gets a fatter paycheck. Trouble is that this will be a direct cut to revenues which means, while we’re massively in deficit spending, it will trigger more borrowing (if, on the other hand, we really had a trust fund and the money was just going in to a bank account – as it were – then temporarily cutting the payroll tax wouldn’t be that bad….but we’re already spending every dime of the trust fund, aren’t we?). We’ll be borrowing more money from China just to keep things going as they are.

This is not a good idea, and I’m a bit upset that my GOP fell for it (probably unthinkingly – we got the Bush cuts extended, and here’s another tax cut…no one, I’m sure, thought this all the way through). It is a time for fiscal discipline – technically, it would be a good idea to reduce income taxes even more, but it can’t be sustained while our government is functionally bankrupt. The reason I wanted the Bush rates extended is because failure to do so would certainly have pushed us back in to full blown recession. Going for happy, feel good tax gimmicks is just not the way to go.

So, I feel half delighted at this – glad we dodged the tax increase bullet, dismayed that we clearly have not learned the lesson of the last five years.

25 statistics about unemployment which will really wreck your day. So, you’ve been warned.

The wrong DREAM.

Everything sucks and it’s still all Bush’s fault. Kathleen Parker says so. What do you think – they might give the “it’s Bush’s fault” meme a rest by, say, 2020?

No, General Petraeus won’t resign. That is good – we need at least one smart guy in proximity to President Obama.

Sarah Palin takes on PETA.

Ted Turner figures that Obama was wrong to press ObamaCare; what he should have done was go after global warming! Some people really do seem to get dumber all the time…this the guy who owns 2 million acres of land and wants everyone poorer than him to limit themselves to two children because profligacy will kill us all…

Because, if you’re a liberal, you can never get too much death and despair in to your policies:

A pro-life organization that monitors end-of-life issues is worried the infamous “death panels” have been added back into the implication of the controversial ObamaCare health care law…

…Last Monday, The Federal Register (page 73406) published a new funding rule for “voluntary” advance care planning consultations that changes Department of Health and Human Services regulation pertaining to Medicare and Medicaid patients, the group explains.

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), headed by rationing advcoate Donald Berwick, finalized its 2011 Medicare Physician Fee Schedule and rules implementing key provisions of the ObamaCare law. The final update adopts without change CMS’ proposed elements of the first and subsequent wellness visits; however, CMS added voluntary advance care planning as a new element to these annual visits…

The problem? This may be combined with legislative efforts being pressed by the assisted-suicide people to insert such things in to the health care law. There is a two-pronged effort here – those who want to have, eventually, a single-payer plan know that if they don’t off people before their time the whole system will rapidly go bankrupt. In addition to these bureaucratic merchants of death there are those depraved people who feel that suicide is a reasonable solution to life’s difficulties. A twisted alliance is formed, and they will continue to press their case.

This is why I insist upon no truce in social issues. They, on their side, will never back down. It doesn’t matter what else may happen, those who are determined to destroy Judeo-Christian morality will just keep at it. They do so because they have convinced themselves that it must be done – not that its something you may want, but that it must be done. Personally, I think this stems from people who have gone so far in to immorality that they really think that evil is good – but regardless of what motivates them, they will continue to act as if the fate of the world depended upon the destruction of all that is decent and true.

As I’ve said, for right now economic and fiscal issues must take center stage. If we don’t get our financial house in order, all other American issues become moot. But we can never let up on the social issues – vigilance and, at times, a sharp counter-attack will be necessary just to maintain the status quo while we get our finances in order.

You know that big, yellow thingy in the sky? Well, looks like it might play a roll in earth’s climate – from The Sun:

…To simplify, the basis of his theory seems to be sunspot activity, or rather the lack of it. Sunspots are dark, cooler patches on the sun’s surface that come and go in cycles.

They were absent in the 17th century – a period called the “Maunder Minimum” named after the scientist, Edward Maunder, who spotted it. Crucially, it has been observed that the periods when the sun’s activity is high and low are related to warm and cool climatic periods. The weak sun in the 17th century coincided with the so-called Little Ice Age. The Sun took a dip between 1790 and 1830 and the earth also cooled a little. It was weak during the cold Iron Age, and active during the warm Bronze Age…

Its already been an extraordinarily cold fall for us here in southern Nevada. While, of course, the UK and northern Europe have been quite wintry, without any winter actually arriving, yet.

The bottom line is that it looks as though the largest thing in the solar system – the thing which emits huge amounts of energy which makes life possible – may actually determine if its going to be hot or cold here on earth. You might have noticed this from time to time. Like when we tilt on our axis and less sun gets here in the north, it gets cold…and then when we tilt back the other way and get more sun, it gets hot. Also, you might recall that it tends to be a bit more chilly on the cloudy days (when the sun doesn’t hit the surface, much) than on sunny days.

At the end of the day, there are so many variables in what determines the mean temperature of earth that to suppose one item – for which humans only provide a tiny increment – could trump all other things is just absurd. Its amazing that anyone bought it – but when you have a massive propaganda campaign from people who want to steal power and/or wealth, strange things can happen…like a dimwit, former VP getting an Oscar and a Nobel Prize.

From AP:

Less than a year ago, struggling states and coastal towns saw crude exploration off the Gulf Coast and Atlantic seaboard as economic salvation.

Yet the backlash from the BP oil spill — most recently the Obama administration’s decision this week not to open up some of that area to new drilling — has residents wondering if the industry will ever thrive again in U.S. waters.

Some fear an exodus of oil rigs in search of friendlier waters overseas. And with each passing day, folks that rely on deepwater drilling say the damage is multiplying, creating a ripple affect from blue-collar Main Street to beachside drives. They warn it will only get worse…

Naturally, as this is an MSM story, it has to do something for Obama – so, they talk up how no off shore oil drilling will help tourism; essentially trying to slip in the concept that tourism will get better because of the ban on off shore oil drilling. This is absurd because tourism won’t get any better – at best, it will stay the same. More importantly, tourism cannot replace the production of wealth. A few business well-placed for people to visit the beach will be ok, but unless you have an economy making, mining and growing things, you’ve got nothing…the economic heart is being cut out of the Gulf.

Obama, however, just doesn’t care – he won’t win a single State along the Gulf coast in 2012, knows it, and so is playing up to the environmentalist vote in New York and California. Hard working people can just get stuffed – Obama needs to please well-heeled, environmentally conscious, liberal voters. And that is how Obama’s America works – a place where pure, political calculation to advance a liberal agenda is all that matters.