The Post-Hope and Change World

Victor Davis Hanson notes the darkening scene:

…But it is in the Pacific where we may well see the most dramatic changes of American withdrawal. Insidiously, the Chinese are translating their formidable financial power into a new muscular military profile. North Korea is as crazy as ever. The proverbially terrorized shop-keeper in the region thus does not know where to turn—to the mostly absent cop on the beat dreaming of his union pension, or the young thugs who demand protection money or else.

The result is that Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines have one eye on China, and one on Washington—and therefore are increasingly terrified. One of three things will happen: our shaky allies will demand a higher U.S. profile in the region, and new assurances of safety under the U.S. nuclear umbrella (all quite unlikely); or they will go nuclear and, unlike North Korea, their missiles will work like Camrys and Kias; or they will make face-saving accommodations with the Chinese that will result in a new version of the old Co-Prosperity Sphere (China 2011 reminds me a lot of Japan 1935).

Right now, I could not imagine that anyone in Taiwan would believe the Obama administration would say or do anything should Chinese ships tomorrow show up a mile off the Taiwanese coast—but could envision the most eloquent speech why Taiwan must inevitably rejoin communist China. Indeed, Obama would call on both sides for restraint, while chewing out the Taiwanese for provoking the Chinese, while working out a “balanced” deal that ceded Taiwanese waters to China—until the next incident.

In short, we will be back soon to about 1937. The old rules are disappearing. All that we await for is some audacious trouble-maker to make perfectly clear that there are no such rules…

There will be a World War Three, you know?  It will probably be launched by China, but it could also be triggered by some darn fool thing done by Russia, Iran or Egypt.  The bottom line is that we are returning to international anarchy as Obama’s weakness and our massive debt convince more and more of the global players that we are off the board.  The global school master is out on break…and now the delinquents have their chance.

There is a cold, hard fact of life that our liberals – like Obama – simply do not grasp:  human nature does not change.  Not ever.  The wars and cruelties of the past and present are not an unintentional result: they are the result of what people desire.  When anyone out there in the world desires something they do not merit people will suffer – in greater or lesser degree, but they will suffer.  Naturally, the more powerful the evil-doer, the more suffering caused.  No matter what situation you create, no matter how hard you try to be just and merciful, the nature of mankind ensures that some people will simply reject the path of righteousness…some people simply from base motives will act badly, and thus there will be horrible things happening.

This rather bleak fact of life should turn all those of good will towards those practical policies which will avoid or ameliorate the effects of evil.  Not get rid of it – we can’t do that – but reduce the frequency of evil, and the damage done by it.  An attitude of careful saving against a rainy day, of insisting upon everyone pulling their own weight, of providing and maintaining a very strong military force…this is what is needed to navigate a world in which some are out to do wrong.  At bottom it is a recognition of duty and an understanding that you simply will not get everything you want…because you have onerous duties to perform, there simply won’t be enough time or resources for every pleasure and whim which seizes your mind, even if some of them are of quite admirable intent.

Because we undercut the last President and then elected a complete fool as his successor, the United States is rapidly weakening – not so much in actual power, but in the perception of American power.  This will touch off a scramble among the ill-disposed to grab as much as they can while the getting is good.  Those who are wicked are preparing – building up armed forces, undermining targeted States and powers, preparing the global stage for their nefarious designs.  This will eventually lead to war on a grand scale – a war which we will fight, and we will win (truly, the power of the United States is functionally limitless and far more than any other power can marshal).  But I don’t think after this next big war that we’ll go back as we did after the two previous World Wars and the Cold War.  No, I think that those who will sustain the United States and carry us through to victory will insist upon some significant changes.

I don’t see a future America pouring out its treasure to rebuild enemy States.  I don’t see America tying itself to corrupt international bodies.  I don’t see, in domestic affairs, a “well, hey, we did all the fighting – but don’t you who stayed home worry about it, we don’t mind all the suffering we went through” attitude.  I see in that portion of America (probably still a majority, but controlling no matter what by simple willingness to put duty first) demanding that we end this charade…this fool’s bargain where we pretend that those who don’t work are worthy of endless support; where those who don’t serve in the military are as patriotic as those who do; where those who whine loudest get the most.  A new bargain will be struck, where those who do the work and shed the blood are given precedence over those who don’t.

False ideas can get a lot of traction and go very far, but because they are false they are doomed to fail.  For a century now we have been living in an Age of Lies…an age of con artists.  That age is coming to a close – a new age dawns.

Are We Approaching Obama’s “Killer Rabbit” Moment?

Larry Sabato is waiting for it:

In a Tweet no president could love, political analyst and University of Virginia professor Larry Sabato, raises the specter of yesteryear, and not in a good way.

“And Obama? POTUS looks weak, irrelevant, Carter-ized–at least for now. Any day, I expect him to be attacked by a killer rabbit.”

When Larry Sabato sees a killer rabbit looming ahead, the White House should be worried.

For you youngsters out there, the “killer rabbit” was a rabbit which attacked Jimmy Carter in 1979 and became part of the Carter legend…it just crystallized a growing American conviction that Carter wasn’t in any way, shape or form fit to be President of the United States..  As Obama has tended to follow the Carter model, we can only expect such a thing to happen, soon.  Our only worry is that we’ll also land in a “Hostage Crisis” event, as well.

Global Warming Hoax Update

From James Taylor of Forbes:

NASA satellite data from the years 2000 through 2011 show the Earth’s atmosphere is allowing far more heat to be released into space than alarmist computer models have predicted, reports a new study in the peer-reviewed science journal Remote Sensing. The study indicates far less future global warming will occur than United Nations computer models have predicted, and supports prior studies indicating increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide trap far less heat than alarmists have claimed.

Study co-author Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville and U.S. Science Team Leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer flying on NASA’s Aqua satellite, reports that real-world data from NASA’s Terra satellite contradict multiple assumptions fed into alarmist computer models…

Which is, of course, entirely unsurprising.  But we should also keep one thing in mind – this past ten years has been the first time we’ve ever gathered in a systemic manner data on the global climate.  In other words, only just now are we developing sufficient information to test climate theories.  For all we know, maybe the world really is warming up – but it could also be relatively stable, or even cooling.  Until we have sufficient data, we simply will not know.

But that didn’t stop con artists like Al Gore and the rest of the global warming alarmists.  There was money to be made and power to be seized and, so, with their “settled science” they set about scaring the world and raking in the bucks.  We really should see  if there is any way we can criminally prosecute Gore and the rest over this – or at least work up a class action civil suit to get back from them all the money they’ve made off this scam.

This has been one of the most shameful things ever done – a gigantic mis-allocation of resources which could have been used to genuinely improve the environment.  Think of all the species protection, reforestation, clean up and other environmental actions which could have been done with the money thrown down the global warming rat hole.  Learn the lesson of this – never trust anyone who comes to you with an end of the world theory…anyone who says we’ve got “X” number of years to fix things in the environment or we’ll all die is a con artist, plain and simple.

Obamunism! 1.3% 2nd Quarter “Growth”

From Reuters:

The U.S. economy came perilously close to flat-lining in the first quarter and grew at a meager 1.3 percent annual rate in the April-June period, leading economists to warn of recession if a stand-off over U.S. debt does not end quickly.

The Commerce Department data on Friday also showed the current lull in the economy began earlier than had been thought, with the growth losing steam late last year.

That raised questions on the long held view by both Federal Reserve officials and independent economists that the slowdown in growth this year was mostly due to transitory factors.

The U.S. economy in the first quarter expanded at just a 0.4 percent pace…

And here’s the kicker – if they revised Q1 from 1.9% to 0.4% growth, what do you think will be the likely outcome when they revise Q2’s 1.3% growth?  There is, of course, chance that later revisions will be upwards, but I doubt that anyone would make a bet on that happening.  Revisions of late have tended towards worse news – so I think we all know there the Q2 revisions are heading.

Do any of you liberals out there need any more proof that Obamunism! is a failure?  That you can’t borrow and print your way to wealth?  If any of you liberals are unwilling to admit defeat, what I’d like to hear is just how much more money you think we should print and borrow…what is the magic figure which will certainly grow the economy?

UPDATE:  Except for the Republican governed States, we’d probably already be in recession.

A Fight to the Debt

I’ve just got to put a “wow” in here – never thought it would come out quite like this.

Here we are at the (fake) 11th hour and the whole thing is turning on just how much conservatism/libertarianism the TEA Party can squeeze in to the Boehner plan before he presents it to the House.  Oh, that is not what the MSM narrative is?  Also not what RINOs are saying?  You mean it isn’t what well paid, insider pundits (right and left) are saying?  Of course its not – because all of these simply don’t understand the nature of a  revolutionary political epoch.   That is what this is, good people…and remember that it is a truism of revolutionary movements that they usually appear a second away from defeat right before their overwhelming triumph.

Some version of the Boehner plan will pass the House – later today or tomorrow.  This is because something has to pass…and if Reid and his Democrats then carry out their threat and vote it down, then it puts the ball squarely in their corner.  If Reid kills it a couple days before the Democrats’ manufactured deadline, then it will be up to them to come up with an alternative which can pass the House.  (UPDATE:  I caught of bit of Reid on the Senate floor…”come on, Republicans, come in to my office and tell what parts of my bill you’ll sign on to, then I’ll bring it to a vote”…he is very much afraid of having a vote on a revised Boehner plan) And the House GOP is right now indicating just how conservative/libertarian the final result had better be, or it won’t be the final result.

Some say they are worried – worried that this horrific, inhuman and un-American standing on constitutional principals will weaken the GOP in 2012 and hand victory to Obama.  As far as absurd political prognostication goes, I’ve never heard anything worse.  For goodness sake, has anyone been paying attention to Obama’s “Strongly Disapprove” number?

43% “strongly disapprove” of how he’s doing his job.  This is not a man who is carefully threading his way through political crisis and making his opponents look bad.  The TEA Party cannot hand Obama the White House in 2012…every time the TEA Party acts up, Obama’s favorability craters.  The only thing which can save Obama now – other than a miraculous turn-around in the economy – is a GOP cave-in on spending.  If that happens, the TEA Party goes home or votes Third Party. As long as the GOP doesn’t cave, the TEA Party remains with it.  If the Boehner plan is not good enough for the TEA Party, it means Boehner had better make it so – it most emphatically does not mean make it least acceptable.

As I said yesterday, I think we should just pass the Boehner bill – it is good enough for me.  Clearly, though, a strong part of the GOP is not pleased with it.  So, make ’em pleased.  Remember what they are ultimately after – cuts significant enough to stave off national bankruptcy.  It isn’t TEA Party firmness which is threatening us with default, but Democrat profligacy and RINO wobbliness…it isn’t less spending which will push us over the edge, but more spending.  The TEA Party is 100% right, even if a little unrealistic about what can be accomplished while Obama is in the White House and Reid runs the Senate.

So, let’s have this fight – keep going; shout it out, TEA Partiers.  Don’t let the SOBs grind you down.  Get more conservatism/libertarianism in that bill…whatever amount it takes to get Boehner to 217 votes.  And then just watch our liberals fall apart as they are starkly forced to either pass the TEA Party-supported bill, or fail to avert the “default” they say is coming next Tuesday.

UPDATE:  Iowahawk has some Twittable thoughts on what will happen if we don’t raise the debt ceiling:

Beltway policy experts begin living by own wits; after 45 minutes there are no survivors…

…Breadlines teeming with jobless Outreach Coordinators, Diversity Liaisons, and Sustainability Facilitators…

…Without college loan program, America loses an entire generation of Marxist Dance Theorists…

Eurozone Crisis Watch

Italian bond prices movin’ on up – from the BBC:

Italy has had to pay much more to borrow than a month ago as investors continue to worry about its huge debts.

Italy had to pay an interest rate of 4.8% to sell 3.5bn euros ($5bn; £3.1bn) of three-year bonds – up 1.1 percentage points from June.

Despite multiple attempts to contain the Greek debt crisis spreading, Italy and Spain have seen their borrowing costs rise in recent weeks.

Italy has the largest sovereign debt of any European country…

They can keep plugging the leaks.  They can keep on printing Euros to buy worthless “PIIGS” bonds.  They can razzle and dazzle and have conference after conference – but at the end of the day, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain owe more than they can ever possibly repay.  Default is inevitable.  Wiser heads are now just looking for the safest place to crash the plane…because crash it must.

Debt is poison – and piling on more debt to discharge old debt is economic suicide.  Keep that in mind as our Democrats try to sucker us in to believing that the only way we can avoid default is to go further in to debt.

The Company the Kook Left Keeps

From Raw Story:

Pfc. Nasser Abdo, the 21-year-old soldier arrested Thursday in connection with an alleged plot to attack Fort Hood, had ties to a number of prominent anti-war organizations, including Iraq Veterans Against the War and Courage to Resist, Raw Story can confirm.

Abdo, who went AWOL from duty over the July 4 weekend after being charged with possession of child pornography, was an applicant for conscientious objector (CO) status, supported by the Oakland-based GI rights group Courage to Resist. In turn, his efforts to resist deployment were supported by Iraq Veterans Against the War (IVAW), one of the best-known anti-war groups in the nation.

He was arrested Thursday outside Fort Hood, in Killeen, Texas, after police received a tip informing them that Abdo had purchased firearms with cash, from the same gun store that Major Nidal Hasan visited before murdering 13 of his fellow soldiers in 2009…

This man Abdo joined the military long after the campaign in Afghanistan started and then, when faced with deployment there, suddenly claimed that his conscience prohibited him from going.  Naturally, given the absurd claim – clearly just a dodge from a man who didn’t want to do his sworn duty – anti-war groups embraced him.  After all, it doesn’t matter how stupid a position is, as long as it can be placed against the best interests of the United States, the anti-war left will welcome it.  Those groups are now trying to pretend they had nothing to do with him, but that is also just another cowardly dodge.

Nothing better illustrates the blindness and dishonesty which is always at the heart of so-called “anti-war” movements.  Pacifism is like that – based upon a dishonorable concept that nothing is worth fighting for, it is natural that such groups will descend to depth upon depth of dishonesty and cowardice.

Be anti-slavery.  Be anti-tyranny.  Be anti-bigotry.  There are a score of things to be “anti” about…but you can’t honorably be anti-war, because war is not inherently wrong.  Might as well be anti-law enforcement…essentially, that is what you are doing:  failing to differentiate between the people involved and having the courage to find out where right lays and then acting upon that discovery.

From this point on, no one with a shred of honor will ever have anything to do with an anti-war movement.  There is just no place there for men and women with an ounce of courage and honesty.

Nancy Pelosi: Reactionary Liberal

Just can’t let go of the Big Government which made her rich – from The Weekly Standard:

Nancy Pelosi on today’s vote: “What we’re trying to do is save the world from the Republican budget. We’re trying to save life on this planet as we know it today.”

It is important to keep in mind what “as we know it” applies here – it applies to people like Nancy Pelosi.  People who produce no wealth; people who grow fat off of a corrupt, crony-capitalist system; people who look down upon the benighted masses who didn’t join the Ruling Class in looting the nation.  So, she’s right – she’s trying to save life as she knows it…if we win, she’s through; she and all the corrupt barnacles of American life.

So, let’s get out there and make her nightmare come true.

A Bit of Reality About China

Kevin Williamson notes Romney’s talk about China and trade and has this to say:

…Mr. Romney, in Ohio, did the usual song-and-dance number about China’s currency manipulation, tariffs, etc. Mr. Romney might want to reflect that he’s running for president of the United States of America, which is at the moment involved in one of history’s remarkable episodes of currency manipulation. Perhaps Mr. Romney could give Ben Bernanke a call and have him run through the details.

Much more sensible than Romney’s speech in Ohio is his short video on the same subject, which features a gentleman named Steve Cohen, who runs a manufacturing business, Screen Machine Industries. Mr. Cohen doesn’t much talk about currency manipulation or tariffs. Instead, he talks mostly about the real, legitimate, actionable beef that American firms have with the Chi-Comms: their rampant, degenerate thievery. China is a nation of pickpockets, a crime-wave with a flag. The hijacking of foreign intellectual property by Chinese thieves, including those running businesses connected to the government, ought to be front-and-center in our trade discussions…

Which is all very true, but doesn’t get at the heart of it – our trade negotiations with China should actually revolve around how we de-couple our economy from theirs.  China is ruled by a corrupt, cruel oligarchy which doesn’t actually care about the Chinese people – and they care even less about us, save in how much then can steal.  While China’s economy is talked up as the new paradigm, it is actually riddled with bad debt and doomed to a spectacular crash – something which will make the end of Japan, Inc. in the late 1980’s look like a walk in the park.  Having our economy tied to China’s means we’re at the economic mercy of people who are robbing their own people blind while conniving at the theft of American wealth by Chinese firms given the go-ahead by the government of China.

The bottom line is even if you hold that we have to import our manufactured goods from low wage nations (an absurd statement, but those who want to ship our jobs overseas never tire of making it), we can do better by ourselves if we imported from nations more friendly to us – India, for instance.  There is no good in the China trade – just an erosion of our wealth, the strengthening of an anti-human dictatorship and world of hurt when the crash comes (which might come with war as the Chinese oligarchs cast about for a means to distract their own people).  Over a period of a few years (no more than five) we should progressively increase tariffs on Chinese goods until they are entirely priced out of the American market.  Meanwhile, we should do all in our power to discharge our debt to China and prohibit, after a date certain, the redemption of American bonds held by Chinese citizens, corporate entities or government bodies (so even if they buy them from third parties, they’ll never get another dime from us).   No more trade with China – not until they institute free, fair elections and develope a government of reliable laws.

It is time we woke up to the realities of the world – and one of the main realities is that the United States cannot afford to have dealings with tyrannical regimes.  Free people should seek to do business with their like – not with the pirate masters of slave labor.

Obamunism! Economy Slows Down

From the AP:

The economy worsened in much of the country earlier this summer, hampered by high unemployment, weak home sales and signs of a slowdown in manufacturing.

A survey by the Federal Reserve, released Wednesday, found that weak consumer spending, slow job growth and tight credit are restraining growth into the second half of the year.

Growth slowed in eight of the Fed’s 12 bank regions in June and early July, the report found, compared with the spring. That marked the worst showing this year…

Mish has some of the sad details of an economy wobbling towards recession.  The bottom line is that Obama’s program didn’t work.  All that spending, all that printed money – all it brought us was a few quarters of bogus “growth”.  It could be that another round of spending and printing would keep things going for a while – but the cost would be prohibitive.  It would almost guarantee a round of high inflation, while the additional debt could push us in to bankruptcy as early as late 2012.  There are no more things for Big Government to do – its all been done and it has all failed.

Whether or not we tumble in to official recession – as defined by government statistics – remains to be see.  At all events, we won’t get an official word of recession until some time next year, at the earliest (government will guess about what the unemployment rate is, but will not guess when a recession has started…they have to have rock solid facts, and that takes 6 to 9 months to show up).  But the people know full well what is going on – the economy is slumping, jobs are extraordinarily hard to find, prices are causing a pinch to stressed family budgets, and there is no sign of improvement on the horizon.  Unless there is a massive and totally unexpected turn around, Obama will carry this struggling economy in to 2012.